TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Abyssal vs Rooster (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 Group A

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Roosterof Abyssal, Rooster
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$74,495
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$91,487

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,495 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe44f…fff1backed Abyssal1c9,058$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.5840%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b59…3aa6backed Abyssal47c3,467$1,630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,629.6684958.3%495 W · 354 L+60.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4aee…c455backed Rooster65c3,079$1,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,079.99757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick68cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb084…be70backed Abyssal2c2,860$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.715824.1%14 W · 44 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick22cpaid-15.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a05…cd14backed Abyssal1c2,700$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361190.8%1 W · 118 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-37%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3db7…375cbacked Abyssal2c1,665$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.8911221.4%24 W · 88 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73bc…46cebacked Rooster53c1,640$867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$773.357250%36 W · 36 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Abyssal42c1,358$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.581,57929.7%469 W · 1,110 L-86.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-39.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Abyssal47c1,351$631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$630.7966851.8%346 W · 322 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbe8…bb28backed Rooster54c1,141$617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.622044.5%98 W · 122 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x240b…c32abacked Abyssal1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1014543.4%63 W · 82 L-7.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-22.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Abyssal49c952.03$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.825,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8b4c…1715backed Abyssal13c866$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.5742427.1%115 W · 309 L+13.8wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2c0…fad2backed Abyssal4c862.93$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.52120%0 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Abyssal46c820.73$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.924,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a70…0519backed Abyssal50c710.56$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.9238835.6%138 W · 250 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-5.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Abyssal36c692.27$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.042,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked Rooster50c680$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34063541.9%266 W · 369 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17d3…586bbacked Rooster52c663.93$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.691540%6 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf876…1deebacked Rooster55c639.06$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.1519546.2%90 W · 105 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Abyssal54c623.92$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.987,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9311…e731backed Rooster48c606.07$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.076759.7%40 W · 27 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3085…7568backed Abyssal17c600$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005927.1%16 W · 43 L-5.5wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-30.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Abyssal22c566.9$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.521,59146.6%741 W · 850 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc754…4b1dbacked Rooster53c552.79$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.8134140.8%139 W · 202 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a72…0a38backed Abyssal10c536$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.0241436.7%152 W · 262 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bf6…2d98backed Rooster39c527.4$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.661866.7%12 W · 6 L+3.3wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+43%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x91e5…0947backed Rooster75c495.85$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.858758.6%51 W · 36 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7e8…7953backed Abyssal44c450.87$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20040449.8%201 W · 203 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Abyssal50c450$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2255,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x65c4…3c1abacked Abyssal17c449.43$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.237424.3%18 W · 56 L-5.7wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4bc8…09e5backed Rooster48c421.04$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.042360.9%14 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb888…b15bbacked Rooster49c408.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.363228.1%9 W · 23 L-4.4wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-32.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3c41…6275backed Abyssal17c400$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6618432.6%60 W · 124 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a19…86c8backed Abyssal17c400$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$666330.2%19 W · 44 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e42…f22abacked Abyssal17c400$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6621741%89 W · 128 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x304f…af95backed Rooster51c392.97$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.9723757%135 W · 102 L-8.3wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x00d4…4c46backed Abyssal8c386$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.5245240.3%182 W · 270 L+15.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ca2…088ebacked Abyssal8c386$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.529430.9%29 W · 65 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4aa0…e20fbacked Rooster32c385.18$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.524045%18 W · 22 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-20.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Abyssal40c381.58$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.4760032.3%194 W · 406 L-49.7wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-38.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4f16…553dbacked Rooster53c377.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.3622751.5%117 W · 110 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d65…6a04backed Rooster54c369.99$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1718542.4%36 W · 49 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9625…5bb7backed Abyssal59c368.46$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.395459.3%32 W · 22 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Rooster34c319.86$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.324,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedd0…731cbacked Rooster64c310.85$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.6733060.9%201 W · 129 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed Abyssal50c301.3$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501,62052.7%853 W · 767 L+57.