NBA · resolved market
Spread: Clippers (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x777ecc7e553532bea9f0b022c0ae94cc95b976953260ac62fe21831c83b27986
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Clippersof Clippers, Pelicans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,282
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,529
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,282 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Clippers | 58c | 7,331$4,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,080.44 | 363 | 59.8%217 W · 146 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pelicans | 40c | 3,126$1,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,244.17 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Pelicans | 42c | 1,600$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Pelicans | 42c | 1,482$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.44 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Pelicans | 42c | 1,477$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.44 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc63…f1c7backed Clippers | 60c | 1,225$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.71 | 506 | 53.2%269 W · 237 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Pelicans | 42c | 1,026$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.59 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Clippers | 57c | 880.03$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.03 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Pelicans | 40c | 656.53$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.4 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Pelicans | 42c | 637.76$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.91 | 266 | 38.7%103 W · 163 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pelicans | 41c | 492.7$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.4 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24a5…5d07backed Clippers | 60c | 400$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Clippers | 60c | 390.95$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.95 | 476 | 51.7%246 W · 230 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Pelicans | 36c | 337.56$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.96 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb64…5e23backed Clippers | 64c | 280$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.8 | 265 | 30.9%82 W · 183 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Clippers | 60c | 251.18$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.18 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Pelicans | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 522 | 42.7%223 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Clippers | 59c | 235.82$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.82 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Pelicans | 42c | 224.49$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.35 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Pelicans | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 354 | 44.6%158 W · 196 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9069…9c14backed Clippers | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 145 | 57.2%83 W · 62 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Pelicans | 40c | 149.32$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.73 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Clippers | 62c | 142.99$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.78 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Clippers | 55c | 133.97$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.39 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Clippers | 57c | 130$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.9 | 249 | 55.8%139 W · 110 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Pelicans | 42c | 119.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 545 | 49.5%270 W · 275 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Clippers | 52c | 114.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Pelicans | 48c | 110.36$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.87 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Pelicans | 12c | 99.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Pelicans | 43c | 93.74$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.23 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Clippers | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 521 | 46.6%243 W · 278 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Clippers | 59c | 84.93$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.93 | 434 | 47.5%206 W · 228 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f64…4b91backed Clippers | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed Clippers | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 257 | 52.5%135 W · 122 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed Clippers | 59c | 61.87$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.37 | 831 | 58.1%483 W · 348 L | +18.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Pelicans | 43c | 59.92$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.77 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed8…0e99backed Clippers | 68c | 55.57$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.81 | 456 | 53.5%244 W · 212 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Pelicans | 42c | 45.45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 256 | 55.5%142 W · 114 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb028…5652backed Pelicans | 44c | 44.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bc…46ccbacked Pelicans | 44c | 44.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Pelicans | 42c | 40.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 301 | 51.8%156 W · 145 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Pelicans | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Clippers | 56c | 39.44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.51 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Pelicans | 37c | 37.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Pelicans | 41c | 35.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff3…1aa9backed Clippers | 59c | 33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Clippers | 60c | 30.2$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 625 | 46.9%293 W · 332 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9db2…cc8cbacked Clippers | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 171 | 53.8%92 W · 79 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Pelicans | 41c | 27.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Clippers | 56c | 22.9$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea05…6e25backed Clippers | 58c | 22.24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.34 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabdd…2d96backed Clippers | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 602 | 67.3%405 W · 197 L | +46.2wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Clippers (-6.5)this page
- Brook Lopez: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Dejounte Murray: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Dejounte Murray: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Dejounte Murray: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Derik Queen: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- John Collins: Points O/U 15.5No won
- John Collins: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Kawhi Leonard: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Pelicans vs. ClippersClippers won
- Pelicans vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 114.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Clippers: O/U 222.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Clippers: O/U 223.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Clippers: O/U 224.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Clippers: O/U 225.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Clippers: O/U 226.5Over won
- Spread: Clippers (-7.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Clippers (-8.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Clippers (-9.5)Clippers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.