NBA · resolved market
Spread: Celtics (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x54e9d13fb3855f12209c9cb8a58acd8d14ad768cb4b83d114ad6ad350ff18158
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Celticsof Celtics, Bucks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,554,541
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,620,105
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,554,541 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 178 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Celtics | 49c | 531,789$260,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271,212.26 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Bucks | 51c | 489,104$249,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249,436.16 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6211…b89ebacked Bucks | 52c | 380,302$197,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197,757.23 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Bucks | 51c | 200,000$102,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102,000 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3a…3246backed Celtics | 48c | 118,179$56,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61,453.02 | 199 | 54.8%109 W · 90 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Celtics | 49c | 112,120$54,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,181.25 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked Celtics | 48c | 62,976$30,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,747.62 | 231 | 47.6%110 W · 121 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Celtics | 48c | 52,235$25,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,161.97 | 296 | 50.3%149 W · 147 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Celtics | 48c | 40,000$19,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,700 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Celtics | 49c | 36,972$18,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,855.5 | 290 | 55.5%161 W · 129 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Bucks | 51c | 30,973$15,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,796.41 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Celtics | 48c | 30,000$14,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,600 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Celtics | 48c | 15,000$7,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,800 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Celtics | 48c | 13,018$6,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,769.41 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Celtics | 49c | 12,681$6,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,467.31 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Bucks | 51c | 12,215$6,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,189.1 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Celtics | 53c | 11,346$5,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,388.97 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3817…7d10backed Bucks | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Celtics | 49c | 9,696$4,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,948.01 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aba…4961backed Celtics | 48c | 9,000$4,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,680 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Celtics | 49c | 8,163$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,163.27 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Bucks | 51c | 7,848$4,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,002.45 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Celtics | 48c | 7,484$3,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,871.63 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1041…f452backed Celtics | 48c | 7,294$3,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,792.75 | 269 | 49.1%132 W · 137 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Celtics | 49c | 7,129$3,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,647.3 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Celtics | 49c | 6,403$3,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,265.66 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Celtics | 49c | 6,150$3,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,149.34 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Celtics | 48c | 6,062$2,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,152.41 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Celtics | 49c | 5,791$2,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,953.27 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf57e…bbd6backed Bucks | 52c | 5,192$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Celtics | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Celtics | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Bucks | 40c | 4,933$1,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,988.38 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Bucks | 51c | 4,899$2,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,498.48 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Celtics | 49c | 4,500$2,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,295 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Celtics | 48c | 4,303$2,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,237.8 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Bucks | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Bucks | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Bucks | 51c | 3,333$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699.83 | 147 | 53.1%78 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Bucks | 52c | 2,710$1,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,405 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec4…6529backed Celtics | 50c | 2,492$1,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,246.24 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Bucks | 51c | 2,467$1,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,253.29 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Celtics | 49c | 2,300$1,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173 | 442 | 52.3%231 W · 211 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x622e…07abbacked Celtics | 49c | 2,137$1,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,089.73 | 173 | 56.1%97 W · 76 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Celtics | 59c | 2,119$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.12 | 402 | 43.8%176 W · 226 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x360b…982fbacked Bucks | 52c | 2,087$1,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,085 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Celtics | 48c | 2,074$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080.14 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7702…9791backed Celtics | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.82 | 241 | 51.9%125 W · 116 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x034b…b22bbacked Celtics | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +4.6wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +18%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Celtics | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Celtics | 48c | 1,998$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.41 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1df…16c1backed Bucks | 52c | 1,917$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.76 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Celtics | 48c | 1,810$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$937.37 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Celtics | 48c | 1,706$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.14 | 587 | 40%235 W · 352 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Bucks | 52c | 1,572$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.42 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Celtics | 57c | 1,247$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.5 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Celtics | 49c | 1,224$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.49 | 282 | 45.4%128 W · 154 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Bucks | 46c | 1,115$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.15 | 260 | 34.6%90 W · 170 L | -20.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x34ca…9de7backed Celtics | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 95 | 58.9%56 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5623…6930backed Celtics | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 239 | 38.1%91 W · 148 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Celtics | 48c | 997$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.44 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Celtics | 46c | 985.03$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.92 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Celtics | 48c | 964.47$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.52 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6292…d254backed Bucks | 52c | 960$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.2 | 208 | 46.6%97 W · 111 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Celtics | 49c | 816.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.33 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e3…2e82backed Celtics | 49c | 816.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.33 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Celtics | 49c | 709$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.59 | 547 | 47.5%260 W · 287 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Celtics | 48c | 625$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Celtics | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b15…a031backed Celtics | 50c | 600.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.12 | 126 | 57.9%73 W · 53 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Bucks | 51c | 600$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 493 | 45.2%223 W · 270 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d44…a304backed Celtics | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…697abacked Bucks | 51c | 568.63$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 206 | 50%103 W · 103 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…8250backed Bucks | 51c | 519.3$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.84 | 488 | 52%254 W · 234 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0941…5481backed Celtics | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.2 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +88.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Bucks | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 228 | 46.1%105 W · 123 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24a5…5d07backed Bucks | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Bucks | 52c | 486.87$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.17 | 927 | 50.6%469 W · 458 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Celtics | 61c | 482$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.57 | 655 | 42.9%281 W · 374 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Celtics | 48c | 470.02$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.41 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Celtics | 48c | 434.21$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.37 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Bucks | 52c | 419.04$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.8 | 628 | 44.9%282 W · 346 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Celtics | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 521 | 46.6%243 W · 278 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Celtics | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 103 | 51.5%53 W · 50 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6450…9547backed Celtics | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Celtics | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 361 | 43.5%157 W · 204 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…0888backed Bucks | 50c | 378$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda22…6d2abacked Celtics | 46c | 324.39$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.39 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Celtics | 49c | 323.27$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.27 | 558 | 46.8%261 W · 297 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Celtics | 49c | 306$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.06 | 210 | 45.2%95 W · 115 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Bucks | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Bucks | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Celtics | 49c | 297$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.47 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…94e9backed Bucks | 51c | 296.19$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.06 | 227 | 46.3%105 W · 122 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2123…8d70backed Bucks | 51c | 294.14$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.01 | 175 | 51.4%90 W · 85 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Bucks | 6c | 291.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Celtics | 56c | 281.05$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.25 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Celtics | 47c | 271.01$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.93 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Celtics | 49c | 270.1$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.75 | 405 | 46.9%190 W · 215 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Bucks | 52c | 266.01$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.32 | 313 | 54.3%170 W · 143 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Celtics (-2.5)this page
- AJ Green: Points O/U 9.5No won
- Baylor Scheierman: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Bobby Portis: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Bobby Portis: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Celtics vs. BucksCeltics won
- Celtics vs. Bucks: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
- Celtics vs. Bucks: 1H O/U 110.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Bucks: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 214.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 215.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 216.5Under won
- Derrick White: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Derrick White: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Derrick White: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Derrick White: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 29.5No won
- Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Neemias Queta: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Payton Pritchard: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Payton Pritchard: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Ryan Rollins: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Celtics (-1.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-7.5)Celtics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.