TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Netherlands vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$51,481
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$57,339

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,481 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed Under77c7,948$6,142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,806.12,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over40c7,595$3,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,007.9259230.1%178 W · 414 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over39c3,494$1,368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,368.133,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over15c2,150$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.614,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Under61c1,940$1,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$755.142,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over23c1,755$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.74,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over39c1,282$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50089443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed Under78c1,278$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.0712159.5%72 W · 49 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under60c1,072$643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.7471638.4%275 W · 441 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over23c1,010$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.692,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Over37c999.98$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.9133120.8%69 W · 262 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-26.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under60c971.03$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.671,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under75c901.82$678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.0919946.7%93 W · 106 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over34c900$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30743826.3%115 W · 323 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Under62c799.99$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.4222041.4%91 W · 129 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-6.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf73b…2771backed Over30c764.99$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.89650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over9c662.97$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.6735658.7%209 W · 147 L+35.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+28%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2b7d…d2dcbacked Under80c655$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1312259.1%13 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf12…76debacked Under78c638.15$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.158949.4%44 W · 45 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Under61c620.62$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.0461750.6%312 W · 305 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5145…dd71backed Under60c600$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24014051.4%72 W · 68 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over7c555.54$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.8925865.9%170 W · 88 L+40.1wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+54.4%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xbd1f…9136backed Under64c515.56$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.63759.5%22 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over38c501.62$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.421,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under61c485.04$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.883,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x140e…cf85backed Under63c476.19$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.1916153.4%86 W · 75 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Under61c470.46$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.3276551.6%395 W · 370 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f15…50cbbacked Over32c393.54$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.045949.2%29 W · 30 L+9.2wins+0.16per pick33cpaid+36.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Under61c366.94$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.111,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7736…c991backed Over40c351.68$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.5813253%70 W · 62 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under60c342.61$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.573,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1b7…c4d2backed Under62c337.83$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.215664.3%36 W · 20 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+4.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e46…60d6backed Under62c330$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.411759.8%70 W · 47 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb93f…4160backed Under61c326.45$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.459662.5%60 W · 36 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc65a…2e83backed Under62c322.58$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.585232.7%17 W · 35 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-20.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Over21c305.4$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.1337650.8%191 W · 185 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x25e3…9f8cbacked Over4c304.63$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3410420.2%21 W · 83 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick14cpaid+88.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x43d7…c453backed Under61c300$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11715655.1%86 W · 70 L-10.5wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Over9c300$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2785851.2%439 W · 419 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under67c298.63$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.6327951.6%144 W · 135 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Over27c294.76$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.1138745%174 W · 213 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Over39c257.72$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.5129138.8%113 W · 178 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+40.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd970…bbbabacked Over6c249.2$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1519356%108 W · 85 L+34.7wins+0.18per pick38cpaid+61%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over32c243.59$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.951,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over38c200$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.331,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x425e…ecfabacked Over8c195.01$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1511360.2%68 W · 45 L+22.2wins+0.20per pick41cpaid+63.7%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over29c194.59$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.082,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x3968…85b5backed Over8c187.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510761.7%66 W · 41 L+20.4wins+0.19per pick43cpaid+66.4%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x155d…3ec8backed Over39c182.05$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7125532.9%84 W · 171 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf703…541abacked Over39c179.49$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7018040%72 W · 108 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Over37c176.37$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.4684844.3%376 W · 472 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bbb…48f2backed Under63c175.25$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.848758.6%51 W · 36 L+5.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb253…26febacked Under63c174.6$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.613548.1%65 W · 70 L-9.2wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-11.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over21c172$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.652,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over31c170.97$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.0463745.4%289 W · 348 L-2.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b57…263ebacked Under62c170.15$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.1539752.1%207 W · 190 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cc7…43e5backed Over25c168.72$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.3613830.4%42 W · 96 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Over39c165.85$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.1738439.8%153 W · 231 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d0a…1bd3backed Under62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.295856.9%33 W · 25 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b0b…612abacked Over31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507219.4%14 W · 58 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-3.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8544…3d33backed Under62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.291747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+50.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f2e…6da4backed Under63c160$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.27954.4%43 W · 36 L+6.7wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+10.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Under63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.7351429.4%151 W · 363 L-0.6wins0.00per pick29cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d4a…e7cabacked Under63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.735141.2%21 W · 30 L-5.3wins-0.10per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc162…40bbbacked Under63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.737243.1%31 W · 41 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+20.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd60f…5165backed Under69c155$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.057659.2%45 W · 31 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ec…fd3fbacked Under67c150.12$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.128169.1%56 W · 25 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Over38c149.99$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under63c149.57$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.3441857.9%242 W · 176 L+14.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x01d7…5fd2backed Under71c140.92$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.927363%46 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49fa…4575backed Over39c135.51$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.857245.8%33 W · 39 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1f0…6fb4backed Over38c134.62$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.3118435.3%65 W · 119 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f2c…9d16backed Over38c131.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5028240.8%115 W · 167 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb424…3b71backed Over25c130$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.6514335.7%51 W · 92 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Over20c124.2$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.841,11449.4%550 W · 564 L+57.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc7a9…87e2backed Over38c120.45$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.8441344.1%182 W · 231 L-16.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Under60c116.91$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.7734330%103 W · 240 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e83…3bb7backed Under61c114.21$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.221,20632.7%394 W · 812 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9663…5b70backed Over38c114$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.326025%15 W · 45 L-5.6wins-0.09per pick34cpaid+17.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf6b7…47e7backed Under62c112.48$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.144866.7%32 W · 16 L+0.2wins0.00per pick66cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa422…d210backed Under63c103.17$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.1710355.3%57 W · 46 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3920050%100 W · 100 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over37c99.99$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Over17c98.15$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0169744.9%313 W · 384 L+18.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5513…2e2bbacked Over40c96.73$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.697542.7%32 W · 43 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d13…44bcbacked Under63c96.01$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.522040%8 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-23.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaa29…9ce5backed Under62c81.26$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.617148.5%83 W · 88 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22cc…740cbacked Under62c80.65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.659033.3%30 W · 60 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6046…afc3backed Under63c80$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.64472.7%32 W · 12 L+3.7wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf21b…c816backed Over40c80$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-28.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x250f…4fc6backed Under61c79.99$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.211156.8%63 W · 48 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under62c79.39$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.948,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0806…4adabacked Under63c79.37$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.373357.6%19 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09b5…fd79backed Under63c79.37$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.3710650%53 W · 53 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3c1…13cabacked Under63c78.35$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.991693.8%15 W · 1 L+4.6wins+0.29per pick65cpaid+47.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x3ee7…f36ebacked Under64c78.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.1311253.6%60 W · 52 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under61c77$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.351,68854.4%918 W · 770 L+31.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Over39c76.95$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.011,00544.3%445 W · 560 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1d0…72f8backed Over33c75.76$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Over33c72.5$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8590840.9%371 W · 537 L-64.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-24.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.