CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa1fe8c7fd969c33e6d117c2504257884037466da88a188de997e04b11fad1eba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- illwillof illwill, Virtus.pro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $111,995
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $124,450
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $111,995 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xff34…694bbacked illwill | 47c | 10,734$5,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,640.15 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa927…8d9fbacked Virtus.pro | 51c | 5,027$2,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,573.06 | 345 | 59.1%204 W · 141 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4b…556bbacked Virtus.pro | 2c | 4,400$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed illwill | 34c | 4,215$1,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,762.27 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Virtus.pro | 77c | 3,489$2,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,669.94 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked illwill | 56c | 3,279$1,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,432.41 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba4…9e2dbacked Virtus.pro | 3c | 2,400$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Virtus.pro | 54c | 2,000$1,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083.44 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed illwill | 36c | 1,967$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,256.59 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked illwill | 50c | 1,718$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.97 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Virtus.pro | 61c | 1,060$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.32 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed Virtus.pro | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 574 | 0%0 W · 574 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked illwill | 42c | 930.26$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.25 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…387ebacked Virtus.pro | 61c | 914.76$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558 | 291 | 54%157 W · 134 L | +17.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Virtus.pro | 28c | 905$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.18 | 414 | 36.7%152 W · 262 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Virtus.pro | 46c | 901.55$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.36 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked Virtus.pro | 31c | 888$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.28 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed illwill | 43c | 841.96$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.15 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90bb…531fbacked Virtus.pro | 19c | 832.89$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.74 | 100 | 29%29 W · 71 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Virtus.pro | 74c | 818.15$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.72 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7126…bfcbbacked illwill | 58c | 780.14$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.14 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee4…ed67backed illwill | 33c | 730.98$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.35 | 193 | 40.4%78 W · 115 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Virtus.pro | 45c | 699.51$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.73 | 600 | 32.3%194 W · 406 L | -49.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Virtus.pro | 48c | 632.16$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.96 | 622 | 48.2%300 W · 322 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Virtus.pro | 58c | 500.12$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.49 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Virtus.pro | 73c | 447.76$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328 | 593 | 43.2%256 W · 337 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed illwill | 45c | 447$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.88 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked illwill | 39c | 429.44$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.39 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked Virtus.pro | 40c | 360$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 432 | 37.7%163 W · 269 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4063…ea8dbacked illwill | 39c | 356.27$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.41 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf7…0352backed illwill | 38c | 342.2$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.16 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked illwill | 50c | 314.7$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.98 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ef…3d3bbacked Virtus.pro | 53c | 308.77$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.4 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Virtus.pro | 37c | 303.78$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.5 | 579 | 35.1%203 W · 376 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Virtus.pro | 27c | 300$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 373 | 39.7%148 W · 225 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed illwill | 42c | 273.6$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.08 | 664 | 36.6%243 W · 421 L | -35.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked illwill | 34c | 271.32$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.07 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Virtus.pro | 61c | 268.71$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.82 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5df…be7cbacked illwill | 38c | 260$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.2 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe00a…d1f4backed illwill | 64c | 252.49$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.92 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Virtus.pro | 61c | 247.94$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.24 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Virtus.pro | 38c | 245$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.5 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Virtus.pro | 40c | 236$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.02 | 452 | 40.3%182 W · 270 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Virtus.pro | 74c | 223.99$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 446 | 75.3%336 W · 110 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Virtus.pro | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c6c…5e36backed Virtus.pro | 70c | 196.94$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.13 | 239 | 56.5%135 W · 104 L | +15.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7055…49bbbacked illwill | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…2fe4backed Virtus.pro | 26c | 190$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.3 | 212 | 47.6%101 W · 111 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked Virtus.pro | 73c | 189.65$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.86 | 627 | 38.8%243 W · 384 L | -31.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41a0…87e7backed illwill | 28c | 175$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Virtus.pro | 58c | 145.09$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.75 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Virtus.pro | 63c | 144.02$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.26 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43f3…293cbacked Virtus.pro | 58c | 138.91$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.08 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Virtus.pro | 37c | 136$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.39 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Virtus.pro | 71c | 134.93$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.19 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x56ff…81a0backed illwill | 65c | 133.63$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.46 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed illwill | 43c | 121.88$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.47 | 500 | 51.4%257 W · 243 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3db7…375cbacked Virtus.pro | 44c | 109.64$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.26 | 112 | 21.4%24 W · 88 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef5…3881backed Virtus.pro | 57c | 106.28$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.58 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 59cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed illwill | 16c | 100$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.8 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed Virtus.pro | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…9eaebacked Virtus.pro | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed illwill | 42c | 94.91$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.05 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef2b…70efbacked illwill | 63c | 94.74$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.74 | 125 | 64.8%81 W · 44 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Virtus.pro | 55c | 93$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.27 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7020…d655backed Virtus.pro | 67c | 91.04$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Virtus.pro | 70c | 90.66$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.66 | 965 | 43.5%420 W · 545 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…d703backed Virtus.pro | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 385 | 52.7%203 W · 182 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked illwill | 37c | 73.11$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.88 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Virtus.pro | 24c | 73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…4489backed illwill | 39c | 62.31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked illwill | 30c | 62.27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.75 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca2…088ebacked illwill | 47c | 62.01$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.61 | 94 | 30.9%29 W · 65 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4711…ce32backed illwill | 39c | 60.31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.79 | 97 | 36.1%35 W · 62 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Virtus.pro | 21c | 57.68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 160 | 23.8%38 W · 122 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1755…b972backed Virtus.pro | 62c | 56.34$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.93 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4907…cdc2backed Virtus.pro | 54c | 55.05$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed illwill | 37c | 54.88$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42c8…a25cbacked illwill | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfe…9483backed illwill | 21c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Virtus.pro | 58c | 47.47$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.53 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2a…7682backed Virtus.pro | 58c | 47.29$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.43 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked Virtus.pro | 58c | 44.19$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.63 | 324 | 58%188 W · 136 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b22…377ebacked Virtus.pro | 64c | 42.43$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.36 | 361 | 74.8%270 W · 91 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c45…7069backed Virtus.pro | 79c | 41.61$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 196 | 67.9%133 W · 63 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4270…6168backed Virtus.pro | 69c | 41.49$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.65 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb084…be70backed Virtus.pro | 35c | 40.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 58 | 24.1%14 W · 44 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6efa…a0a7backed Virtus.pro | 64c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 302 | 47%142 W · 160 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdba2…3497backed Virtus.pro | 55c | 35.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21dd…e4f5backed Virtus.pro | 69c | 31$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.52 | 180 | 59.4%107 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Virtus.pro | 41c | 30.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa306…a39dbacked Virtus.pro | 64c | 29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Virtus.pro | 65c | 25.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.51 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed illwill | 53c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdec…8102backed Virtus.pro | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69dc…0cf5backed Virtus.pro | 74c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 78 | 66.7%52 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stageillwill won
- Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro - Map 1 WinnerVirtus.pro won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: VP (-1.5) vs illwill (+1.5)illwill won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.