TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs Ursa (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
FOKUSof FOKUS, Ursa
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$116,111
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$145,319

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $116,111 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 237 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9770…0ff5backed Ursa42c20,000$8,382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,382.468043.8%35 W · 45 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d22…4b50backed FOKUS58c12,717$7,376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,341.1420554.1%111 W · 94 L+17.3wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+65.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked Ursa41c10,000$4,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,099.9618350.8%93 W · 90 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b59…3aa6backed Ursa40c7,000$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,799.9584658.4%494 W · 352 L+60.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+15.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Ursa37c5,980$2,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,184.985,02855%2,763 W · 2,265 L+112.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked FOKUS60c4,984$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,984.1616344.2%72 W · 91 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f05…a9b9backed Ursa47c4,740$2,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,204.3127259.2%161 W · 111 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8f8…891cbacked FOKUS59c3,946$2,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,613.323644.4%16 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked FOKUS58c3,420$1,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,421.051,00752.4%528 W · 479 L+27.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked Ursa42c2,135$897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$897.4227552%143 W · 132 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8adb…e4f6backed Ursa41c2,000$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$819.9829449.3%145 W · 149 L-10.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbe8…bb28backed FOKUS59c1,819$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$738.6722044.5%98 W · 122 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed FOKUS59c1,815$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$735.126445.3%29 W · 35 L-4.8wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-23.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9def…6eacbacked FOKUS65c1,460$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.220358.1%118 W · 85 L+22.4wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+25%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0083…80fdbacked FOKUS60c1,384$824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.957038.6%27 W · 43 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-24.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa927…8d9fbacked FOKUS64c1,319$846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.3434559.1%204 W · 141 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed Ursa42c1,234$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.1822750.2%114 W · 113 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f17…7035backed FOKUS62c1,185$741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.5845065.6%295 W · 155 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked FOKUS62c1,141$708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.932,59947.8%1,242 W · 1,357 L-30.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8085…ea17backed FOKUS64c1,094$697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.931957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+15.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Ursa36c1,069$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.8666551.9%345 W · 320 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked FOKUS58c1,034$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.4810252%53 W · 49 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Ursa43c999.99$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42510154.5%55 W · 46 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a70…0519backed Ursa42c950.66$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.1738835.6%138 W · 250 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-5.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7069…325bbacked FOKUS58c912.99$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.4694445.7%431 W · 513 L+17.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed FOKUS58c901.35$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.574163.4%26 W · 15 L+5.3wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+28.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1b78…e589backed FOKUS60c899.86$537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.9435861.7%221 W · 137 L+18.3wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf4d9…c125backed FOKUS57c881.03$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.532556%14 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked FOKUS62c865.93$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.52,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x906f…2877backed Ursa41c796.77$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.6864554.4%351 W · 294 L+25.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e9e…102abacked FOKUS54c764.32$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.599757.7%56 W · 41 L+8.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+17.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfb18…2571backed FOKUS60c753.33$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.331560%9 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+27.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x18c6…a4dbbacked FOKUS59c750$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.54654.3%25 W · 21 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0dad…4855backed Ursa41c749.99$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.510352.4%54 W · 49 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8407…4589backed FOKUS59c727.71$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.462133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-38.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b39…3234backed Ursa33c722.26$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.3931345%141 W · 172 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x88b0…f8d8backed FOKUS59c709$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.6921744.7%97 W · 120 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa535…9e5ebacked FOKUS58c703.98$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.9810062%62 W · 38 L+8.8wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+21.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6dd9…bfe8backed FOKUS57c700$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29810653.8%57 W · 49 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Ursa37c649.08$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.161,99853.7%1,073 W · 925 L+5.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb441…f757backed FOKUS59c638.32$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.0318754%101 W · 86 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Ursa40c625.32$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.298248.3%474 W · 508 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb6c…d38ebacked FOKUS62c606$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.587940.5%32 W · 47 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-21.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0800…ceb0backed Ursa40c600$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2408143.2%35 W · 46 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed FOKUS66c598.03$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.4788242.3%373 W · 509 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa917…4e8dbacked FOKUS58c580$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.68848.9%43 W · 45 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdec9…b8abbacked Ursa40c560$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22420643.7%90 W · 116 L-9.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Ursa37c539.98$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.795,81037.