TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 216.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$729,542
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$738,896

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $729,542 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 214 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under50c484,850$241,663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243,187.392,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Over50c461,081$230,366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230,365.7143542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Over50c33,012$16,454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,454.4929055.5%161 W · 129 L+15.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Under51c31,841$16,309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,532.011,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Over53c10,756$5,686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,685.531,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under50c10,439$5,263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,175.424,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3817…7d10backed Over50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0004654.3%25 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Over53c10,000$5,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,3001,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Over54c10,000$5,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,399.9977348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Over50c9,859$4,892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,891.711,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under48c8,557$4,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,426.964,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over50c6,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0001,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c75…b299backed Over49c5,714$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8004438.6%17 W · 27 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over45c5,513$2,479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,478.744,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44d6…9858backed Over49c5,000$2,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,45012745.7%58 W · 69 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under51c5,000$2,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4502,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,00079549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34cd…9675backed Over49c3,768$1,846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,846.3222648.2%109 W · 117 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over50c3,692$1,859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,858.966,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd752…a1c5backed Over51c3,649$1,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8602142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Over48c3,354$1,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,609.6870246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over8c3,338$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.078,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over50c3,000$1,496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,496.221,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Over56c3,000$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,68022752%118 W · 109 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under50c2,915$1,468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,446.593,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under55c2,809$1,545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,263.393,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Under48c2,582$1,239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,342.4648054.2%260 W · 220 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under52c2,400$1,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,15880737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbde6…e8b5backed Over49c2,300$1,127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,12710251%52 W · 50 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x167d…cf09backed Over49c2,041$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick60cpaid-31.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Over53c1,887$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.9964944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over49c1,645$806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806.051,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Under48c1,600$768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8321,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4ec4…6529backed Over50c1,590$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$795.098751.7%45 W · 42 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Under45c1,500$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8201,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Under51c1,472$757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$714.3826034.6%90 W · 170 L-20.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-22.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6823…43bdbacked Over49c1,450$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-21.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc7b0…9870backed Over49c1,450$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-21.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x58a2…b99ebacked Under51c1,450$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3deb…dfdabacked Over49c1,450$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-21.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe70d…ec32backed Over49c1,450$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-21.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5298…b3ffbacked Over49c1,450$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-21.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc7e8…ebf5backed Under51c1,450$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe267…96ddbacked Under51c1,450$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d5f…fe1abacked Over49c1,450$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-21.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe976…b71bbacked Under51c1,450$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x27ac…ee85backed Over49c1,450$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-21.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8bee…2d4dbacked Over49c1,450$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-21.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x57d8…e6fdbacked Over49c1,450$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-21.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf0d8…47ffbacked Over49c1,450$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-21.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf99e…4ee0backed Over49c1,450$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-21.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x29e0…7735backed Over49c1,450$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-21.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2f3d…ba51backed Under51c1,450$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc84…445bbacked Under51c1,450$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5393…17d5backed Over49c1,450$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-21.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4dc1…4517backed Under51c1,450$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5dc…99d2backed Over49c1,450$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-21.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd347…232ebacked Over49c1,450$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-21.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x205e…8a41backed Under51c1,450$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f62…53f1backed Under51c1,450$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc67b…5882backed Under51c1,450$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x34ed…4a7abacked Under51c1,450$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x692b…0d45backed Under51c1,450$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3df2…4fbcbacked Under51c1,450$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2544…3506backed Under51c1,450$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe321…7713backed Over49c1,450$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-21.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x42c4…9649backed Over49c1,450$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-21.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7a3d…683ebacked Over49c1,450$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-21.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x010f…7318backed Under51c1,450$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3df…a8e3backed Over49c1,450$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-21.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8bfd…2404backed Over49c1,450$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-21.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6d7a…4020backed Over49c1,450$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-21.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x30d1…0416backed Under51c1,450$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8d0…842fbacked Over49c1,450$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-21.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcc5b…ac6cbacked Under51c1,450$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8833…cbd4backed Under51c1,450$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b75…60f1backed Under51c1,450$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb28…3500backed Over49c1,450$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-21.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3fda…6542backed Under51c1,450$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…d883backed Under51c1,450$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c97…a72bbacked Over49c1,450$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-21.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbdef…e0a0backed Over49c1,450$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-21.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x165a…e08fbacked Under51c1,450$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3afa…ca87backed Under51c1,450$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x48e7…6986backed Under51c1,450$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe210…c4d0backed Under51c1,450$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ca5…73bcbacked Under52c1,250$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60040451.5%208 W · 196 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae60…1f06backed Over49c1,025$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.457448.6%36 W · 38 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Under50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50057950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Over47c972$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.8487451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebba…383cbacked Over53c943.39$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50024050.8%122 W · 118 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5a9…45ffbacked Under52c878.08$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.4823850%119 W · 119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Over50c800$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under50c795.24$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.373,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe1a6…afa6backed Under51c686.27$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.2711142.3%47 W · 64 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under48c674.82$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.915,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over48c582.99$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.841,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Over9c535.02$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.11,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Under52c507.69$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.6962546.9%293 W · 332 L+1.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Under51c500$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24522846.1%105 W · 123 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.