TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Netherlands vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$177,293
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$222,630

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $177,293 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 181 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8806…2e83backed Under15c21,468$3,282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,282.4528229.4%83 W · 199 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-38%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under17c7,594$1,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,289.633,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under38c7,026$2,654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,653.7912146.3%56 W · 65 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x264a…85ecbacked Over80c5,744$4,582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,161.952157.1%12 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid+23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Under44c5,086$2,213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,212.837650.8%191 W · 185 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67bf…f983backed Over49c4,584$2,268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,315.1727931.9%89 W · 190 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+60.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Under18c3,962$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$711.0485851.2%439 W · 419 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf021…e900backed Under56c3,437$1,929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,928.8136437.1%135 W · 229 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe15e…25f4backed Over76c3,425$2,605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$819.91616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-78.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5d9…6ae6backed Under6c3,200$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18450%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7acc…c5b9backed Under18c2,910$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.8723857.6%137 W · 101 L+22.5wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+18.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc551…fa51backed Over68c2,651$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$850.718058.8%47 W · 33 L+7.2wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9fcf…e455backed Under62c2,410$1,494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,494.1714544.8%65 W · 80 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+57.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0c3a…a56bbacked Over50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00022643.4%98 W · 128 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ec6…d9edbacked Over66c2,000$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68021631%67 W · 149 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-37.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ab0…96c3backed Under17c2,000$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.96616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-70.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3bf5…2307backed Under25c1,808$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.6633843.5%147 W · 191 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under22c1,718$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.694,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under17c1,590$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.361,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over73c1,562$1,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.174,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0189…cab8backed Over77c1,505$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.1210261.8%63 W · 39 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over75c1,240$932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.412,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e7d…fa81backed Under41c1,173$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.834744.7%21 W · 26 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33c0…4c07backed Under39c1,101$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.881050%5 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Under43c1,094$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.4233740.4%136 W · 201 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under26c1,051$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.5538745%174 W · 213 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf12…76debacked Under17c1,030$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.18949.4%44 W · 45 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over69c1,028$707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.442,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked Under43c1,015$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.3734731.1%108 W · 239 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22f7…b205backed Under3c1,000$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.04875%6 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick57cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x40e8…88a4backed Over58c1,000$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42010471.2%74 W · 30 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf99e…4d03backed Under5c938.87$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.55147.1%1 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick4cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Over72c931.66$674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.391,00153.9%540 W · 461 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0bf0…72cebacked Over66c877.31$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.628643%37 W · 49 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2220…1a0fbacked Under44c861.62$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.4919218.8%36 W · 156 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-24.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under56c860.49$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.3619946.7%93 W · 106 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0cc…f354backed Over65c823$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.634845.1%157 W · 191 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd202…1ef5backed Under44c785.35$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.9317827.5%49 W · 129 L+0.3wins0.00per pick27cpaid-18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd360…2eabbacked Under25c774.23$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19322355.6%124 W · 99 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a8b…c2d0backed Over47c741.05$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.382544%11 W · 14 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick32cpaid+4.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0eb3…97cfbacked Under34c730.11$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.7534122.3%76 W · 265 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+27.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff57…1802backed Under46c715.44$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.0529740.1%119 W · 178 L-18.7wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Under18c712.39$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.2534330%103 W · 240 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Under42c581.75$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.3451514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under17c553.67$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.143,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4912…c24ebacked Over80c510$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.51947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-28.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Under23c485.04$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.3269744.9%313 W · 384 L+18.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x189d…5561backed Under21c471.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003135.5%11 W · 20 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2965…0dedbacked Under29c461.76$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.0313844.2%61 W · 77 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbef…0c11backed Over77c454.55$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.555066%33 W · 17 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1782…2928backed Over45c444.44$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.44837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-27.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x866c…19c0backed Under45c413.49$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.924849.6%123 W · 125 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Under26c390.27$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.9335150.7%178 W · 173 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over51c389.53$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.5321747.9%104 W · 113 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under17c377.97$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.262,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa163…ce0abacked Over64c362.01$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.15074%37 W · 13 L+5.9wins+0.12per pick62cpaid+19%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf05b…3c59backed Over64c307.52$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.7116547.9%79 W · 86 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over56c307.19$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.346562.2%289 W · 176 L+42.0wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+16.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x81f8…4078backed Under48c303.95$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.94944.9%22 W · 27 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+31.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b3a…12d4backed Under28c300.71$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.1520%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under32c294.64$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9519448.5%94 W · 100 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+18%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1f0…6fb4backed Under17c288.11$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.7218435.3%65 W · 119 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over68c283.8$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.7835658.7%209 W · 147 L+35.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+28%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb595…5922backed Over66c270.73$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.733177.4%24 W · 7 L+3.7wins+0.12per pick65cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6255…a29bbacked Over62c267.06$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.779323.7%22 W · 71 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9e7…4697backed Under42c265.33$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.4423440.2%94 W · 140 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb06f…884cbacked Under38c259.18$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.7225049.2%123 W · 127 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x06a0…5804backed Over64c242.42$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.2710050%50 W · 50 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2104…82d7backed Over57c234.4$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.936066.7%40 W · 20 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b99…8f62backed Over47c233.8$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.819047.4%90 W · 100 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfe2…5edebacked Over62c230$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.4250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e97…8ffabacked Under44c226.65$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.7925125.1%63 W · 188 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under27c221.91$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.921,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under23c221$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.862,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x26e7…cc6cbacked Under42c215.82$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.983030%9 W · 21 L-5.5wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-22.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc9db…6789backed Under32c215.75$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.0427255.9%152 W · 120 L+36.1wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+49.8%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xb964…033ebacked Under26c214.63$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.817442%73 W · 101 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1806…5234backed Over78c213.49$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.036258.1%36 W · 26 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over62c208.91$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.0828964.4%186 W · 103 L+42.6wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+44.6%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.3310740.2%43 W · 64 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over57c208.12$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.122,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06d6…8360backed Over75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505945.8%27 W · 32 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c2d…646bbacked Over55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-41.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfef3…41f2backed Under27c188.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.994645.7%21 W · 25 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeab4…f8c6backed Over72c185.98$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.443259.4%19 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick67cpaid-7.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Over56c180$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.214146.1%65 W · 76 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x447d…bd4abacked Over56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.572755.6%15 W · 12 L+4.1wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+38.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Over54c169.88$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.1243737.8%165 W · 272 L-0.9wins0.00per pick38cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Under50c162.1$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.7156151%286 W · 275 L+15.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over17c161.32$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.0983153.3%443 W · 388 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Under22c159.32$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3551429.4%151 W · 363 L-0.6wins0.00per pick29cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86c8…c867backed Under64c156.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015459.7%92 W · 62 L+20.0wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+32.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Over65c153.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.8210157.4%58 W · 43 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb64f…c3a9backed Under28c149.99$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424450%22 W · 22 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+27.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xda0f…f0e7backed Under40c148.85$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.544634.8%16 W · 30 L0.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid+33.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bcb…f3afbacked Over73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.998646.5%40 W · 46 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-17.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Under45c135.89$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.1523658.1%137 W · 99 L+20.4wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+17.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked Over74c135.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.5730642.8%131 W · 175 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98af…b216backed Under16c129.62$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.748817%15 W · 73 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-25.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked Over72c128.88$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.097057.1%40 W · 30 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.