NHL · resolved market
Hurricanes vs. Oilers: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x09f82bea3604ed5575e80511085da914961a17f60cc0563620e2dc4979db7048
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,885
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,885 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 33c | 1,316$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.61 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe19a…abafbacked Under | 35c | 1,106$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.12 | 130 | 53.8%70 W · 60 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Over | 69c | 837$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.79 | 434 | 56%243 W · 191 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Under | 33c | 768.77$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.69 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Under | 36c | 546.83$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.32 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Under | 33c | 530.64$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.11 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Over | 65c | 441$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.21 | 119 | 33.6%40 W · 79 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 65c | 343$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.06 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 35c | 259.96$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.99 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 63c | 257.57$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.3 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Over | 67c | 250.37$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.62 | 211 | 58.8%124 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3d…189dbacked Over | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8755…e152backed Over | 67c | 114.63$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.83 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | -13.7wins | -0.19per pick | 60cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 66c | 113$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 14c | 108.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 657 | 21.9%144 W · 513 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 69c | 99.73$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.29 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 64c | 97$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.44 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Under | 33c | 83.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.49 | 153 | 68%104 W · 49 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 37c | 71.62$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 604 | 49.2%297 W · 307 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c08…af98backed Over | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 337 | 56.4%190 W · 147 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…8a3bbacked Over | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 33c | 48.46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce7…81a3backed Over | 67c | 45.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.88 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd7…ec7cbacked Over | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Over | 65c | 41.9$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.66 | 355 | 53%188 W · 167 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd6…16abbacked Over | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 308 | 59.4%183 W · 125 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Over | 80c | 35.25$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.08 | 393 | 44.8%176 W · 217 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…21e7backed Over | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2501…d795backed Over | 67c | 32.52$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0112…4fe9backed Over | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 125 | 47.2%59 W · 66 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54d5…77d4backed Over | 68c | 29.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 67c | 28.59$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.55 | 272 | 50%136 W · 136 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Under | 37c | 27.03$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 147 | 43.5%64 W · 83 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Over | 71c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7132…f7f0backed Over | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | -7.9wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x913f…916dbacked Over | 67c | 22.37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3319…ba79backed Over | 67c | 22.37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf86…b1c1backed Over | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hurricanes vs. Oilers: O/U 5.5this page
- Hurricanes vs. OilersHurricanes won
- Hurricanes vs. Oilers: O/U 4.5Over won
- Hurricanes vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5Over won
- Hurricanes vs. Oilers: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)Hurricanes won
- Spread: Oilers (-1.5)Hurricanes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.