NHL · resolved market
Hurricanes vs. Oilers: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x288a3182e818c23d609ce3d77a5546c5eed856fc17b97406787aedac8ecf6be5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,536
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,536 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Under | 65c | 1,957$1,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,271.97 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Under | 64c | 1,204$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.78 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Over | 36c | 1,123$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.4 | 434 | 56%243 W · 191 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x672a…abb7backed Over | 37c | 811.34$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.34 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 63c | 581.9$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.59 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Over | 38c | 520.79$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.79 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 35c | 321$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.65 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Over | 79c | 245.86$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.28 | 303 | 48.8%148 W · 155 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 62c | 131.72$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.07 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Under | 28c | 110$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.78 | 153 | 54.9%84 W · 69 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 45c | 97.97$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.33 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb53…c50bbacked Over | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 152 | 36.2%55 W · 97 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 28c | 55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 69c | 49.1$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.7 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 40c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…5dc1backed Under | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 68.9%31 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb239…80b4backed Under | 49c | 21.23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -8.0wins | -0.40per pick | 65cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 30-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…4fcabacked Over | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 227 | 59.5%135 W · 92 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hurricanes vs. Oilers: O/U 7.5this page
- Hurricanes vs. OilersHurricanes won
- Hurricanes vs. Oilers: O/U 4.5Over won
- Hurricanes vs. Oilers: O/U 5.5Over won
- Hurricanes vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)Hurricanes won
- Spread: Oilers (-1.5)Hurricanes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.