TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xef2b…70ef

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
163
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: CS2, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 55 out of 100; worst Tennis at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT12564.8%81 W · 44 L+7.0wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 125 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$9.59
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Playoffsbacked Nuclear TigeRES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Nexus vs Alliance - Map 1 Winnerbacked Nexus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$13.3
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stagebacked illwill · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$15.56
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 Winnerbacked illwill · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+57.9%+$34.74
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stagebacked RUSTEC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+69.1%+$28.34
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Playoffsbacked OLDBOYS- · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+76.1%+$15.23
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+34.3%+$20.6
Counter-Strike: Washed vs Invicta (BO1) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group Abacked Washed · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.57
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winnerbacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+56.5%+$28.26
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Counter-Strike: Ding Cuts vs DXA Esports (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 Group Bbacked Ding Cuts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stagebacked ex-RUBY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stagebacked KOLESIE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+41.7%+$16.48
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked CYBERSHOKE Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$26.67
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.96
Counter-Strike: illwill vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group Stagebacked illwill · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$231.18
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$113.16
Counter-Strike: Abyssal vs Rooster (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 Group Abacked Rooster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+90.5%+$90.5
Counter-Strike: Abyssal vs Rooster - Map 1 Winnerbacked Rooster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.97
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$84.38
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+46.4%+$185.41
Showing 25 of 125 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT1546.7%7 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.16per pick62cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+48.5%+$9.7
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.91
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$8.81
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+51.7%+$12.93
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 6.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.57
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$11.79
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)backed Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
Will Germany win on 2026-06-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$436Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+25.9%+$112.82
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Slovakia vs. Malta end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 15 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-28.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+39.4%+$17.34
Valorant: Fennel vs REJECT (BO3) - VCL Japan Main Stagebacked Fennel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Valorant: Division One vs Azure Dragon Gaming (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stagebacked Division One · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Valorant: SaD Esports vs FlyQuest (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stagebacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Valorant: Fnatic vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Stage 2backed Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffsbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.85
Valorant: MIBR vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffsbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO5) - VCT China Playoffsbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$11.32
All 9 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-2.6wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cruzeiro EC vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+71.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+71.1%+$35.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indiana Fever vs. Washington Mysticsbacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+48.1%+$48.08
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.