NBA · resolved market

Celtics vs. Bucks

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x492fc9c69acce9575e73735cdc5b8676b467e4ec9794224530d2d7e016365750

Rebuilt 21 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Celticsof Celtics, Bucks
Resolved: Mar 2, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $6,615,304
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $7,341,764

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,615,304 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 2,132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xdb27…c56ebacked Celtics	56c	467,084$261,567 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$205,516.74	871	44.7%389 W · 482 L	+14.9wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Celtics	57c	400,000$228,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$171,999.9	545	39.6%216 W · 329 L	-28.2wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8dbf…53bebacked Bucks	44c	330,548$145,441 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145,441.31	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-2.0wins	-0.13per pick	50cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Celtics	56c	300,000$168,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$131,999.89	483	43.7%211 W · 272 L	+9.2wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Celtics	57c	271,929$154,999 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116,929.4	435	42.8%186 W · 249 L	-7.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07b8…8e25backed Bucks	43c	238,397$102,518 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102,517.92	232	57.8%134 W · 98 L	+7.6wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6b6…13acbacked Bucks	44c	223,383$98,289 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98,288.7	47	42.6%20 W · 27 L	-4.3wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6adc…bebabacked Bucks	45c	222,178$99,980 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99,980	34	11.8%4 W · 30 L	-8.5wins	-0.25per pick	37cpaid	-62%equal weight	34-0.14 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Bucks	43c	213,848$91,955 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91,954.58	292	45.5%133 W · 159 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Bucks	3c	190,792$5,204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,203.67	1,271	38.3%487 W · 784 L	-13.4wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Celtics	57c	175,439$100,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75,438.6	365	49.6%181 W · 184 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xa491…3177backed Bucks	43c	174,999$75,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75,249.58	59	59.3%35 W · 24 L	+3.1wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x906f…88b4backed Bucks	34c	162,182$55,832 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55,831.63	224	53.1%119 W · 105 L	+7.6wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Bucks	35c	97,820$34,420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34,419.58	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2c86…d939backed Bucks	37c	95,000$35,105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35,104.94	56	55.4%31 W · 25 L	+4.4wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed Bucks	39c	83,897$33,010 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33,010.39	308	45.8%141 W · 167 L	-12.8wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb12d…f73cbacked Bucks	39c	80,481$31,462 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31,462.18	96	55.2%53 W · 43 L	+4.3wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Bucks	42c	79,718$33,561 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33,561.01	513	54.2%278 W · 235 L	+9.2wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7a5…7c26backed Bucks	44c	71,600$31,504 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31,504	116	53.4%62 W · 54 L	+3.4wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x498c…42bfbacked Celtics	57c	70,000$39,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30,100	153	49%75 W · 78 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked Bucks	43c	68,599$29,533 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29,532.51	160	39.4%63 W · 97 L	-5.8wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe749…f660backed Bucks	44c	64,440$28,354 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28,353.6	25	48%12 W · 13 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Bucks	37c	62,449$23,026 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23,026.41	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd568…a35abacked Celtics	57c	53,307$30,385 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22,922.02	77	58.4%45 W · 32 L	+4.5wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Bucks	44c	52,500$22,910 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22,910.44	1,556	52.8%822 W · 734 L	+40.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1997…2e36backed Celtics	57c	50,000$28,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21,500	187	47.1%88 W · 99 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd92…6b2abacked Bucks	43c	49,992$21,596 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21,596.48	126	39.7%50 W · 76 L	-6.4wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x56c9…0d9ebacked Celtics	77c	46,816$36,026 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,789.58	78	69.2%54 W · 24 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	70cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Bucks	43c	45,700$19,878 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19,878	593	47%279 W · 314 L	-7.3wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68ca…9f73backed Bucks	27c	40,472$11,127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,127.43	325	40.3%131 W · 194 L	-10.2wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Bucks	43c	39,209$16,762 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16,762.46	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x88fc…099dbacked Bucks	44c	34,987$15,394 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,394.3	12	50%6 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6b1…78fdbacked Bucks	44c	30,476$13,305 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,305	66	51.5%34 W · 32 L	+6.0wins	+0.09per pick	42cpaid	+24.5%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Bucks	8c	30,000$2,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,400	1,124	48.6%546 W · 578 L	+13.