NBA · resolved market
Spread: Celtics (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa557372f70bb646e45960ba2cdbcb33b27aefa7943fa8cedced9da9c12960555
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Celticsof Celtics, Bucks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,627
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,210
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,627 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Celtics | 53c | 7,588$4,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,566.39 | 290 | 55.5%161 W · 129 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…f708backed Bucks | 47c | 5,307$2,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,494.2 | 194 | 45.4%88 W · 106 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Bucks | 47c | 2,916$1,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,368.77 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…d3b0backed Celtics | 57c | 2,738$1,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,182.14 | 122 | 45.1%55 W · 67 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…1769backed Bucks | 47c | 2,638$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Bucks | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 266 | 48.5%129 W · 137 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x211d…3ab7backed Celtics | 54c | 2,080$1,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.33 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Bucks | 47c | 1,915$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.05 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Celtics | 53c | 1,592$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.83 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Bucks | 47c | 1,055$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.11 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Bucks | 46c | 1,042$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.47 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5623…6930backed Celtics | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 239 | 38.1%91 W · 148 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Bucks | 18c | 999$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.82 | 260 | 34.6%90 W · 170 L | -20.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Celtics | 52c | 724.41$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.72 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Celtics | 53c | 648$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.56 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Celtics | 53c | 627$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.69 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Celtics | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.04 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Celtics | 54c | 524.13$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.97 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Bucks | 48c | 455$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.85 | 958 | 48.7%467 W · 491 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…5ec0backed Celtics | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…94e9backed Bucks | 46c | 299.99$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.24 | 227 | 46.3%105 W · 122 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Bucks | 46c | 299.98$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.06 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Bucks | 45c | 256.85$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.49 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…7ab8backed Bucks | 48c | 255.59$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.41 | 454 | 52%236 W · 218 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Celtics | 54c | 222.22$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.22 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Celtics | 54c | 174.06$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.73 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Celtics | 73c | 129.32$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.95 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Celtics | 52c | 126.08$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.52 | 402 | 43.8%176 W · 226 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Celtics | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Celtics | 52c | 102.08$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 655 | 42.9%281 W · 374 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcc…031ebacked Bucks | 48c | 102.04$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.98 | 233 | 49.4%115 W · 118 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb59c…e944backed Celtics | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbaea…4bbfbacked Celtics | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 405 | 41%166 W · 239 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bucks | 33c | 97.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.59 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c7…5861backed Celtics | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 516 | 51.2%264 W · 252 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4147…902abacked Celtics | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 173 | 42.8%74 W · 99 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Celtics | 54c | 82$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 464 | 47.8%222 W · 242 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Bucks | 48c | 75$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Bucks | 47c | 74.53$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.03 | 628 | 44.9%282 W · 346 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Bucks | 46c | 62.58$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.79 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Bucks | 46c | 58.85$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.07 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Bucks | 46c | 53.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.62 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a50…09f4backed Bucks | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Bucks | 47c | 51$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Celtics | 49c | 50.8$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.03 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1802…d00fbacked Bucks | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 162 | 43.8%71 W · 91 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed8…3affbacked Celtics | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 141 | 70.9%100 W · 41 L | +11.4wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Bucks | 46c | 25.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b98…e5d1backed Celtics | 56c | 24.06$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.49 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Celtics | 55c | 21.76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x117d…6542backed Celtics | 53c | 20.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc6b…d720backed Celtics | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Celtics | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Celtics (-1.5)this page
- AJ Green: Points O/U 9.5No won
- Baylor Scheierman: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Bobby Portis: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Bobby Portis: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Celtics vs. BucksCeltics won
- Celtics vs. Bucks: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
- Celtics vs. Bucks: 1H O/U 110.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Bucks: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 214.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 215.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 216.5Under won
- Derrick White: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Derrick White: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Derrick White: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Derrick White: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 29.5No won
- Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Neemias Queta: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Payton Pritchard: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Payton Pritchard: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Ryan Rollins: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Celtics (-2.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-7.5)Celtics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.