NBA · resolved market
Pelicans vs. Clippers: O/U 225.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4524ecd8e9d9332ce4104afda8d200772b4530ba2371978acfd7f0c3110f784d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,144
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,742
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,144 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Under | 53c | 1,785$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946.02 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Under | 52c | 1,522$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.22 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Under | 53c | 1,294$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.01 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Over | 47c | 1,284$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.43 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 53c | 1,145$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.37 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 53c | 1,130$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.9 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 44c | 788$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.38 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 48c | 656.25$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.25 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 47c | 591.68$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.1 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Under | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 324 | 50.3%163 W · 161 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 47c | 442$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.31 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…94e9backed Over | 48c | 304.71$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.45 | 227 | 46.3%105 W · 122 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Over | 48c | 275.72$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.37 | 405 | 46.9%190 W · 215 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Over | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 46c | 189.23$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.71 | 266 | 38.7%103 W · 163 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 53c | 156.64$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.27 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 395 | 52.2%206 W · 189 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96a2…d77abacked Under | 52c | 84.62$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 50cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 55c | 76.83$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.26 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 45c | 51.91$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.58 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 57c | 49.3$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Under | 54c | 42.38$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 920 | 58%534 W · 386 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabbf…0758backed Over | 38c | 39.34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.47 | 390 | 47.7%186 W · 204 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Over | 48c | 33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 464 | 47.8%222 W · 242 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 46c | 31.4$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.96 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd25c…fe19backed Over | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 176 | 52.3%92 W · 84 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 48c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 620 | 49%304 W · 316 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Over | 48c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 273 | 45.1%123 W · 150 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Over | 48c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 329 | 47.4%156 W · 173 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pelicans vs. Clippers: O/U 225.5this page
- Brook Lopez: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Dejounte Murray: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Dejounte Murray: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Dejounte Murray: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Derik Queen: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- John Collins: Points O/U 15.5No won
- John Collins: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Kawhi Leonard: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Pelicans vs. ClippersClippers won
- Pelicans vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 114.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Clippers: O/U 222.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Clippers: O/U 223.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Clippers: O/U 224.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Clippers: O/U 226.5Over won
- Spread: Clippers (-6.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Clippers (-7.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Clippers (-8.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Clippers (-9.5)Clippers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.