TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0df1…6b99

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
40
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Ligue 1, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Ligue 1 at 54 out of 100; worst Europa Conference League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wizards vs. Warriors: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+105.9%+$116.26
Thunder vs. Celtics: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.3
Spread: Pistons (-6.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+117.6%+$51.76
Spread: Hornets (-12.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+117.7%+$59.35
Pistons vs. Nets: O/U 217.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.5
Magic vs. Bucks: O/U 221.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Jazz vs. Bucks: O/U 231.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+92.3%+$43.2
Magic vs. Timberwolves: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$131
Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 215.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+132.6%+$39.77
Spread: Celtics (-7.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+170.3%+$136.22
Pelicans vs. Clippers: O/U 223.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$40
76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$46
All 12 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Rebels Gaming vs HAVU (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stagebacked Rebels Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$39.96
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs Young Ninjas (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-Inbacked Young Ninjas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.56
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Galorys (BO3) - Circuit X Base Recife Group Abacked Galorys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+400%+$71.92
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs Ursa (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Playoffsbacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+67.6%+$61.3
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.18
Counter-Strike: ENCE vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Closed Qualifier Group Dbacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$40.15
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Lilmix (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group Abacked Lilmix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$109.75
Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #3 Play-Inbacked Bebop · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.5
Counter-Strike: ALGO Esports vs Omega (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #1 Group Bbacked ALGO Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.25
Counter-Strike: Fire Flux Esports vs bankaPEPSI (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #3 Playoffsbacked Fire Flux Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.58
Counter-Strike: Chinggis Warriors vs The QUBE Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia-Pacific Cup 2 Playoffsbacked Chinggis Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.45
All 11 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick67cpaid-56.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Birmingham: Mary Stoiana vs Lulu Sunbacked Lulu Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.5
Birmingham: Greet Minnen vs Alina Charaevabacked Greet Minnen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.75
Geneva Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Casper Ruudbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$52.36
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+106.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
OGC Nice vs. FC Metz: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+117.7%+$53.61
Stade Brestois 29 vs. Angers SCO: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$55.95
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+84%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alexander Volkov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$22.89
O/U 3.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$53.08
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Detroit Tigers vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.12
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)backed Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$22.73
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$44
Lightning vs. Wild: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$11
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.17
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.