TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Hurricanes vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$238,237

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $238,237 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb45a…192cbacked Under43c132,485$57,468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57,468.3522443.8%98 W · 126 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Over56c40,572$22,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,851.4840351.9%209 W · 194 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa084…bb99backed Under44c36,788$16,287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,286.692152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Over57c35,564$20,147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,416.543456%243 W · 191 L+16.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over56c31,846$17,746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,100.3256152%292 W · 269 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Over57c29,427$16,773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,653.421,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed Under46c15,743$7,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,309.744240.5%17 W · 25 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over56c11,798$6,601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,196.662,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over56c9,000$5,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,9601,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5a4…5780backed Under48c8,336$4,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,000.71944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Over58c5,117$2,961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,155.8651452.3%269 W · 245 L+17.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Under50c5,037$2,519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,518.6121856.4%123 W · 95 L+10.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x44d6…9858backed Over53c5,000$2,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,35029146.7%136 W · 155 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Over55c5,000$2,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2501,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over57c5,000$2,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,15089547%421 W · 474 L-18.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x112c…dbdfbacked Over52c3,717$1,933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,784.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc339…ba5bbacked Over55c3,067$1,687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,380.277149.3%35 W · 36 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-14%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under46c3,000$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,38027243.4%118 W · 154 L-16.8wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked Over57c2,880$1,642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,238.43345.5%15 W · 18 L+4.0wins+0.12per pick33cpaid+46.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Over54c2,199$1,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,011.427048.1%130 W · 140 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked Under46c1,872$865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$865.213354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x69ff…0d1dbacked Under45c1,800$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81027150.2%136 W · 135 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Over54c1,652$892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$760.0286649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under50c1,531$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$765.471,84657.2%1,055 W · 791 L+85.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under50c1,461$731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$730.571,20260.1%722 W · 480 L+51.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under44c1,395$609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.3691653.9%494 W · 422 L+39.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over55c1,335$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596.9586852.4%455 W · 413 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Under46c1,116$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.341,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5bd3…394cbacked Under46c1,087$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba5a…344cbacked Over70c1,034$729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.1512152.9%64 W · 57 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over52c1,020$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.51,19050.7%603 W · 587 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Over54c1,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46062346.9%292 W · 331 L-3.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xca1a…89e5backed Over57c1,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4301758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Over57c817.68$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.4121754.8%119 W · 98 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over52c807.71$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.72,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Over57c689.64$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.5528251.8%146 W · 136 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over52c649.04$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.541,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Over57c600$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25832648.2%157 W · 169 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Under46c569.97$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.1933243.7%145 W · 187 L-16.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over62c546.53$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.182,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Under36c535.99$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.211933.6%40 W · 79 L-10.1wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-26.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Over55c509.09$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.091,09351.8%566 W · 527 L+14.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe19a…abafbacked Under43c462$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.6613053.8%70 W · 60 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over52c444$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.1291945.6%419 W · 500 L-27.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Under42c396.92$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.7112047.5%57 W · 63 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over54c393.55$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.0335349.6%175 W · 178 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdff8…3c8bbacked Over56c386.92$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.481361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+15.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7412…85d0backed Under24c300$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$713342.4%14 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Over76c267.19$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.961,10752%576 W · 531 L+63.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Over74c248$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.4817247.7%82 W · 90 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd23…e31fbacked Over75c244$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$614158.5%24 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Over59c242.58$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.7930349.5%150 W · 153 L-13.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under41c226$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.6659450.8%302 W · 292 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3100…9bc9backed Over55c202.85$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.1211855.9%66 W · 52 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Over57c198.44$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.3329448.6%143 W · 151 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x66df…7ea5backed Over53c196.23$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.238850%44 W · 44 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5668…eababacked Over55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.825745.6%26 W · 31 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec14…7fafbacked Over55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8239343%169 W · 224 L+12.7wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Over57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.4415257.2%87 W · 65 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9fe…e4bebacked Over57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f96…123cbacked Over57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.443040%12 W · 18 L-4.3wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-27.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcce5…7eb2backed Over57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.446851.5%35 W · 33 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a64…6769backed Over57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.4410864.8%70 W · 38 L+12.6wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+23.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over61c166$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.241,14051.5%587 W · 553 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over56c164$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.7661953.8%333 W · 286 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed Under44c138$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.7210858.3%63 W · 45 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f9a…3f4bbacked Under22c136.16$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.73757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick43cpaid+28.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over53c104.9$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.31,09250.4%550 W · 542 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b8d…bb92backed Over55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4524350.2%122 W · 121 L-13.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-9.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3036…15c2backed Under12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1241650.7%211 W · 205 L+15.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0df1…6b99backed Under44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4420%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xefb9…e74fbacked Under45c99.69$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.916647%31 W · 35 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed Under50c92$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4615368%104 W · 49 L+11.6wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+8.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over56c91$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.0479350.1%397 W · 396 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fd5…ef85backed Under46c90$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.213647.1%64 W · 72 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x005b…2947backed Over57c87.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.72785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.27per pick59cpaid+39.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over57c87.3$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.5466552%346 W · 319 L+8.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under48c82.51$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.5760449.2%297 W · 307 L-17.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed Under44c80.18$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.284445.5%20 W · 24 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d5e…2d04backed Over48c75$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391050%5 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe276…a85bbacked Over56c71.16$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.312729.6%8 W · 19 L-4.2wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-28.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3469…3676backed Over57c70.18$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.18850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under52c66.52$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.591,02853.2%547 W · 481 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed Over57c64.78$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.8619356%108 W · 85 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33c9…5124backed Over55c63.64$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.6421243.4%92 W · 120 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under46c62.8$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8960741%249 W · 358 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x602d…3534backed Over57c61.4$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.443256.5%244 W · 188 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb95…a5ccbacked Over57c60$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.810860.2%65 W · 43 L+8.6wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Under46c60$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.621651.4%111 W · 105 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked Over54c59.64$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.438653.5%46 W · 40 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa081…e7a0backed Under18c57$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.05250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+22%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec7b…dc40backed Under43c55.79$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.99728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-48.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6912…2aabbacked Over55c54.55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.557361.6%45 W · 28 L+10.0wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+29.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x93e3…e590backed Under50c54$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2711233.9%38 W · 74 L-9.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-22.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x142d…bf73backed Over57c52.61$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.626066.7%40 W · 20 L+7.0wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+22.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbddc…fc4cbacked Over60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick65cpaid+30.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5558…f9c4backed Over55c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.519052.1%99 W · 91 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x381a…f63dbacked Over52c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+40.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Over62c48.42$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4221849.5%108 W · 110 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2482…a721backed Over57c47.1$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.442568%17 W · 8 L+3.7wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+28.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.