CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs Young Ninjas - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe9934845c3dd6bed4faee04c11b2a3868dbad306e03cae1b63fa031c02046897
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Young Ninjasof RUSTEC, Young Ninjas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,653
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,072
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,653 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2529…548abacked Young Ninjas | 49c | 1,954$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.48 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed RUSTEC | 62c | 1,184$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.25 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Young Ninjas | 38c | 487.4$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.07 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked RUSTEC | 5c | 401.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c41…6275backed RUSTEC | 41c | 400$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 184 | 32.6%60 W · 124 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked RUSTEC | 56c | 294.35$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.79 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Young Ninjas | 42c | 242.37$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.64 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…3ccbbacked RUSTEC | 37c | 228$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.91 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Young Ninjas | 50c | 222.04$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.99 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e42…f22abacked RUSTEC | 41c | 200$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 217 | 41%89 W · 128 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed RUSTEC | 39c | 141$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.71 | 579 | 35.1%203 W · 376 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed RUSTEC | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 373 | 39.7%148 W · 225 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…a695backed RUSTEC | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 145 | 45.5%66 W · 79 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked RUSTEC | 57c | 92.82$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.89 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked RUSTEC | 65c | 89.39$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed RUSTEC | 31c | 74.12$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.98 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ac…a948backed Young Ninjas | 29c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed RUSTEC | 31c | 43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 452 | 40.3%182 W · 270 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef2b…70efbacked RUSTEC | 59c | 34.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 125 | 64.8%81 W · 44 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked RUSTEC | 46c | 30.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 597 | 3%18 W · 579 L | -221.0wins | -0.37per pick | 40cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 11-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Young Ninjas | 41c | 28.97$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.09 | 499 | 35.1%175 W · 324 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs Young Ninjas - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs Young Ninjas (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-InRUSTEC won
- Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs Young Ninjas - Map 2 WinnerRUSTEC won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: RUST (-1.5) vs Young Ninjas (+1.5)Young Ninjas won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.