Fifa International · resolved market
Spread: Netherlands (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x476abdfc95245f4a2eb4c28233c7e093345b076f5220d111abeedf8c0d6b806b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Uzbekistanof Netherlands, Uzbekistan
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,081
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,195
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,081 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Netherlands | 34c | 3,594$1,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,221.85 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Uzbekistan | 66c | 1,858$1,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.63 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Uzbekistan | 66c | 1,725$1,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.01 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Netherlands | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.99 | 385 | 26.8%103 W · 282 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Uzbekistan | 66c | 1,428$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.08 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Uzbekistan | 67c | 1,224$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.03 | 617 | 50.6%312 W · 305 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Netherlands | 35c | 1,143$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 894 | 43.4%388 W · 506 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Uzbekistan | 73c | 1,009$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.12 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Netherlands | 34c | 852.42$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.39 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Uzbekistan | 66c | 667$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.78 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3275…b8acbacked Uzbekistan | 65c | 606.15$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.15 | 107 | 62.6%67 W · 40 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe976…8b73backed Uzbekistan | 68c | 588.24$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.24 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Uzbekistan | 66c | 541.77$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.2 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Netherlands | 35c | 499.99$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd360…2eabbacked Netherlands | 33c | 496.97$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 223 | 55.6%124 W · 99 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Netherlands | 33c | 495.87$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.64 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Netherlands | 35c | 493.04$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.43 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a2…bcd1backed Netherlands | 35c | 485.71$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Netherlands | 34c | 458.77$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.37 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba3e…4cbcbacked Uzbekistan | 67c | 447.89$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.53 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe462…e436backed Netherlands | 27c | 414.81$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 229 | 19.2%44 W · 185 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Netherlands | 39c | 406.41$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked Uzbekistan | 64c | 400$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 335 | 55.5%186 W · 149 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Uzbekistan | 65c | 370.17$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.56 | 145 | 64.1%93 W · 52 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Netherlands | 36c | 356.94$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.13 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb399…9435backed Netherlands | 35c | 315.78$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.02 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -16.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa6…f866backed Netherlands | 33c | 303$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Netherlands | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.57 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Netherlands | 34c | 297.13$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.94 | 343 | 30%103 W · 240 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82b3…0c0ebacked Netherlands | 33c | 284.79$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 135 | 31.9%43 W · 92 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf76…dfcbbacked Uzbekistan | 66c | 228.44$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.44 | 91 | 39.6%36 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Uzbekistan | 69c | 220$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.25 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Netherlands | 35c | 202.44$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.85 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Uzbekistan | 66c | 199.55$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.5 | 481 | 52.4%252 W · 229 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe89…e3c0backed Uzbekistan | 68c | 197.06$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.56 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7b…eac6backed Uzbekistan | 70c | 171.43$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 174 | 59.8%104 W · 70 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked Netherlands | 36c | 155.56$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 249 | 35.3%88 W · 161 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa1…a420backed Netherlands | 31c | 151.61$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 126 | 31%39 W · 87 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42a6…cb72backed Uzbekistan | 66c | 151.54$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd254…9858backed Uzbekistan | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 94 | 62.8%59 W · 35 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Netherlands | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 524 | 41.4%217 W · 307 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacd1…0689backed Netherlands | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Uzbekistan | 66c | 140.27$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.16 | 847 | 51%432 W · 415 L | +10.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Uzbekistan | 67c | 139.02$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.65 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Uzbekistan | 65c | 135.29$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.35 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac1…198bbacked Netherlands | 36c | 133.56$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.08 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4978…3378backed Uzbekistan | 70c | 130$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…39e0backed Netherlands | 12c | 126.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…bbbabacked Netherlands | 12c | 126$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | +34.7wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +61%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…b629backed Netherlands | 12c | 126$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +10.8wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1985…51abbacked Netherlands | 12c | 126$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +19.7wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…af29backed Netherlands | 12c | 126$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 98 | 62.2%61 W · 37 L | +20.5wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x425e…ecfabacked Netherlands | 13c | 117.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 113 | 60.2%68 W · 45 L | +22.2wins | +0.20per pick | 41cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x03c9…d8c1backed Netherlands | 13c | 116.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 131 | 58.8%77 W · 54 L | +26.4wins | +0.20per pick | 39cpaid | +82.8%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x09b0…a3b6backed Netherlands | 13c | 116.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 142 | 60.6%86 W · 56 L | +25.7wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…bbb2backed Netherlands | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Netherlands | 11c | 103$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3968…85b5backed Netherlands | 15c | 100.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | +20.4wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xae8c…b99bbacked Netherlands | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Uzbekistan | 65c | 97.99$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.64 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6325…cfaabacked Uzbekistan | 65c | 95.25$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.34 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae04…6adbbacked Netherlands | 35c | 91.03$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.86 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Uzbekistan | 69c | 90$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 908 | 40.9%371 W · 537 L | -64.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Netherlands | 32c | 87.14$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.07 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x348c…c8efbacked Uzbekistan | 66c | 85.76$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 332 | 45.5%151 W · 181 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8328…e5ebbacked Uzbekistan | 66c | 85.67$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.13 | 365 | 43.3%158 W · 207 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc7…43e5backed Netherlands | 36c | 76.7$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.91 | 138 | 30.4%42 W · 96 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…740cbacked Uzbekistan | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 90 | 33.3%30 W · 60 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Netherlands | 30c | 66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Uzbekistan | 66c | 58.08$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.75 | 418 | 57.9%242 W · 176 L | +14.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Netherlands | 44c | 58$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 260 | 47.3%123 W · 137 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5fc…a7a3backed Netherlands | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c77…e637backed Netherlands | 31c | 52.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Uzbekistan | 65c | 46.95$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.44 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Uzbekistan | 65c | 44.49$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.57 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed Uzbekistan | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 87 | 66.7%58 W · 29 L | +12.6wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x72bd…d37abacked Netherlands | 41c | 43.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 181 | 39.2%71 W · 110 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Netherlands | 34c | 43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 815 | 54.8%447 W · 368 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5235…24b8backed Uzbekistan | 66c | 40.11$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.69 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Netherlands | 32c | 36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 413 | 44.1%182 W · 231 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Netherlands | 34c | 32.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 311 | 47.9%149 W · 162 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadcb…c2bebacked Uzbekistan | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 95 | 32.6%31 W · 64 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2638…8e2dbacked Uzbekistan | 68c | 30.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 365 | 58.4%213 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4238…3fbcbacked Netherlands | 37c | 29.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd44…1e6ebacked Uzbekistan | 68c | 29.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 48 | 68.8%33 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa402…d14bbacked Uzbekistan | 69c | 27.97$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.67 | 146 | 53.4%78 W · 68 L | -11.6wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee99…b285backed Uzbekistan | 66c | 24.24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.24 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Uzbekistan | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 235 | 52.8%124 W · 111 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d44…9f3bbacked Uzbekistan | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 77 | 64.9%50 W · 27 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Uzbekistan | 69c | 19.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b7…3267backed Uzbekistan | 66c | 17.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 270 | 58.1%157 W · 113 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Uzbekistan | 65c | 17.85$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Netherlands (-2.5)this page
- Netherlands vs. Uzbekistan: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Netherlands vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 0.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 1.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 2.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 3.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 4.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)Uzbekistan won
- Spread: Uzbekistan (-1.5)Netherlands won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.