NBA · resolved market
Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 214.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b0c25082fa0eade35cae7313d983478900db07fe9cffe544002c530a495c837
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,503
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,308
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,503 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Over | 55c | 11,584$6,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,371.2 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 44c | 10,967$4,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,094.08 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Over | 51c | 10,535$5,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,372.83 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed Under | 46c | 9,553$4,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,128.51 | 226 | 48.2%109 W · 117 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 49c | 7,900$3,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,029.06 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Over | 55c | 7,831$4,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,320.17 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Under | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,649.96 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Over | 4c | 2,019$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.46 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 49c | 1,885$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.72 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a45…f628backed Over | 54c | 1,865$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.51 | 348 | 55.2%192 W · 156 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x128f…db9dbacked Over | 55c | 1,820$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001 | 206 | 51.5%106 W · 100 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08e0…bfdfbacked Over | 56c | 1,536$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -5.9wins | -0.17per pick | 58cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 48c | 1,100$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.99 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 46c | 1,052$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.21 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 40c | 1,040$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.63 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc4…a439backed Over | 51c | 999.99$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 195 | 47.2%92 W · 103 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Under | 49c | 854.28$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.68 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Over | 56c | 714.29$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 45c | 685.3$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.85 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 53c | 682.13$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.35 | 260 | 34.6%90 W · 170 L | -20.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 48c | 517.63$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.39 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca0f…780bbacked Under | 44c | 497.73$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.73 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 45c | 463.26$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.62 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 50c | 457.65$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.89 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c39…20eebacked Under | 46c | 421.11$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.4 | 358 | 43.6%156 W · 202 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Under | 41c | 394.44$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.72 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Under | 50c | 392.75$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.37 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…7ab8backed Under | 52c | 375.66$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.1 | 454 | 52%236 W · 218 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Over | 52c | 375$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6870…5826backed Over | 55c | 300.15$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.08 | 548 | 53.8%295 W · 253 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Under | 45c | 300$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.53 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…94e9backed Under | 46c | 300$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 227 | 46.3%105 W · 122 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 46c | 287.69$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.31 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d2…22fbbacked Over | 54c | 276.94$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1041…f452backed Under | 45c | 257.38$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.56 | 269 | 49.1%132 W · 137 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 44c | 247.68$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.7 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 53c | 237.18$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.76 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 47c | 232.77$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.37 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec3…9db1backed Over | 56c | 231.6$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 52c | 229$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.21 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86a8…d0e7backed Over | 52c | 221.25$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 109 | 55%60 W · 49 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4949…478ebacked Under | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43f1…04e9backed Over | 44c | 215.26$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf53…00aabacked Over | 50c | 206.77$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…b56cbacked Over | 55c | 206.61$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.37 | 373 | 44.2%165 W · 208 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…e4a3backed Over | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 410 | 52%213 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18b2…9141backed Over | 55c | 198.18$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Over | 55c | 181.91$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 690 | 49.4%341 W · 349 L | -30.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9c…e966backed Over | 55c | 165.19$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.6 | 145 | 47.6%69 W · 76 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under | 45c | 158.07$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.84 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Over | 20c | 155$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb1…8ec8backed Over | 54c | 148.18$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.02 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98e3…daeebacked Over | 43c | 125.94$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 36c | 123.95$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.38 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66cc…7135backed Over | 54c | 117.27$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.32 | 212 | 50.5%107 W · 105 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf11b…3fe3backed Over | 52c | 116.11$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.3 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Under | 45c | 110$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.5 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | +29.4wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 46c | 109.26$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.75 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 46c | 105$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.7 | 464 | 47.8%222 W · 242 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x197a…0db3backed Under | 51c | 101.96$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 394 | 35.3%139 W · 255 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 633 | 53.1%336 W · 297 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47e5…9b73backed Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 425 | 51.3%218 W · 207 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a50…09f4backed Under | 50c | 99.02$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.02 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 56c | 93.24$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.24 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…ce87backed Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 151 | 49%74 W · 77 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e66…e1b2backed Under | 48c | 90.51$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.29 | 118 | 50%59 W · 59 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 44c | 83.46$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.74 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed Over | 62c | 80.81$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 257 | 52.5%135 W · 122 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 51c | 76.56$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.77 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95bb…213abacked Over | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 45c | 69.46$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.3 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f8…e204backed Over | 55c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd44d…389dbacked Over | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…fb60backed Over | 55c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 220 | 44.5%98 W · 122 L | -14.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Under | 47c | 59.29$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.42 | 260 | 48.1%125 W · 135 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Over | 24c | 56.59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 106 | 23.6%25 W · 81 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed Under | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 270 | 50%135 W · 135 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 44c | 52$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.04 | 648 | 44.8%290 W · 358 L | -32.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Over | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 612 | 53.1%325 W · 287 L | -20.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe276…a85bbacked Under | 46c | 45.56$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.53 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 41c | 45.52$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.86 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb87…4611backed Over | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked Over | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | -9.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf12b…b5d2backed Under | 47c | 44.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.84 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | +7.4wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Under | 55c | 40.33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.05 | 148 | 60.1%89 W · 59 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b16…1290backed Over | 51c | 39.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed Over | 54c | 38.72$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.92 | 831 | 58.1%483 W · 348 L | +18.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba08…21f1backed Under | 46c | 38.37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.72 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf833…9e29backed Under | 46c | 37.82$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f39…28dabacked Over | 53c | 37.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc317…4f97backed Over | 55c | 37.47$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.61 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbb…727fbacked Under | 45c | 37.13$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16a…1e3cbacked Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb81…2dadbacked Under | 46c | 36.33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.62 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed8…0e99backed Over | 51c | 35.92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 456 | 53.5%244 W · 212 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a1f…0568backed Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8609…4897backed Under | 46c | 35.54$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.19 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +36%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5767…8cc1backed Under | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 1,084 | 42.4%460 W · 624 L | -48.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 46c | 31.4$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.96 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 214.5this page
- AJ Green: Points O/U 9.5No won
- Baylor Scheierman: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Bobby Portis: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Bobby Portis: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Celtics vs. BucksCeltics won
- Celtics vs. Bucks: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
- Celtics vs. Bucks: 1H O/U 110.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Bucks: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 215.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 216.5Under won
- Derrick White: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Derrick White: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Derrick White: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Derrick White: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 29.5No won
- Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Neemias Queta: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Payton Pritchard: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Payton Pritchard: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Ryan Rollins: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Celtics (-1.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-2.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-7.5)Celtics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.