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked Bucks	43c	28,673$12,406 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,406	209	48.8%102 W · 107 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Celtics	74c	28,419$20,964 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,454.74	1,003	34.7%348 W · 655 L	-44.7wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x14cc…7c02backed Bucks	32c	26,500$8,399 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,398.63	138	42.8%59 W · 79 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed Bucks	43c	25,791$11,090 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,090.17	49	53.1%26 W · 23 L	+4.1wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x11db…841fbacked Bucks	0c	25,000$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	227	0%0 W · 227 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Celtics	62c	24,370$15,141 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,228.52	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5993…33a2backed Bucks	38c	23,446$8,821 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,821	380	46.6%177 W · 203 L	-1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x5d5c…4302backed Celtics	74c	23,374$17,392 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,982.25	109	52.3%57 W · 52 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Bucks	43c	23,200$9,976 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,976	596	53.4%318 W · 278 L	+4.3wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked Bucks	43c	22,852$9,826 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,826.45	168	41.1%69 W · 99 L	-4.7wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x52ed…8db7backed Bucks	26c	22,770$5,920 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,920.22	393	49.1%193 W · 200 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1041…f452backed Bucks	44c	22,656$9,953 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,952.92	269	49.1%132 W · 137 L	-5.8wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Celtics	56c	22,286$12,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,885.71	1,194	48.8%583 W · 611 L	-22.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Bucks	43c	22,050$9,482 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,481.5	286	43%123 W · 163 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Celtics	60c	22,000$13,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,800.1	1,269	44.5%565 W · 704 L	+32.4wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e16…0127backed Bucks	44c	21,280$9,263 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,262.68	221	43%95 W · 126 L	-12.0wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3ae5…ead2backed Celtics	57c	21,053$12,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,052.63	52	48.1%25 W · 27 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe78f…9963backed Celtics	68c	20,078$13,653 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,424.96	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.32per pick	68cpaid	+47.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf367…acf1backed Bucks	32c	20,077$6,425 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,425.48	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.32per pick	32cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Celtics	57c	20,066$11,438 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,628.45	626	52.2%327 W · 299 L	-6.0wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdafa…ca1abacked Celtics	56c	20,000$11,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,799.99	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.23per pick	43cpaid	+26.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x94a5…9838backed Bucks	44c	19,554$8,604 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,603.76	209	47.8%100 W · 109 L	-3.9wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Bucks	15c	19,500$2,931 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,931.08	773	48.5%375 W · 398 L	+7.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Bucks	19c	18,735$3,558 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,558.47	1,190	32%381 W · 809 L	-58.1wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfa21…1438backed Celtics	56c	17,870$10,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,870.03	168	48.2%81 W · 87 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x183d…1270backed Celtics	57c	17,544$10,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,543.86	46	19.6%9 W · 37 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-45.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Celtics	56c	17,420$9,755 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,664.67	1,024	50.8%520 W · 504 L	+18.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Bucks	43c	17,341$7,456 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,456.45	927	53.5%496 W · 431 L	+20.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf668…5c69backed Bucks	39c	17,267$6,734 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,734.28	363	59.8%217 W · 146 L	+23.7wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Bucks	41c	16,669$6,758 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,757.93	1,163	52.8%614 W · 549 L	+22.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1461…30a1backed Bucks	44c	16,589$7,299 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,299.16	255	46.7%119 W · 136 L	-7.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Bucks	7c	16,255$1,112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,112.19	931	48.4%451 W · 480 L	+34.1wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Bucks	43c	16,138$6,939 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,939.14	172	49.4%85 W · 87 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x99e4…e4c4backed Celtics	57c	15,181$8,588 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,592.88	146	63.7%93 W · 53 L	+11.6wins	+0.08per pick	56cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbdac…f7e2backed Celtics	57c	15,000$8,550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,450.17	191	36.1%69 W · 122 L	-15.3wins	-0.08per pick	44cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Celtics	56c	15,000$8,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,600	382	51%195 W · 187 L	+8.