TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Clippers (-8.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Clippersof Clippers, Pelicans
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$724,026
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$727,602

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $724,026 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 298 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Clippers51c400,612$203,795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196,817.287451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Pelicans49c198,127$97,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97,082.222,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Pelicans50c70,607$35,237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,236.851,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Clippers50c65,655$32,571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,084.1660351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd92…6b2abacked Pelicans50c60,000$30,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,00012639.7%50 W · 76 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xde18…83bcbacked Pelicans53c39,702$21,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,999.999250%46 W · 46 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Pelicans50c30,000$15,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,0001,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Pelicans49c28,718$14,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,122.854,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4408…1b6abacked Clippers46c28,610$13,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,449.387653.9%41 W · 35 L+6.4wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+17.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Clippers51c26,223$13,474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,748.7248352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Pelicans50c25,998$12,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,99948343.7%211 W · 272 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Pelicans48c25,374$12,269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,268.852,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf19d…276fbacked Clippers45c17,364$7,814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,550.123147.6%110 W · 121 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35de…0f24backed Pelicans0c15,010$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.012347.8%11 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Pelicans49c11,862$5,812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,812.2235744.3%158 W · 199 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Pelicans49c10,000$4,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,90077348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Pelicans54c8,570$4,628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,627.82,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Pelicans54c8,333$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,5001,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Pelicans50c7,923$3,930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,929.974,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Clippers51c6,971$3,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,415.591,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Pelicans49c6,149$3,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,013.1359347%279 W · 314 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Pelicans54c5,556$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00056453.9%304 W · 260 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Clippers50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,50035450.8%180 W · 174 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed Clippers52c4,008$2,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,927.5420945.5%95 W · 114 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Pelicans49c3,650$1,791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,791.1551354.2%278 W · 235 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Clippers48c3,513$1,681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,831.856,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Pelicans49c3,333$1,633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,633.1714753.1%78 W · 69 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1041…f452backed Clippers50c2,750$1,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,375.1226949.1%132 W · 137 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Pelicans51c2,537$1,287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,286.5989050.4%449 W · 441 L+4.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Clippers49c2,501$1,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,280.334,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc63…f1c7backed Pelicans51c2,366$1,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,200.6450653.2%269 W · 237 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Pelicans50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00082442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Clippers50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00026637.2%99 W · 167 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Pelicans50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00064944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x69ff…0d1dbacked Pelicans51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02033146.2%153 W · 178 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5330…0bfabacked Pelicans51c1,960$997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$997.2513142.7%56 W · 75 L-8.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4899…c212backed Pelicans53c1,903$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001060%6 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+23.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Pelicans52c1,847$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$960.1848054.2%260 W · 220 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Clippers50c1,585$786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$799.275,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Pelicans50c1,500$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75059140.8%241 W · 350 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc62c…2c44backed Pelicans51c1,500$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76511044.5%49 W · 61 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Pelicans49c1,487$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$735.373,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabde…d41fbacked Clippers51c1,312$673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.0741947.7%200 W · 219 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Clippers49c1,225$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.752,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67d6…b04bbacked Pelicans54c1,205$651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.593268.8%22 W · 10 L+4.2wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+25.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7702…9791backed Clippers70c1,200$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.9924151.9%125 W · 116 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6bde…3800backed Pelicans49c1,069$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5246755.2%37 W · 30 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4e1abacked Clippers46c1,051$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.7515147%71 W · 80 L+0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebba…383cbacked Pelicans50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50024050.8%122 W · 118 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Pelicans49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49045647.1%215 W · 241 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6292…d254backed Pelicans51c990$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.920846.6%97 W · 111 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Clippers49c951.05$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.042,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Pelicans8c827.9$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.7940243.8%176 W · 226 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Clippers46c793.16$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.031,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x69e7…d3b0backed Pelicans50c750$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37512245.1%55 W · 67 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6911…7df2backed Clippers50c716$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3583100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+94.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Clippers48c713.33$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.3387453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba55…bd74backed Pelicans50c712$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe643…f806backed Clippers50c710$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+21.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked Pelicans50c700$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35031354.3%170 W · 143 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8bd…9f33backed Pelicans50c698$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a48…53babacked Clippers50c688$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3441100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44b1…411cbacked Clippers50c688$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2280…490bbacked Clippers50c686$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3431100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f41…d45dbacked Pelicans50c678$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d1e…c0b0backed Pelicans50c666$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34a6…29f4backed Pelicans50c666$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc92b…d3c4backed Clippers50c658$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3291100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf229…717bbacked Pelicans50c652$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1678…c5bdbacked Clippers50c636$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3181100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Pelicans33c634.59$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.253,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5093…c13bbacked Clippers50c632$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3161100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2de6…0cdebacked Pelicans50c628$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+50.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf110…086abacked Pelicans50c627$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x322a…1bbabacked Pelicans50c616$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9de4…7f2ebacked Clippers51c609.99$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.899842.9%42 W · 56 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Pelicans50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30049345.2%223 W · 270 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Clippers50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3001,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6250…7236backed Clippers50c598$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2991100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe739…4bd1backed Clippers50c592$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2961100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05e1…85a2backed Pelicans51c588.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30032347.1%152 W · 171 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53e7…aee8backed Pelicans50c584$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Clippers50c583.18$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.112,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa583…2928backed Clippers51c582.35$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.352737%10 W · 17 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-26.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9232…c289backed Pelicans50c574$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f7f…80d2backed Pelicans50c570$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Clippers48c566.76$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.683,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x50c5…6d22backed Pelicans50c560$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30b4…894abacked Clippers50c552$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2761100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9c1…43fabacked Clippers50c550$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2751100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf250…4040backed Clippers50c548$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2741100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21fd…9b47backed Pelicans50c542$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6270…c91bbacked Pelicans50c540$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4c4…fafebacked Clippers50c538$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2691100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa391…f971backed Clippers50c528$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2641100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x794c…7914backed Pelicans50c528$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc54a…d564backed Pelicans50c524$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9840…a267backed Pelicans50c524$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f69…cd59backed Clippers50c522$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2612100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xceb1…7942backed Clippers50c519$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.