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L+78.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcef…fd7fbacked FOKUS64c534.27$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.3412846.1%59 W · 69 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24d2…92c5backed Ursa36c531.58$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.9412638.9%49 W · 77 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Ursa31c529.97$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.624,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8857…4b5bbacked Ursa38c525$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.9119.1%1 W · 10 L-3.8wins-0.34per pick43cpaid-83.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x56d6…4404backed FOKUS60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20064058.1%372 W · 268 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4498…473dbacked Ursa39c500$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19530%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed FOKUS63c499.98$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.9914650.7%74 W · 72 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed FOKUS66c485.14$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.956,46642.9%2,777 W · 3,689 L-78.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c64…89babacked FOKUS62c473$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.7434542.3%146 W · 199 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Ursa32c442.37$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.573,16545.7%1,446 W · 1,719 L-74.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd95d…2ab5backed FOKUS62c424.76$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.6732544.3%144 W · 181 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked Ursa41c424.02$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.1374653.5%399 W · 347 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcab0…0d18backed Ursa39c420.44$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.97825%2 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-50.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xae10…09e3backed FOKUS60c419.45$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.756251.6%32 W · 30 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0612…559abacked FOKUS58c404$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.6813556.3%76 W · 59 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked FOKUS65c390.71$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.914,89737.4%1,832 W · 3,065 L-245.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6f47…b8f2backed FOKUS60c390.68$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.271060%6 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+27.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed Ursa39c389.31$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.431,60552.6%845 W · 760 L+57.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa1b6…e0a0backed FOKUS58c381.72$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.728253.7%44 W · 38 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc52…dfcebacked Ursa40c380$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1527736.4%28 W · 49 L-9.3wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-27.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed FOKUS60c379.44$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.2838037.4%142 W · 238 L-14.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed FOKUS60c377.29$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.111,60646.8%752 W · 854 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e48…6158backed Ursa40c375$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15038052.6%200 W · 180 L+0.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked FOKUS30c374.49$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.181,59146.6%741 W · 850 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54d1…13f4backed FOKUS60c364.75$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.97949.4%39 W · 40 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0bfe…5c6cbacked FOKUS58c333.33$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.3322954.6%125 W · 104 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked FOKUS61c330.93$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.912,45434.4%845 W · 1,609 L-189.3wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd46e…d10dbacked FOKUS63c307.73$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.7353034.7%184 W · 346 L-32.8wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5b0c…d43abacked FOKUS61c300.6$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.6846247.8%221 W · 241 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked FOKUS62c296.32$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.5440635.7%145 W · 261 L-33.0wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-31%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe123…b4ffbacked Ursa38c273.28$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.138548.2%41 W · 44 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3088…2391backed FOKUS59c259$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.194856.3%27 W · 21 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b4c…1715backed FOKUS31c255.77$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.1742427.1%115 W · 309 L+13.8wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe252…5714backed Ursa40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023335.2%82 W · 151 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+15.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7da…43d9backed FOKUS62c248.49$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.4327056.3%152 W · 118 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe419…f6c4backed FOKUS60c214.09$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.645944.1%26 W · 33 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9982…8b06backed FOKUS60c211.46$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.972138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8da6…107abacked FOKUS60c203.33$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.3312948.8%63 W · 66 L-7.1wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x66ea…6791backed FOKUS60c201.67$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.6717948%86 W · 93 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7210…4bb5backed Ursa42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$842147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8248…c0b2backed Ursa37c200$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7420750.7%105 W · 102 L-9.9wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc04…f726backed Ursa42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x18f3…0c20backed Ursa38c200$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7626155.2%144 W · 117 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad89…e006backed FOKUS29c199.99$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14139040.8%159 W · 231 L+30.7wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+21.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3573…4b4dbacked Ursa17c198.13$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.41137.7%1 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick17cpaid-49.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8bec…7800backed FOKUS54c193$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.9533148.3%160 W · 171 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6195…388abacked FOKUS60c191$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.48654.7%47 W · 39 L+0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed FOKUS62c190.69$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.0880740.3%325 W · 482 L-3.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07f9…1513backed FOKUS58c187.93$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.9344343.3%192 W · 251 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa304…0b05backed FOKUS59c187.29$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.791957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+25.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xace6…5556backed FOKUS61c180$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.267651.8%350 W · 326 L+2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1be…6471backed FOKUS59c178.74$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.7442757.8%247 W · 180 L+0.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.