TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Netherlands vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$158,142
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$155,734

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $158,142 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 235 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over54c7,588$4,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,493.4159230.1%178 W · 414 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over36c6,489$2,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,155.384,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fcf…e455backed Over63c6,412$4,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,361.4914544.8%65 W · 80 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+57.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked Under2c5,544$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.8130642.8%131 W · 175 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over56c4,500$2,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,97545421.4%97 W · 357 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under56c4,098$2,315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,314.922,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c3a…a56bbacked Over29c4,000$1,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,829.9922643.4%98 W · 128 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3bf5…2307backed Over31c3,950$1,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,708.0833843.5%147 W · 191 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under66c3,893$2,563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,563.022,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2220…1a0fbacked Under3c3,210$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.3119218.8%36 W · 156 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-24.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Over46c3,187$1,454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,733.0237242.5%158 W · 214 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under44c3,168$1,383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,382.714,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40b9…a596backed Over50c2,931$1,472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,458.7820150.7%102 W · 99 L+11.3wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c1a…5cb0backed Under38c2,630$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.3225537.6%96 W · 159 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed Under1c2,445$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.0125942.1%109 W · 150 L-0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under39c2,226$863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$862.983,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d25…5529backed Under3c2,113$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d4e…6478backed Under7c2,054$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.828728.7%25 W · 62 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick33cpaid+19.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Over61c2,000$1,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$779.9713351.1%68 W · 65 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24ae…4c80backed Over61c1,988$1,215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$773.3314856.8%84 W · 64 L+20.7wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+59.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x6255…a29bbacked Under4c1,977$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.079323.7%22 W · 71 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under38c1,944$747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$747.143,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under68c1,862$1,271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,271.1219946.7%93 W · 106 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under38c1,842$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.9671638.4%275 W · 441 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over25c1,817$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,358.2483153.3%443 W · 388 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over55c1,815$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$815.189443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4d0…8814backed Over62c1,613$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.93873.7%28 W · 10 L+5.0wins+0.13per pick61cpaid+22.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over35c1,612$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,049.921,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8310…c875backed Under62c1,597$994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$993.910956.9%62 W · 47 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under51c1,516$779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$778.8410042%42 W · 58 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf12…76debacked Under47c1,472$699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$698.98949.4%44 W · 45 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked Over24c1,447$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,095.647057.1%40 W · 30 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf021…e900backed Over73c1,304$958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.8936437.1%135 W · 229 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under48c1,290$621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621.411,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5145…dd71backed Over60c1,200$726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.9714051.4%72 W · 68 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Over48c1,195$569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$625.5944539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Over30c1,165$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$814.6338439.8%153 W · 231 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under50c1,106$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.7741451.4%213 W · 201 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Over39c1,100$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$671.0635036.3%127 W · 223 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under39c1,094$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.273,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7acc…c5b9backed Over46c1,085$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584.3923857.6%137 W · 101 L+22.5wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+18.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa374…9709backed Under40c1,049$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.6914433.3%48 W · 96 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Over52c1,005$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.4233120.8%69 W · 262 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-26.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d1c…3347backed Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1046939.4%185 W · 284 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dde…24ecbacked Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010242.2%43 W · 59 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under49c987.75$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.5212146.3%56 W · 65 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe706…89bcbacked Over51c966.31$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.3112141.3%50 W · 71 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid0%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x95d4…3c50backed Over53c943.39$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.4610942.2%46 W · 63 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Over22c883.07$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$685.8729138.8%113 W · 178 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+40.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Over43c847.5$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.1732656.1%183 W · 143 L+29.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+29.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Under3c836.21$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.341,14146.2%527 W · 614 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over28c833$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596.4643826.3%115 W · 323 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c0a…cbc9backed Over62c818.42$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3116152.5%32 W · 29 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Under35c808.22$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.351,11449.4%550 W · 564 L+57.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b3a…12d4backed Under40c791.75$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.720%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Over13c744.94$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$650.4933740.4%136 W · 201 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf1f1…dcbebacked Over56c741.29$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.17633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-38.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under64c664$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.812,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under38c621.42$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.691,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Under62c609.34$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.8437650.8%191 W · 185 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc48…c120backed Over60c600$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24037451.6%193 W · 181 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e97…8ffabacked Under6c570.38$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.4725125.1%63 W · 188 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x60f6…a196backed Over13c566.15$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.8346012.4%57 W · 403 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick11cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7736…c991backed Over62c538.68$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.713253%70 W · 62 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over53c507.55$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.5521747.9%104 W · 113 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Under42c502.64$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.734330%103 W · 240 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd202…1ef5backed Under4c502.27$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0917827.5%49 W · 129 L+0.3wins0.00per pick27cpaid-18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9720…afa4backed Under40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20015742%66 W · 91 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-15.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Over59c495.39$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.5638745%174 W · 213 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Under24c459.39$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.7251514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd239…2083backed Over45c444.44$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.448243.9%36 W · 46 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Over3c438$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.1121314.1%30 W · 183 L+14.3wins+0.07per pick7cpaid+135.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Over62c437.9$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.435150.7%178 W · 173 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9db…6789backed Under41c422.91$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.7227255.9%152 W · 120 L+36.1wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+49.8%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2008032.5%26 W · 54 L-7.6wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-31.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under44c397.8$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.812,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f14…29d1backed Under7c386.1$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.415929.6%47 W · 112 L-0.5wins0.00per pick30cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Under43c377.51$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.69456.4%53 W · 41 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under12c356.07$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.0121722.1%48 W · 169 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+23.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Under40c343.8$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.951429.4%151 W · 363 L-0.6wins0.00per pick29cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91d7…0dfcbacked Over63c339$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.4358530.9%181 W · 404 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-28%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under39c334.8$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.571,00153.9%540 W · 461 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb96c…6cc6backed Under40c330.95$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.385745.6%26 W · 31 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x510c…6a61backed Under5c329.16$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9222029.5%65 W · 155 L+10.8wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-14%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1f0…6fb4backed Over61c324.63$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.7618435.3%65 W · 119 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over31c320.9$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.4228964.4%186 W · 103 L+42.6wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+44.6%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over31c303.2$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.2135658.7%209 W · 147 L+35.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+28%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under53c300.17$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.7435549.9%177 W · 178 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb64f…c3a9backed Under51c299.96$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.984450%22 W · 22 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+27.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e7d…fa81backed Over74c296.8$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.414744.7%21 W · 26 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a5a…3427backed Under38c280$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.231553%167 W · 148 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+34.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x31cb…2442backed Over44c279$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.24425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-43.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5127…de1ebacked Under39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012143%52 W · 69 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5902…59fabacked Over49c250$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.513155%72 W · 59 L+8.1wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcd76…b935backed Over40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1504139%16 W · 25 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+18.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x630d…875abacked Over6c248.17$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.284311.6%5 W · 38 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick16cpaid-38.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Over62c247$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.8628162.6%176 W · 105 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe00e…ea73backed Under5c243.05$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1910732.7%35 W · 72 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over55c233.35$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.0163745.4%289 W · 348 L-2.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbf4…ac20backed Over17c228.75$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.7534533.6%116 W · 229 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.