TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs Young Ninjas (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
RUSTECof RUSTEC, Young Ninjas
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$95,253
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$106,909

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,253 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 197 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb83…1e50backed RUSTEC57c5,505$3,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,339.852,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked RUSTEC57c5,409$3,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,302.685,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed RUSTEC58c3,800$2,204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,595.9966851.8%346 W · 322 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked RUSTEC54c3,525$1,887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,638.83,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked RUSTEC42c2,108$892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,215.913,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5093…8d00backed Young Ninjas42c1,974$829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$828.917045.7%32 W · 38 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d68…9ff7backed Young Ninjas53c1,895$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+51.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd8c…dfbebacked Young Ninjas57c1,889$1,076 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0763663.9%23 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfdfa…7491backed Young Ninjas49c1,788$881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$880.773740.5%15 W · 22 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e34…4480backed Young Ninjas41c1,502$621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$620.6649935.1%175 W · 324 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ff4…d731backed Young Ninjas43c1,230$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528.7819840.9%81 W · 117 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7069…325bbacked RUSTEC35c1,000$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65094645.8%433 W · 513 L+18.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked RUSTEC30c991.89$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690.171,59146.6%741 W · 850 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Young Ninjas52c939.79$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.256,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c8a…fcb5backed Young Ninjas43c933.25$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.1120%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe19…d398backed Young Ninjas42c924.35$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.881560%9 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Young Ninjas43c840.82$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.957641.5%239 W · 337 L-8.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8407…4589backed Young Ninjas41c823.74$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.732133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-38.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c73…750abacked Young Ninjas42c772.42$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327128.3%1 W · 11 L-4.0wins-0.34per pick42cpaid-74%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xfdd2…0abfbacked Young Ninjas41c731.71$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007843.6%34 W · 44 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x568d…87d0backed Young Ninjas42c715.12$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30028943.6%126 W · 163 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+14.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed RUSTEC58c713.19$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.32,00953.9%1,082 W · 927 L+7.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x300b…8e51backed Young Ninjas27c700$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.241716.5%69 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-31.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa34…6628backed Young Ninjas42c686.95$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.523050%15 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b59…0ba0backed Young Ninjas18c683.56$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.0455738.4%214 W · 343 L+11.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcef…fd7fbacked Young Ninjas42c673$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.6612846.1%59 W · 69 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8668…7f8fbacked RUSTEC46c653.83$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.8313343.6%58 W · 75 L-9.8wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed RUSTEC53c645.94$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.044,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x32bb…8addbacked RUSTEC75c624.34$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.343354.5%18 W · 15 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick64cpaid-14.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x59aa…3376backed RUSTEC72c623.98$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.35862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick71cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa113…284ebacked Young Ninjas48c619.48$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30020935.4%74 W · 135 L-21.5wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-27.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0544…7924backed Young Ninjas4c556.23$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.240%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeaf1…09b7backed Young Ninjas42c540$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.2311140.5%45 W · 66 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed Young Ninjas68c517.57$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.4849646.6%231 W · 265 L+1.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x159f…4043backed Young Ninjas22c513.28$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.762429.2%7 W · 17 L-3.3wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-45%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2a3d…f178backed Young Ninjas42c509.55$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.01714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick29cpaid-75.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Young Ninjas43c501.82$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.025,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe337…1f6fbacked RUSTEC58c500$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.2626341.1%108 W · 155 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24d2…92c5backed RUSTEC59c500$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20512638.9%49 W · 77 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed RUSTEC59c474.92$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.911,62052.7%853 W · 767 L+57.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b24…ba5cbacked Young Ninjas42c447.89$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.113461.8%21 W · 13 L+6.1wins+0.18per pick44cpaid+41.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd02a…4771backed Young Ninjas44c422.73$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18619245.8%88 W · 104 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb888…b15bbacked Young Ninjas68c412.24$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2803228.1%9 W · 23 L-4.4wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-32.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xef2b…70efbacked RUSTEC46c393.87$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.8712564.8%81 W · 44 L+7.0wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf7e8…7953backed RUSTEC38c393.86$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.8640449.8%201 W · 203 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bef…5e49backed Young Ninjas42c387$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.98256.1%46 W · 36 L+6.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+31.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xedd0…731cbacked RUSTEC52c376.44$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.6933060.9%201 W · 129 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe00f…0ae8backed Young Ninjas42c376.17$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.342334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcef5…e9acbacked Young Ninjas41c371.81$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.446437.5%24 W · 40 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-18.