NBA · resolved market
Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 215.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x21b42e6a017efeff3ee17854946b2f4e403292d0314cce261eb66d41316a756d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $249,987
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $256,979
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $249,987 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 250 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Under | 48c | 27,000$12,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,039.98 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 44c | 24,140$10,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,724.25 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Over | 53c | 23,946$12,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,630.29 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Under | 49c | 23,407$11,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,917.18 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Over | 50c | 10,313$5,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,193.23 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Over | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Over | 51c | 8,888$4,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,532.88 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 45c | 8,407$3,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,639.06 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Over | 52c | 8,341$4,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,337.32 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 56c | 8,228$4,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,638.24 | 402 | 43.8%176 W · 226 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 52c | 8,078$4,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,169.55 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Over | 54c | 6,879$3,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,714.66 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 59c | 6,606$3,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,735.21 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 47c | 6,240$2,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,307.2 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed Over | 52c | 5,785$3,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,008.21 | 226 | 48.2%109 W · 117 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Over | 56c | 5,610$3,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,141.71 | 382 | 53.4%204 W · 178 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb75…aaf9backed Over | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,650 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Under | 57c | 4,980$2,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,140.1 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65d6…6d6bbacked Over | 54c | 4,800$2,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,592 | 128 | 44.5%57 W · 71 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 46c | 4,220$1,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,290.16 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Under | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,921.56 | 266 | 37.2%99 W · 167 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Under | 45c | 3,695$1,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,026.93 | 378 | 42.9%162 W · 216 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 48c | 3,479$1,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,806.87 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…f708backed Over | 51c | 3,458$1,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,763.5 | 194 | 45.4%88 W · 106 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 3,314$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,764.16 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Under | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,559.99 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Over | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299.99 | 359 | 42.1%151 W · 208 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 51c | 2,472$1,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,272.64 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 50c | 2,128$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.91 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 46c | 2,005$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,074.21 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Over | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 52c | 1,628$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.81 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Under | 52c | 1,600$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.99 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Under | 44c | 1,500$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Under | 56c | 1,471$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.04 | 655 | 42.9%281 W · 374 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Under | 44c | 1,460$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.46 | 401 | 46.9%188 W · 213 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 50c | 1,400$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 48c | 1,250$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Over | 52c | 1,209$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.83 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc935…2579backed Under | 67c | 1,208$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.97 | 68 | 72.1%49 W · 19 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 55c | 1,142$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.85 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 54c | 1,048$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.17 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Over | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 261 | 49.4%129 W · 132 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf630…7e65backed Over | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 291 | 49.5%144 W · 147 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Over | 56c | 999.99$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 409 | 47.7%195 W · 214 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…6736backed Under | 46c | 916.5$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.91 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…7ab8backed Under | 56c | 895.72$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.72 | 454 | 52%236 W · 218 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 48c | 885.48$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.06 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 52c | 873$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.99 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 48c | 824.4$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.91 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 46c | 754$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.16 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Under | 48c | 750$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f9c…5609backed Over | 50c | 722$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad04…3c3cbacked Under | 50c | 714$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 49cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…95a3backed Over | 50c | 704$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee73…c22bbacked Under | 50c | 698$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 51cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x518f…b106backed Under | 50c | 698$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8425…cd89backed Over | 50c | 696$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae6…3055backed Under | 50c | 694$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked Under | 48c | 682.52$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.91 | 231 | 47.6%110 W · 121 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e64…1bb3backed Under | 49c | 682$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.82 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7000…9800backed Over | 50c | 676$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25f5…dc16backed Over | 50c | 670$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe364…b9bdbacked Over | 50c | 666$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x247e…2830backed Under | 49c | 652$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.52 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef33…b3debacked Under | 50c | 650$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf1…4e7abacked Over | 50c | 650$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf37c…75e7backed Over | 50c | 644$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x114d…d8e3backed Under | 50c | 644$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95a0…02a7backed Over | 50c | 644$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b2…cbe8backed Under | 50c | 644$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28c8…33f9backed Over | 51c | 642$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 51c | 639$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.89 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x313b…951cbacked Under | 50c | 634$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7c…b33dbacked Under | 50c | 632$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d42…c873backed Over | 50c | 632$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8216…1646backed Over | 50c | 630$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…16f6backed Over | 51c | 626$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb51e…ea39backed Over | 51c | 625$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64be…1a96backed Over | 50c | 624$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66d0…532abacked Over | 50c | 622$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30e2…aa5dbacked Over | 50c | 622$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a56…6c35backed Under | 49c | 621$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6895…9366backed Under | 50c | 620$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 51cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43b5…bc0fbacked Over | 50c | 620$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3343…75eebacked Under | 50c | 620$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5458…19d8backed Under | 49c | 610$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72bc…b24ebacked Under | 46c | 605$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.7 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a6…faf3backed Under | 50c | 605$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ad…cd12backed Under | 50c | 605$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf760…4d7fbacked Under | 49c | 603$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf4a…c6adbacked Under | 49c | 603$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7001…9911backed Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…66d9backed Over | 50c | 598$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x483c…c4cebacked Under | 50c | 596$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbc…7e86backed Under | 50c | 590$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f47…210fbacked Under | 50c | 590$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc5…cab0backed Over | 50c | 590$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5459…fe60backed Over | 51c | 589$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 215.5this page
- AJ Green: Points O/U 9.5No won
- Baylor Scheierman: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Bobby Portis: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Bobby Portis: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Celtics vs. BucksCeltics won
- Celtics vs. Bucks: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
- Celtics vs. Bucks: 1H O/U 110.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Bucks: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 214.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 216.5Under won
- Derrick White: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Derrick White: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Derrick White: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Derrick White: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 29.5No won
- Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Neemias Queta: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Payton Pritchard: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Payton Pritchard: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Ryan Rollins: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Celtics (-1.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-2.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-7.5)Celtics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.