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc869…8a6ebacked Celtics	78c	14,556$11,425 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,131.31	129	51.9%67 W · 62 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b71…8044backed Celtics	65c	14,539$9,450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,088.68	89	39.3%35 W · 54 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x3e41…a1c1backed Bucks	36c	14,013$5,094 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,093.7	68	48.5%33 W · 35 L	-4.9wins	-0.07per pick	56cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Bucks	43c	13,950$5,999 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,998.5	357	44.3%158 W · 199 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Bucks	11c	13,814$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	649	44.7%290 W · 359 L	-9.5wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Bucks	43c	12,600$5,418 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,418	285	54%154 W · 131 L	+5.5wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x558b…8302backed Bucks	1c	12,250$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	18	50%9 W · 9 L	+3.1wins	+0.17per pick	33cpaid	+29.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa8f1…4c8abacked Bucks	43c	12,048$5,181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,180.77	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-2.6wins	-0.22per pick	47cpaid	-51%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb5e9…4044backed Bucks	38c	11,660$4,431 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,430.91	90	53.3%48 W · 42 L	+3.3wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Bucks	43c	11,628$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	266	48.5%129 W · 137 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0441…b3aabacked Bucks	25c	11,500$2,929 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,929	84	41.7%35 W · 49 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f04…73d5backed Celtics	75c	11,500$8,571 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,928.98	54	44.4%24 W · 30 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1dc8…da92backed Bucks	44c	11,364$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	-1.6wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe3a8…06d9backed Bucks	43c	10,850$4,666 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,665.5	28	32.1%9 W · 19 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc18…2ce9backed Celtics	67c	10,565$7,114 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,451.66	156	43.6%68 W · 88 L	-8.3wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Celtics	62c	10,437$6,445 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,992.23	1,908	54.5%1,040 W · 868 L	+53.7wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Bucks	14c	10,300$1,442 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,442	502	41.2%207 W · 295 L	-3.8wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Bucks	43c	10,125$4,354 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,353.74	316	44.6%141 W · 175 L	-7.1wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Celtics	56c	10,121$5,668 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,453.24	1,044	47.5%496 W · 548 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Celtics	68c	10,102$6,843 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,259.94	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Bucks	25c	10,100$2,525 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,524.99	1,782	28%499 W · 1,283 L	+11.5wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cf5…6440backed Bucks	26c	10,000$2,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,600	469	28.4%133 W · 336 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Celtics	55c	10,000$5,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,500	458	50.4%231 W · 227 L	+11.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Bucks	34c	9,773$3,323 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,322.92	1,204	55.3%666 W · 538 L	+52.0wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xccff…e845backed Bucks	44c	9,670$4,255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,254.8	481	37.2%179 W · 302 L	-15.6wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefc9…b337backed Bucks	28c	9,475$2,653 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,652.99	40	37.5%15 W · 25 L	-4.5wins	-0.11per pick	49cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa07c…11a0backed Bucks	36c	9,389$3,380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,380	181	40.3%73 W · 108 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b64…eaf4backed Celtics	68c	8,815$5,983 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,831.94	268	42.9%115 W · 153 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x163e…dc5bbacked Celtics	57c	8,772$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,771.93	207	58%120 W · 87 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Celtics	63c	8,748$5,527 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,220.94	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Celtics vs. Bucksthis page
AJ Green: Points O/U 9.5No won
Baylor Scheierman: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
Bobby Portis: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
Bobby Portis: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
Celtics vs. Bucks: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
Celtics vs. Bucks: 1H O/U 110.5Under won
Celtics vs. Bucks: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 214.5Under won
Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 215.5Under won
Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 216.5Under won
Derrick White: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
Derrick White: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
Derrick White: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
Derrick White: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 4.5No won
Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 29.5No won
Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
Neemias Queta: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
Payton Pritchard: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
Payton Pritchard: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
Ryan Rollins: Assists O/U 5.5No won
Spread: Celtics (-1.5)Celtics won
Spread: Celtics (-2.5)Celtics won
Spread: Celtics (-7.5)Celtics won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Celtics vs. Bucks

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event