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5ae…3e6cbacked Abyssal17c300$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507236.1%26 W · 46 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Abyssal17c300$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5037339.7%148 W · 225 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x906f…2877backed Abyssal48c291.48$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.6864854.3%352 W · 296 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1052…441bbacked Abyssal70c285.44$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009567.4%64 W · 31 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+2.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x22c7…3e23backed Abyssal45c270$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.514037.1%52 W · 88 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1aee…8796backed Rooster68c265.2$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.8928254.6%154 W · 128 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1aaa…0c04backed Rooster40c249.92$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.3320150.7%102 W · 99 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Abyssal29c221.21$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.153,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Abyssal43c210.02$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.313,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x588d…3f41backed Abyssal46c203.28$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.5183543.6%364 W · 471 L-9.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x300d…780dbacked Abyssal17c200$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338735.6%31 W · 56 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90bb…531fbacked Abyssal17c200$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3310029%29 W · 71 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-31.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0580…f78bbacked Abyssal32c200$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647920.3%16 W · 63 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-54.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcbbc…2b70backed Abyssal17c200$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3329347.8%140 W · 153 L+13.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xce5f…ab17backed Abyssal17c200$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3333241.6%138 W · 194 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa021…d4a9backed Abyssal31c194.16$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.34250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-22.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef2b…70efbacked Rooster52c190.5$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.512564.8%81 W · 44 L+7.0wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x623d…3aeebacked Rooster53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6810137.6%38 W · 63 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-19.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7de0…7429backed Rooster53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6810556.2%59 W · 46 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x969f…cbdcbacked Rooster65c183.43$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.8162738.8%243 W · 384 L-31.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-30%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Rooster66c183.35$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.74,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x633f…2104backed Rooster55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.823161.3%19 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa073…a3babacked Rooster55c181.35$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.371,11768.6%766 W · 351 L+20.3wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Abyssal41c179.64$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.296543.5%420 W · 545 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed Abyssal51c172.4$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8837949.3%187 W · 192 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ff4…d731backed Rooster53c171.6$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.6519840.9%81 W · 117 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1c7…38e1backed Rooster56c161.4$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.085547.3%26 W · 29 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+31%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x218b…625abacked Rooster49c157.4$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.3522729.1%66 W · 161 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Abyssal37c153$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.432,46824.6%607 W · 1,861 L-317.8wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-51.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x5b0c…d43abacked Rooster50c150$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7546447.6%221 W · 243 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Abyssal52c148.34$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.572,50841%1,029 W · 1,479 L-115.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4f52…0380backed Abyssal68c145.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.7720%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd976…7636backed Rooster69c145.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.1611155%61 W · 50 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x29b1…ca10backed Abyssal47c142.3$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.754856.3%27 W · 21 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Rooster74c135.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.2758149.2%286 W · 295 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Abyssal50c135$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.52,00953.9%1,082 W · 927 L+7.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked Rooster41c118.7$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.441,28137.8%484 W · 797 L+5.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0ad…bce9backed Rooster58c118.07$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.679552.6%50 W · 45 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Abyssal41c116.22$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.252,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507c…6c0cbacked Rooster53c109$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.234355.8%24 W · 19 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+20.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe62c…d9a6backed Rooster66c104.56$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.0610151.5%52 W · 49 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cb5…6be6backed Rooster44c104.5$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.2123333%77 W · 156 L-22.8wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-34.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfc9a…9e52backed Abyssal44c102.43$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.999028.9%26 W · 64 L-9.1wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-38.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3f63…89f3backed Rooster53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474351.2%22 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e7c…c4c5backed Rooster74c100$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265453.7%29 W · 25 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+19.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab4d…554bbacked Rooster41c100$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.121428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ffb…f7f0backed Rooster52c98.85$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.4530951.5%159 W · 150 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x40fc…498dbacked Rooster53c95.53$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.2214441%59 W · 85 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x443c…d83abacked Rooster63c95.04$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.117055.3%94 W · 76 L+11.3wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Abyssal59c88.35$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.563,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Rooster55c87$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.152,13642.9%916 W · 1,220 L-68.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb308…23a6backed Rooster55c86.24$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.894259.5%25 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed Abyssal32c86$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5257935.1%203 W · 376 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.