CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Abyssal vs Rooster - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc5c1a3e495341d789d0f031e50c1066bbf3519a851507400cf0c9edf2a29087b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Roosterof Abyssal, Rooster
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,442
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,771
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,442 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Abyssal | 25c | 620.31$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.79 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb6…50fcbacked Rooster | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Abyssal | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 499 | 35.1%175 W · 324 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Abyssal | 17c | 417$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.74 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8a70…0519backed Abyssal | 15c | 331.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 388 | 35.6%138 W · 250 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Abyssal | 16c | 326.38$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.69 | 600 | 32.3%194 W · 406 L | -49.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Abyssal | 19c | 287.95$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.95 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Abyssal | 28c | 278.65$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.6 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed Abyssal | 16c | 250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 424 | 27.1%115 W · 309 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Abyssal | 31c | 229.58$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.17 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Abyssal | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 414 | 36.7%152 W · 262 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c41…6275backed Abyssal | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 184 | 32.6%60 W · 124 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a19…86c8backed Abyssal | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 63 | 30.2%19 W · 44 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0580…f78bbacked Abyssal | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 79 | 20.3%16 W · 63 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Abyssal | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 452 | 40.3%182 W · 270 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Abyssal | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 579 | 35.1%203 W · 376 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e42…f22abacked Abyssal | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 217 | 41%89 W · 128 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Abyssal | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 59 | 27.1%16 W · 43 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca2…088ebacked Abyssal | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 94 | 30.9%29 W · 65 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Abyssal | 26c | 182$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.64 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked Rooster | 67c | 148.5$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.08 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Rooster | 77c | 135.06$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.69 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Abyssal | 18c | 112.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.11 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Abyssal | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 373 | 39.7%148 W · 225 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc666…8d00backed Abyssal | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 144 | 50%72 W · 72 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Abyssal | 20c | 97.02$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Abyssal | 17c | 78.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56df…22c3backed Rooster | 67c | 70$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Rooster | 39c | 64.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.53 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Abyssal | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Abyssal | 36c | 61.2$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa021…d4a9backed Rooster | 64c | 60.59$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa78e…7cbcbacked Abyssal | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 288 | 37.5%108 W · 180 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f31…a362backed Abyssal | 26c | 39.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…bf81backed Abyssal | 51c | 33.94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.47 | 351 | 48.1%169 W · 182 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Rooster | 43c | 33.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.19 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Rooster | 72c | 32.39$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Rooster | 62c | 29.88$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.42 | 965 | 43.5%420 W · 545 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b22…377ebacked Rooster | 77c | 25.07$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.73 | 361 | 74.8%270 W · 91 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Abyssal vs Rooster - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Abyssal vs Rooster (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 Group ARooster won
- Counter-Strike: Abyssal vs Rooster - Map 1 WinnerAbyssal won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.