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Young Ninjas68c366.62$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.472,60452.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L+98.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Young Ninjas44c357.56$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.44,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cee…b72abacked Young Ninjas41c353.22$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.825354.7%29 W · 24 L+4.6wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+31.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc54d…05f6backed Young Ninjas42c350$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1471330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-35.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb57f…0c96backed Young Ninjas41c346.22$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.9521545.6%98 W · 117 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x524f…2642backed Young Ninjas42c345.24$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1454134.1%14 W · 27 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f41…547cbacked Young Ninjas8c289.99$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.224447.1%115 W · 129 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e42…f22abacked Young Ninjas66c277.75$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.7621741%89 W · 128 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fbc…96b7backed RUSTEC58c276.95$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.951855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35f0…971ebacked Young Ninjas43c275$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.2531647.8%151 W · 165 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked Young Ninjas42c271.26$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.9363541.9%266 W · 369 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c98…186dbacked Young Ninjas42c262.5$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.2535947.9%172 W · 187 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5489…1633backed RUSTEC47c255.96$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.96955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88b0…f8d8backed Young Ninjas43c242$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.0621744.7%97 W · 120 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Young Ninjas26c237$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.381,27821.9%280 W · 998 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2cd2…5bf0backed Young Ninjas42c232.4$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.611154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid+7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5a8…bf60backed RUSTEC44c228.2$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.298856.1%554 W · 434 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x623d…3aeebacked Young Ninjas42c219.14$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.0410137.6%38 W · 63 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-19.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x38a7…cb12backed Young Ninjas59c216.23$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.4620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Young Ninjas41c212.49$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.711,61846.8%758 W · 860 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c67…a479backed Young Ninjas63c209.46$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.120258.9%119 W · 83 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9859…1650backed Young Ninjas47c208$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.412538.4%48 W · 77 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-25%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe572…f655backed Young Ninjas57c204.14$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa72a…5685backed Young Ninjas41c203.72$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.5331241.3%129 W · 183 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e0d…49fdbacked Young Ninjas74c200.1$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.15250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-30.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c41…6275backed Young Ninjas61c200$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12218432.6%60 W · 124 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1355…a695backed Young Ninjas42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8414545.5%66 W · 79 L+7.3wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a03…a455backed RUSTEC43c199.99$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.994100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+90.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x94e5…52bebacked RUSTEC51c197.94$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.946251.6%32 W · 30 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x50fb…60cbbacked RUSTEC39c192.99$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.682634.6%9 W · 17 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-31.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe9b…cbe5backed Young Ninjas42c192.86$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8144244.1%195 W · 247 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1982…bc7bbacked RUSTEC43c191.3$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.5531845.3%144 W · 174 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4363…ed05backed Young Ninjas53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae10…09e3backed Young Ninjas47c185.34$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.226251.6%32 W · 30 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2405…5ad8backed Young Ninjas42c183$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.865442.6%23 W · 31 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked RUSTEC49c182.47$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.854,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Young Ninjas43c180$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.0491945.8%421 W · 498 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6dd9…bfe8backed RUSTEC57c179.58$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.2210653.8%57 W · 49 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc218…2c33backed Young Ninjas53c179.11$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.591485.7%12 W · 2 L+2.9wins+0.21per pick65cpaid+27.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked RUSTEC60c178.16$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.051,71052.3%895 W · 815 L-73.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x206c…2b8dbacked Young Ninjas42c176.55$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.86744.8%30 W · 37 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b1a…d790backed Young Ninjas42c175$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.57946.8%37 W · 42 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Young Ninjas42c164.29$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6954543.5%237 W · 308 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed RUSTEC57c163$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.0974054.6%404 W · 336 L+15.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6684…95d1backed Young Ninjas62c160$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.24963.3%31 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick64cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x304f…af95backed Young Ninjas67c158.33$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10623757%135 W · 102 L-8.3wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x285b…df1ebacked Young Ninjas43c157.63$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.2815247.4%72 W · 80 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4704…515ebacked Young Ninjas32c153.94$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5037140.7%151 W · 220 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb373…d97cbacked RUSTEC58c142.3$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.7758745.5%267 W · 320 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed Young Ninjas41c140.51$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.612,52243%1,085 W · 1,437 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked RUSTEC58c139.92$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.574653.5%399 W · 347 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.