TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Uzbekistanof Netherlands, Uzbekistan
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$137,131
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$146,702

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $137,131 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 201 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb809…2004backed Uzbekistan42c31,971$13,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,543.175957.6%34 W · 25 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Netherlands58c30,172$17,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,50019644.9%88 W · 108 L+9.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Uzbekistan42c13,355$5,603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,751.463,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Netherlands55c13,243$7,294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,294.332,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Netherlands15c6,594$973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$973.2584738.8%329 W · 518 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Uzbekistan42c5,938$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,438.2213544.4%60 W · 75 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Uzbekistan50c4,943$2,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,478.0864446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb370…1e7fbacked Uzbekistan43c4,703$2,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,664.813100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+110.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Netherlands57c3,565$2,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,032.2618740.6%76 W · 111 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc905…850bbacked Netherlands58c3,360$1,948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,947.8414061.4%86 W · 54 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Netherlands58c2,510$1,456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,455.623255.2%128 W · 104 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd881…af24backed Uzbekistan48c2,362$1,134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,22822450.4%113 W · 111 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Uzbekistan42c2,353$986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,367.074,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4b7…3267backed Uzbekistan48c2,200$1,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,148.5527058.1%157 W · 113 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c1a…5cb0backed Uzbekistan46c2,170$998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,171.7825537.6%96 W · 159 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Netherlands58c2,161$1,261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,260.7661750.6%312 W · 305 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c3a…a56bbacked Netherlands50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00022643.4%98 W · 128 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Netherlands50c2,000$1,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,006.7310157.4%58 W · 43 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Uzbekistan41c1,945$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,145.011,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3ed…9f79backed Netherlands57c1,754$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0006939.1%27 W · 42 L-6.7wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Netherlands58c1,724$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00089443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked Netherlands1c1,603$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.037057.1%40 W · 30 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1103…bb2fbacked Netherlands59c1,419$837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$837.120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9542…4295backed Netherlands19c1,300$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.5757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3bd…6dddbacked Uzbekistan42c1,200$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6943834.2%13 W · 25 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-14.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Uzbekistan43c1,170$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$671.183,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Uzbekistan39c1,154$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.024,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Uzbekistan39c1,149$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$698.712,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Netherlands55c1,138$627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$626.922,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Netherlands5c1,048$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.391,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x66e5…d3c7backed Netherlands60c999.64$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.915150.3%76 W · 75 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+16.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Netherlands54c925.93$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50030465.1%198 W · 106 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74a9…0dc7backed Netherlands54c924.07$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4997853.8%42 W · 36 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c54…7e41backed Netherlands58c862.07$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010848.1%52 W · 56 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2aa3…f47dbacked Netherlands50c848.95$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe471…34c0backed Netherlands58c821.4$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.248138.3%31 W · 50 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid+0.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb399…9435backed Netherlands54c801.65$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.3828042.1%118 W · 162 L-16.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Netherlands59c784.03$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.588250%41 W · 41 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Netherlands7c781.33$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.883153.3%443 W · 388 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Uzbekistan39c781$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.1493542.2%395 W · 540 L-27.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf44…71a4backed Netherlands55c761.72$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.564348.8%21 W · 22 L+3.8wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+11.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Uzbekistan38c759.65$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.7134330%103 W · 240 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3a5…cd84backed Uzbekistan43c697.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.676850%34 W · 34 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xed0d…bc18backed Netherlands58c689.66$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4008231.7%26 W · 56 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd306…463dbacked Netherlands64c639.52$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.0829463.3%186 W · 108 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Netherlands59c598.8$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.2976551.6%395 W · 370 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Netherlands59c552.71$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.11,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84bc…4aadbacked Netherlands38c527.61$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.494940.8%20 W · 29 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86c8…c867backed Uzbekistan57c524.42$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.0815459.7%92 W · 62 L+20.0wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+32.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xc547…a542backed Uzbekistan41c500$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-31.