TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 214.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$68,503
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$67,308

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,503 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Over55c11,584$6,371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,371.243542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under44c10,967$4,873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,094.089,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed Over51c10,535$5,373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,372.8324053.8%129 W · 111 L+12.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x34cd…9675backed Under46c9,553$4,424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,128.5122648.2%109 W · 117 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under49c7,900$3,870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,029.062,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Over55c7,831$4,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,320.171,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Under45c3,000$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,649.9657950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Over4c2,019$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.461,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under49c1,885$924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$961.722,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a45…f628backed Over54c1,865$1,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,001.5134855.2%192 W · 156 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x128f…db9dbacked Over55c1,820$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00120651.5%106 W · 100 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x08e0…bfdfbacked Over56c1,536$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8603641.7%15 W · 21 L-5.9wins-0.17per pick58cpaid-27.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under48c1,100$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.9980737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Under46c1,052$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.211,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over40c1,040$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.638,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcc4…a439backed Over51c999.99$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51019547.2%92 W · 103 L-9.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Under49c854.28$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.6856646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2de8…1121backed Over56c714.29$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40090957.6%524 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under45c685.3$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.853,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Over53c682.13$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.3526034.6%90 W · 170 L-20.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-22.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under48c517.63$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.392,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca0f…780bbacked Under44c497.73$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.732948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under45c463.26$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.622,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under50c457.65$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.893,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c39…20eebacked Under46c421.11$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.435843.6%156 W · 202 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Under41c394.44$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.721,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Under50c392.75$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.3767921.4%145 W · 534 L+32.4wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+33.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0307…7ab8backed Under52c375.66$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.145452%236 W · 218 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa42a…d91fbacked Over52c375$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19562347.5%296 W · 327 L-17.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6870…5826backed Over55c300.15$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.0854853.8%295 W · 253 L+16.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Under45c300$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.5391148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f5e…94e9backed Under46c300$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16222746.3%105 W · 122 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under46c287.69$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.314,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45d2…22fbbacked Over54c276.94$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15011348.7%55 W · 58 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1041…f452backed Under45c257.38$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.5626949.1%132 W · 137 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under44c247.68$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.75,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over53c237.18$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.763,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under47c232.77$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.374,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ec3…9db1backed Over56c231.6$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1291050%5 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-24.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over52c229$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.215,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86a8…d0e7backed Over52c221.25$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11510955%60 W · 49 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4949…478ebacked Under46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.393548.6%17 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43f1…04e9backed Over44c215.26$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$944445.5%20 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf53…00aabacked Over50c206.77$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e3d…b56cbacked Over55c206.61$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.3737344.2%165 W · 208 L-19.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8f3e…e4a3backed Over53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10641052%213 W · 197 L-1.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18b2…9141backed Over55c198.18$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1096453.1%34 W · 30 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Over55c181.91$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10069049.4%341 W · 349 L-30.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e9c…e966backed Over55c165.19$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.614547.6%69 W · 76 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under45c158.07$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.8478648.7%383 W · 403 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Over20c155$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3152052.3%272 W · 248 L+31.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfeb1…8ec8backed Over54c148.18$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.021650%8 W · 8 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98e3…daeebacked Over43c125.94$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.6620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Over36c123.95$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.381,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66cc…7135backed Over54c117.27$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.3221250.5%107 W · 105 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf11b…3fe3backed Over52c116.11$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.36056.7%34 W · 26 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Under45c110$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.522453.1%119 W · 105 L+29.4wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+29.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over46c109.26$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.754,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Under46c105$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.746447.8%222 W · 242 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x197a…0db3backed Under51c101.96$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.962100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Over52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5239435.3%139 W · 255 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed Over51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5163353.1%336 W · 297 L-2.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47e5…9b73backed Over53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5342551.3%218 W · 207 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a50…09f4backed Under50c99.02$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.027152.1%37 W · 34 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under56c93.24$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.243,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc684…ce87backed Over55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015149%74 W · 77 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e66…e1b2backed Under48c90.51$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.2911850%59 W · 59 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under44c83.46$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.742,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b2c…5e10backed Over62c80.81$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5025752.5%135 W · 122 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Over51c76.56$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.7788057.5%506 W · 374 L+34.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x95bb…213abacked Over56c71.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403036.7%11 W · 19 L-3.9wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-19.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under45c69.46$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.31,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1f8…e204backed Over55c60$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3320%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd44d…389dbacked Over53c60$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.841354%223 W · 190 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61e4…fb60backed Over55c60$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3322044.5%98 W · 122 L-14.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Under47c59.29$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.4226048.1%125 W · 135 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9868…907ebacked Over24c56.59$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3710623.6%25 W · 81 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0642…8c68backed Under46c54.35$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.3527050%135 W · 135 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under44c52$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.0464844.8%290 W · 358 L-32.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Over54c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2761253.1%325 W · 287 L-20.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe276…a85bbacked Under46c45.56$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5312552%65 W · 60 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under41c45.52$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.861,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb87…4611backed Over55c45.45$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2512151.2%62 W · 59 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc869…bc8dbacked Over55c45.45$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259642.7%41 W · 55 L-9.4wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-20.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf12b…b5d2backed Under47c44.99$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.847456.8%42 W · 32 L+7.4wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+17.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9cfd…dfe7backed Under55c40.33$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.0514860.1%89 W · 59 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b16…1290backed Over51c39.38$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010753.3%57 W · 50 L+7.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+15.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa528…2499backed Over54c38.72$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9283158.1%483 W · 348 L+18.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba08…21f1backed Under46c38.37$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.721450%7 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf833…9e29backed Under46c37.82$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.421450%7 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f39…28dabacked Over53c37.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0111347.8%54 W · 59 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc317…4f97backed Over55c37.47$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.61450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fbb…727fbacked Under45c37.13$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4214448.6%70 W · 74 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf16a…1e3cbacked Over54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-40.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xeb81…2dadbacked Under46c36.33$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.621428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-48.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7ed8…0e99backed Over51c35.92$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1545653.5%244 W · 212 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a1f…0568backed Over56c35.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-26.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8609…4897backed Under46c35.54$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.191464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+36%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5767…8cc1backed Under45c33.33$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.331,08442.4%460 W · 624 L-48.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under46c31.4$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.962,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.