TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pelicans vs. Clippers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Clippersof Pelicans, Clippers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,631,191
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,826,147

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,631,191 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,513 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6a57…2afabacked Clippers74c143,002$106,323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,679.78944.9%40 W · 49 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Pelicans26c126,000$32,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,759.948343.7%211 W · 272 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Pelicans25c122,097$30,582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,582.3643542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Clippers76c108,812$82,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,316.142,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Clippers75c89,606$67,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,560.5351354.2%278 W · 235 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4eef…3fcbbacked Clippers76c75,000$57,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,00011955.5%66 W · 53 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa491…3177backed Clippers75c70,000$52,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,699.995959.3%35 W · 24 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x906f…88b4backed Clippers75c67,774$50,588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,186.8722453.1%119 W · 105 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Pelicans26c60,000$15,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,599.991,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Pelicans26c50,348$12,914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,914.0254539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x68ca…9f73backed Pelicans26c49,979$13,128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,128.3132540.3%131 W · 194 L-10.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Pelicans11c49,222$5,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,484.671,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed Clippers73c47,910$35,164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,746.2130845.8%141 W · 167 L-12.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd92…6b2abacked Pelicans25c40,000$10,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,10012639.7%50 W · 76 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Pelicans11c37,782$4,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,116.832,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Clippers75c35,331$26,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,832.7929055.5%161 W · 129 L+15.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Pelicans25c32,463$8,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,115.7459347%279 W · 314 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Pelicans12c30,000$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,5001,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Pelicans25c28,796$7,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,175.911,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x433f…a0dcbacked Pelicans0c26,393$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.516919.5%33 W · 136 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-27.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Pelicans10c25,506$2,542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,542.054,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Pelicans4c25,451$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.321,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x498c…42bfbacked Pelicans26c25,024$6,411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,410.6615349%75 W · 78 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e3a…3246backed Clippers76c24,457$18,587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,869.3719954.8%109 W · 90 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Clippers79c24,197$19,163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,034.295,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4f5…1079backed Pelicans18c23,543$4,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,237.655048%24 W · 26 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Pelicans26c20,000$5,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,100.011,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Pelicans25c20,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0001,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Clippers76c19,713$14,982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,731.1622458.9%132 W · 92 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5330…0bfabacked Pelicans26c19,433$5,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,012.813142.7%56 W · 75 L-8.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Pelicans27c19,250$5,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,197.471,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ff3…1aa9backed Clippers74c18,916$13,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,918.2919645.9%90 W · 106 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Pelicans12c17,132$2,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,024.661,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Pelicans1c15,517$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.157211%7 W · 714 L-2.6wins0.00per pick1cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2580…1d56backed Pelicans26c15,385$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00011737.6%44 W · 73 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Pelicans25c15,090$3,753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,753.271,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Pelicans27c14,824$3,972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,972.1651844.4%230 W · 288 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Pelicans1c14,086$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.115213.8%20 W · 501 L+0.6wins0.00per pick4cpaid-36.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b0d…90c0backed Pelicans24c13,526$3,258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,257.848834.1%30 W · 58 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Clippers75c13,380$9,994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,386.391,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Pelicans25c13,294$3,342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,342.312,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Clippers74c13,143$9,697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,446.391,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Clippers75c12,306$9,288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,017.961,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5aa…9134backed Clippers76c12,034$9,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,941.9819957.8%115 W · 84 L+18.2wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+19.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Pelicans2c11,927$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.591,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Clippers74c11,312$8,351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,960.934,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e4a…311cbacked Pelicans26c10,120$2,631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,631.1811443.9%50 W · 64 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cf5…6440backed Pelicans26c10,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,60046928.4%133 W · 336 L+2.3wins0.00per pick28cpaid-4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Pelicans25c10,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50077348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3eeb…c387backed Clippers74c10,000$7,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,599.9620454.9%112 W · 92 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Clippers75c9,956$7,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,495.84,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Pelicans25c9,584$2,396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,39637747.5%179 W · 198 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1632…cb68backed Pelicans26c9,577$2,517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,517.055040%20 W · 30 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56fc…733ebacked Clippers75c9,550$7,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,387.479857.1%56 W · 42 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5e9…4044backed Clippers74c9,436$6,982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,453.259053.3%48 W · 42 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Clippers78c8,083$6,337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,745.892,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed Clippers75c7,999$6,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,970.6836950.1%185 W · 184 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6fd…f43ebacked Pelicans25c7,965$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00010746.7%50 W · 57 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Clippers75c7,702$5,758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,943.4755346.8%259 W · 294 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Pelicans26c7,400$1,924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9241,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Clippers73c7,065$5,157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,907.5522137.6%83 W · 138 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x30d1…cd88backed Pelicans16c7,000$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,119.994151.2%21 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8716…bd57backed Pelicans26c6,666$1,733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,733.1641832.8%137 W · 281 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Clippers74c6,500$4,810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,69028649.7%142 W · 144 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb44…3eafbacked Pelicans23c6,412$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick39cpaid+27.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0def…0674backed Pelicans1c6,200$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.82817.9%5 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-33.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Clippers74c6,000$4,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,56029748.1%143 W · 154 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Pelicans16c5,912$946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945.9628241.1%116 W · 166 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Pelicans0c5,831$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.98820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Clippers78c5,682$4,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,252.248956.4%276 W · 213 L+31.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5f82…9b01backed Pelicans25c5,550$1,387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,387.4216635.5%59 W · 107 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8873…09fcbacked Pelicans26c5,369$1,391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,390.857848.7%38 W · 40 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x853e…0d8cbacked Pelicans28c5,147$1,436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,435.9312042.5%51 W · 69 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Pelicans25c5,050$1,263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,262.51,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Clippers76c5,000$3,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2001,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46bc…2d14backed Pelicans15c5,000$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75018931.2%59 W · 130 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc62c…2c44backed Pelicans20c4,874$986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98611044.5%49 W · 61 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x685d…22d6backed Clippers77c4,709$3,629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,080.8730157.1%172 W · 129 L+14.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x77d3…f4d6backed Clippers70c4,600$3,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,385.9929250%146 W · 146 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Pelicans26c4,444$1,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,155.441,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1b3…0329backed Pelicans24c4,206$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00013534.1%46 W · 89 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa25d…2227backed Clippers74c4,117$3,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,070.4710641.5%44 W · 62 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Clippers75c4,000$3,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99048352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0338…04b7backed Clippers76c4,000$3,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9603053.3%16 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Clippers73c4,000$2,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,079.9938649.7%192 W · 194 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Pelicans4c3,716$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.5681529.4%240 W · 575 L-37.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-43%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe921…5c89backed Pelicans25c3,255$814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$813.751553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd44c…1223backed Pelicans18c3,250$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.5616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-51.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Pelicans25c3,174$783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$783.2864944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e8b…9e6abacked Pelicans16c3,130$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.840%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d7b…cf8abacked Clippers75c3,128$2,346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7821361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x49e5…03fdbacked Pelicans0c3,022$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.51277.4%2 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick9cpaid-89.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Pelicans3c3,000$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7564517.1%110 W · 535 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb546…802cbacked Clippers75c3,000$2,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7502665.4%17 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick67cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf66…ba12backed Clippers67c3,000$2,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9903100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xce7c…8a2abacked Clippers75c3,000$2,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7501250%6 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-17.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f98…eb9ebacked Pelicans33c3,000$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$990250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44d6…9858backed Pelicans25c3,000$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75012745.7%58 W · 69 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7a0…aee2backed Pelicans4c2,984$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.5913146.6%61 W · 70 L+0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Pelicans8c2,900$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.962,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.