NBA · resolved market
Pelicans vs. Clippers: O/U 226.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x128ce960f9ec223dbf55c93e94a75f5e8ad4230f45d325d73828628d5a949106
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,117
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,945
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,117 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Over | 80c | 5,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 29c | 3,100$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.3 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Under | 61c | 2,030$1,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,245.01 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Under | 20c | 1,479$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.7 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 39c | 1,198$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.53 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f8…5a82backed Under | 2c | 970.56$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.47 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +88%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 39c | 772.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.77 | 266 | 38.7%103 W · 163 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Under | 62c | 377.42$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 476 | 51.7%246 W · 230 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 43c | 366.02$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.18 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 39c | 330.25$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.22 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f49…fec0backed Under | 20c | 301.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.33 | 378 | 48.7%184 W · 194 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 38c | 215.91$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.86 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 39c | 182.87$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.55 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4720…007bbacked Over | 44c | 168.98$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.63 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef1…c205backed Under | 59c | 152.8$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.89 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 41c | 118.54$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.94 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 37c | 95.92$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.57 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Under | 60c | 84$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe49a…f498backed Under | 56c | 78.82$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.14 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed Under | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 257 | 52.5%135 W · 122 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Under | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 619 | 39.6%245 W · 374 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Under | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 385 | 40.3%155 W · 230 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Under | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 469 | 40.3%189 W · 280 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Under | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 308 | 40.9%126 W · 182 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf158…aa4bbacked Under | 20c | 58.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 57c | 53.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.31 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabbf…0758backed Over | 38c | 41.65$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.74 | 390 | 47.7%186 W · 204 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74fe…8243backed Under | 55c | 21.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed8…0e99backed Under | 72c | 21.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 456 | 53.5%244 W · 212 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…7909backed Under | 56c | 19.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pelicans vs. Clippers: O/U 226.5this page
- Brook Lopez: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Dejounte Murray: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Dejounte Murray: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Dejounte Murray: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Derik Queen: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- John Collins: Points O/U 15.5No won
- John Collins: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Kawhi Leonard: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Pelicans vs. ClippersClippers won
- Pelicans vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 114.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Clippers: O/U 222.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Clippers: O/U 223.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Clippers: O/U 224.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Clippers: O/U 225.5Over won
- Spread: Clippers (-6.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Clippers (-7.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Clippers (-8.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Clippers (-9.5)Clippers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.