TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pelicans vs. Clippers: O/U 223.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$56,219
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$59,135

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,219 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over49c12,703$6,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,504.432,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,0001,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Under51c10,000$5,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,099.991,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under50c6,469$3,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,225.414,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Under52c5,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,60077348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed Under52c3,987$2,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,073.2429351.5%151 W · 142 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over49c3,858$1,898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,960.13,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Over50c3,220$1,605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,615.061,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under48c2,830$1,351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,351.22,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under50c2,232$1,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,116.131,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under51c1,961$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.9964944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Over48c1,936$934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,001.6351354.2%278 W · 235 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over52c1,895$982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$913.051,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x34cd…9675backed Under48c1,501$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720.4122648.2%109 W · 117 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over57c1,282$736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546.348,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Over51c1,225$625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.3922752%118 W · 109 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Over52c1,200$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57617052.4%89 W · 81 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under48c1,018$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.516,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39fd…5a3fbacked Over49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51019958.3%116 W · 83 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xebba…383cbacked Under51c980.39$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50024050.8%122 W · 118 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Over49c948.55$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.6126638.7%103 W · 163 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over52c914$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.852,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Under9c815.76$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.481,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ae2…20a3backed Over49c802.18$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.1113951.1%71 W · 68 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe071…2d1abacked Under53c800$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42448957.5%281 W · 208 L+2.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under50c606.09$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.961,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Under52c580$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.62,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Under53c500$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26533150.8%168 W · 163 L+1.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd239…2083backed Over50c458$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22915543.2%67 W · 88 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under50c440.6$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.55,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under38c427.04$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.963,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under51c408.41$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.313,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Under11c401.49$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.1965542.9%281 W · 374 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Under52c401.33$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.6961747.8%295 W · 322 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under50c381.18$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.592,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over49c302.52$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.024,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Under48c300$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14445646.7%213 W · 243 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Over48c300$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.0991148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Under45c277.37$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.821,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3d3…bd58backed Under47c255.32$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1203727%10 W · 27 L-5.5wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-36.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under52c222.21$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.4480737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x84d9…76dbbacked Under52c210$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.25147.1%24 W · 27 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Under8c191.31$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6840243.8%176 W · 226 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92aa…0341backed Under16c187.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3015949.7%79 W · 80 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under50c183.87$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.933,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x86d9…b214backed Over51c177.61$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.0321854.6%119 W · 99 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under8c174.77$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.981,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Over48c150$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.7578648.7%383 W · 403 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Under48c150$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7256547.8%270 W · 295 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x81b0…5159backed Under54c130.7$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.1411851.7%61 W · 57 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under50c113.98$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.615,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b8d…bb92backed Under51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5125559.2%151 W · 104 L+13.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b23…e20fbacked Over49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5149938.9%194 W · 305 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0dcc…031ebacked Over50c98.04$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.0223349.4%115 W · 118 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Under52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over48c96$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.921,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Under53c92.45$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0df1…6b99backed Under47c85.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401250%6 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over47c80.27$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.544,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a25…bb6bbacked Under48c75$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3634047.1%160 W · 180 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked Under48c75$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3657250%286 W · 286 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf8b…bff8backed Over52c70$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.69958.6%58 W · 41 L+7.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under50c57.61$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.822,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae9a…7ceabacked Under53c53.25$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.987847.4%37 W · 41 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over48c51.92$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd4ee…e425backed Over49c48.55$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.7618150.3%91 W · 90 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb83d…3aa2backed Under53c47.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2524042.9%103 W · 137 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x89bc…a463backed Under53c45.28$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242339.1%9 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7353…a4f0backed Under48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015041.3%62 W · 88 L-8.1wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbf9…7560backed Under49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208143.2%35 W · 46 L-7.1wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-19.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Over50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2040344.4%179 W · 224 L-23.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over55c38.78$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.453,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Over43c37.63$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.3388057.5%506 W · 374 L+34.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over47c35.96$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.062,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94f5…c002backed Over49c31.94$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.29850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Over51c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.71,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0891…32aebacked Over51c29.41$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.411457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xabbf…0758backed Over45c28.75$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.8839047.7%186 W · 204 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Over48c28.54$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.8425655.5%142 W · 114 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Over48c28.54$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.8430151.8%156 W · 145 L-1.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf14…5d95backed Over49c24.69$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.6110028%28 W · 72 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-23.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed Under50c23.43$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7219352.8%102 W · 91 L+11.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Under48c23$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0446447.8%222 W · 242 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ed8…0e99backed Over47c21.43$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2645653.5%244 W · 212 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x665e…7291backed Over53c20.57$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.673429.4%10 W · 24 L-4.2wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-39%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1096956.3%546 W · 423 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x478e…0c83backed Over52c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.619346.1%89 W · 104 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.