TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Celtics (-7.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Celticsof Celtics, Bucks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$274,351
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$307,715

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $274,351 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 302 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xada5…db70backed Bucks67c51,888$34,796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,795.5751354.2%278 W · 235 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x906f…88b4backed Bucks53c50,000$26,276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,276.2322453.1%119 W · 105 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Celtics47c24,005$11,391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,613.62,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed Bucks66c12,699$8,381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,381.25534.5%19 W · 36 L-6.5wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x14e9…21b4backed Bucks50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x410b…b1a2backed Celtics50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,0001100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Celtics47c9,606$4,553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,0539,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Celtics40c7,910$3,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,751.868,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7412…85d0backed Bucks49c7,844$3,844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,843.5126544.9%119 W · 146 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf668…5c69backed Bucks65c7,161$4,646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,645.6236359.8%217 W · 146 L+23.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Bucks40c7,080$2,824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,824.114,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Bucks56c6,827$3,853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,853.241,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Celtics47c6,477$3,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,422.83,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5330…0bfabacked Bucks53c6,212$3,292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,292.3313142.7%56 W · 75 L-8.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x43ab…b6ffbacked Bucks58c6,066$3,518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,518.388555.3%47 W · 38 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Celtics37c5,405$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,405.4142348%203 W · 220 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8adc…bafcbacked Celtics37c4,500$1,665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,834.996352.4%33 W · 30 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Celtics43c4,146$1,798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,348.452,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Celtics31c3,500$1,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,41558740%235 W · 352 L+24.3wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Bucks60c3,275$1,962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,961.861,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Celtics43c3,129$1,347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,782.094,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Celtics59c2,697$1,591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,105.751,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Celtics62c2,476$1,527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$948.411,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32b0…0b70backed Bucks48c2,300$1,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1041464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.5wins+0.18per pick46cpaid+31.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xce39…04d6backed Celtics39c2,169$844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,324.8337842.9%162 W · 216 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9331…4b41backed Celtics53c2,018$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$958.024245.2%19 W · 23 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+21.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Bucks63c1,924$1,212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,212.122,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae35…5dd3backed Bucks63c1,766$1,115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,115.313837%51 W · 87 L-8.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-21.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Celtics51c1,750$901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$849.1589050.4%449 W · 441 L+4.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x38dc…cabbbacked Celtics52c1,511$786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$725.28837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-27.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Celtics43c1,500$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8501,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5e2…0dcdbacked Bucks2c1,421$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-33.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Celtics33c1,350$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$904.595651.5%492 W · 464 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Bucks50c1,182$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591.081,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Celtics44c1,151$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$649.356,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6884…517cbacked Celtics31c1,074$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$741.1910131.7%32 W · 69 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Celtics37c1,068$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$672.1926034.6%90 W · 170 L-20.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-22.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Celtics34c1,015$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$672.052,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bcc…4324backed Bucks48c1,000$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47552844.7%236 W · 292 L+1.8wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Celtics46c1,000$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.51,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5623…6930backed Celtics49c999.99$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.9923938.1%91 W · 148 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Celtics47c957.44$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.442,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdea…6951backed Bucks53c945.06$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50020434.8%71 W · 133 L+0.9wins0.00per pick34cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Bucks40c899.05$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3605964.4%38 W · 21 L+9.8wins+0.17per pick48cpaid+30.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Bucks56c896.96$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.8580653.6%432 W · 374 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Bucks63c793.65$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Celtics38c789.47$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.4727746.6%129 W · 148 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa041…f9d5backed Celtics52c788$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.242147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c16…0272backed Celtics42c774.81$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.8118233%60 W · 122 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-20.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Celtics50c755.01$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.5187453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fbd…c4e4backed Celtics38c751.86$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.1517653.4%94 W · 82 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Celtics54c736.03$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.791,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x207f…019dbacked Bucks41c733.64$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Celtics39c722$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.4271547.7%341 W · 374 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a22…c3b5backed Celtics37c648.66$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.7916130.4%49 W · 112 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x68c1…caf8backed Celtics31c642.97$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.651758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Celtics49c613.47$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.863,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f52…c525backed Celtics66c603.82$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.8214152.5%74 W · 67 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a42…6047backed Bucks49c589$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2de8…1121backed Bucks68c588.24$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40090957.6%524 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bb8…1ba5backed Celtics51c587$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e66…e1b2backed Bucks49c585.41$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28811850%59 W · 59 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd8e…d4a4backed Bucks49c574$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b29…4721backed Bucks49c569$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b38…d585backed Celtics51c568$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc03a…8cfcbacked Celtics51c558$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f57…1ed6backed Bucks49c556$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8fc…e8febacked Celtics51c538$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae6f…099bbacked Bucks49c529$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe72f…ff59backed Celtics51c509$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0233…ad9ebacked Bucks49c502$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.9820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x157a…ce8cbacked Bucks49c501$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69e7…d3b0backed Celtics32c499.91$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.9412245.1%55 W · 67 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x64cd…348bbacked Celtics51c490$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.1250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fe1…3c5bbacked Bucks49c488$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.12250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4b2…723fbacked Celtics51c481$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Celtics60c475.32$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.565542.9%281 W · 374 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Celtics43c471$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.191,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c67…a0e0backed Celtics52c470.01$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.4929646.6%138 W · 158 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc893…d53abacked Bucks49c466$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4f1…441dbacked Celtics51c453$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf36f…9302backed Celtics51c443$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.071100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6874…46f0backed Bucks49c439$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e6e…ff0fbacked Celtics51c433.99$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17b5…cb54backed Celtics51c428$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.72540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Celtics33c427.43$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.6345646.7%213 W · 243 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49f2…40f2backed Bucks49c426$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa62e…1262backed Celtics51c425$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70dd…a4e3backed Celtics71c418.53$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.723429.4%10 W · 24 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-18.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Bucks49c405.21$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.5537747.5%179 W · 198 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Celtics47c402.65$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.872,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30fb…4856backed Bucks49c401.97$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.9624151%123 W · 118 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Celtics40c396$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.291,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Celtics42c373.86$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.273,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b00…03a9backed Bucks68c366.18$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2492524%6 W · 19 L-3.2wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-54.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdcc0…6872backed Celtics37c359.99$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.821743.8%95 W · 122 L-14.2wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa4c4…f4cbbacked Celtics43c345.28$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.281855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Bucks48c334$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.892,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7e…b805backed Celtics60c330.64$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.319958.6%58 W · 41 L+9.5wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+15.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Celtics59c329.63$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.840243.8%176 W · 226 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.