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Uzbekistan40c493.94$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.1738745%174 W · 213 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f85…4834backed Netherlands59c488.1$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2884143.9%18 W · 23 L-4.1wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-20.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3275…b8acbacked Uzbekistan41c487.8$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.810762.6%67 W · 40 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+8.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3599…5338backed Uzbekistan49c473.3$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.31266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+37.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8987…02f3backed Uzbekistan45c429.63$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.0214342.7%61 W · 82 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+24.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2dba…1d6cbacked Netherlands56c409.89$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.5411561.7%71 W · 44 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b0c…a1aabacked Netherlands58c399.99$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.9911544.3%51 W · 64 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Uzbekistan41c388.05$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.9540736.6%149 W · 258 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6844…7633backed Netherlands57c383.23$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.447953.2%42 W · 37 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb581…0308backed Netherlands57c373.99$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.1747049.4%232 W · 238 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x675c…4341backed Netherlands58c370.69$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2153740.5%15 W · 22 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Netherlands55c357.11$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.4159752.1%311 W · 286 L-2.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x789f…2e8abacked Netherlands58c344.83$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004866.7%32 W · 16 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+43.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcff1…f8debacked Netherlands59c311.9$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1859131.9%29 W · 62 L+0.5wins0.00per pick31cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdecf…caf2backed Netherlands65c306.44$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20013653.7%73 W · 63 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d93…b34dbacked Netherlands59c305.08$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18024555.1%135 W · 110 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88f2…a6c1backed Netherlands67c300.5$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.3319944.7%89 W · 110 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae8c…b99bbacked Netherlands56c300$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1682626.9%7 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Netherlands50c296$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.042,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c88…0e4dbacked Netherlands36c277.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003321.2%7 W · 26 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-48.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb269…6adebacked Netherlands60c249.07$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.4429138.5%112 W · 179 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b9d…77debacked Uzbekistan43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.563243.8%14 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Netherlands54c227.48$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.641,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Uzbekistan42c221.39$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.111,68854.4%918 W · 770 L+31.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddf1…a604backed Uzbekistan46c221.23$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.9726459.5%157 W · 107 L+18.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+15.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Uzbekistan42c212.28$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.3781554.8%447 W · 368 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6076…5e6dbacked Netherlands47c205.98$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.7920%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2aa1…dba8backed Netherlands57c202.7$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.2331554.6%172 W · 143 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6aa1…a420backed Netherlands51c196.07$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012631%39 W · 87 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Uzbekistan42c194.02$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.531,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Uzbekistan43c192.86$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.71,00544.3%445 W · 560 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a36…2450backed Netherlands58c186.34$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.083729.7%11 W · 26 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-43.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f41…b987backed Netherlands58c185$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.3333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x962e…3c2dbacked Netherlands56c183.87$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.973650%18 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Uzbekistan41c177.33$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.171,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf263…e9c1backed Netherlands58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012060.8%73 W · 47 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0690…8821backed Netherlands58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8492…f17cbacked Netherlands59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10043246.8%202 W · 230 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9541…7f67backed Netherlands60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.22per pick56cpaid+42.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xef2b…70efbacked Netherlands60c164.52$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981546.7%7 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.16per pick62cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa533…ea7fbacked Netherlands62c154.05$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.51333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-40.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Netherlands59c149.35$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.3541857.9%242 W · 176 L+14.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c8e…22c3backed Uzbekistan43c139.53$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.531540%6 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Uzbekistan51c135.94$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.9423658.1%137 W · 99 L+20.4wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+17.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa936…3b90backed Netherlands59c129.71$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.4713955.4%77 W · 62 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd339…9d25backed Netherlands39c129.56$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512142.9%9 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-26%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x61f1…7aefbacked Netherlands46c127.93$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.8522951.1%117 W · 112 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+24.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xadbc…8af3backed Netherlands59c123$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.573423.5%8 W · 26 L-6.5wins-0.19per pick43cpaid-44.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Uzbekistan40c122.09$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.271638.4%275 W · 441 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a10…7843backed Netherlands58c120.69$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7013357.1%76 W · 57 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.