CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe16da2030704ff1f9c10053e3dbf5a1859b1fc2cfb9d82589afeb794ea9dd413
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- illwillof illwill, Virtus.pro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $215,379
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $233,249
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $215,379 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 244 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xff34…694bbacked illwill | 49c | 7,399$3,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,746.93 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa927…8d9fbacked Virtus.pro | 39c | 6,850$2,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,652.73 | 345 | 59.1%204 W · 141 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked illwill | 39c | 5,222$2,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,167.95 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed illwill | 51c | 5,207$2,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,552.85 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Virtus.pro | 63c | 4,951$3,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,096.64 | 364 | 53.8%196 W · 168 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ccc…77abbacked illwill | 62c | 4,354$2,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,644.22 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -4.0wins | -0.15per pick | 39cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed illwill | 37c | 4,275$1,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,672.13 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked illwill | 47c | 3,669$1,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,936.89 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed illwill | 39c | 3,454$1,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,117.07 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed illwill | 42c | 3,171$1,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,839 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7460…de6ebacked Virtus.pro | 50c | 2,600$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 439 | 51.7%227 W · 212 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Virtus.pro | 47c | 2,536$1,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,193.85 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Virtus.pro | 38c | 2,495$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.41 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed illwill | 56c | 2,000$1,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$883.75 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Virtus.pro | 43c | 1,550$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.93 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Virtus.pro | 66c | 1,533$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.99 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed Virtus.pro | 47c | 1,401$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.94 | 141 | 37.6%53 W · 88 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe8…bb28backed Virtus.pro | 60c | 1,381$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.7 | 220 | 44.5%98 W · 122 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd761…56e3backed Virtus.pro | 39c | 1,317$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.15 | 247 | 46.2%114 W · 133 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed illwill | 18c | 1,260$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032.95 | 257 | 47.5%122 W · 135 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Virtus.pro | 55c | 1,248$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.65 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe00a…d1f4backed illwill | 41c | 1,245$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.3 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Virtus.pro | 25c | 1,243$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.65 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed illwill | 20c | 1,170$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.58 | 622 | 48.2%300 W · 322 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4711…ce32backed illwill | 27c | 1,160$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.2 | 97 | 36.1%35 W · 62 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5076…711abacked Virtus.pro | 33c | 1,103$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.1 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Virtus.pro | 54c | 1,041$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.11 | 600 | 32.3%194 W · 406 L | -49.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Virtus.pro | 29c | 1,040$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.16 | 809 | 42.3%342 W · 467 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cde…96e2backed illwill | 17c | 1,017$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.12 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Virtus.pro | 63c | 1,011$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18f3…0c20backed illwill | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 261 | 55.2%144 W · 117 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5006…48cabacked illwill | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed Virtus.pro | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 574 | 0%0 W · 574 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7126…bfcbbacked illwill | 41c | 987.32$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.32 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Virtus.pro | 61c | 891.79$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.24 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Virtus.pro | 29c | 886$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.06 | 593 | 43.2%256 W · 337 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked illwill | 46c | 872.96$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.79 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…387ebacked illwill | 68c | 812.72$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.81 | 291 | 54%157 W · 134 L | +17.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed illwill | 40c | 806.71$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.37 | 500 | 51.4%257 W · 243 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1529…a7babacked Virtus.pro | 62c | 789.05$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.21 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1522…70febacked Virtus.pro | 21c | 776.47$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.4 | 366 | 45.6%167 W · 199 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed illwill | 52c | 762.03$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.43 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Virtus.pro | 26c | 724$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.44 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked Virtus.pro | 18c | 723.9$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.24 | 432 | 37.7%163 W · 269 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Virtus.pro | 63c | 640.94$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.06 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked illwill | 53c | 632.44$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.9 | 51 | 88.2%45 W · 6 L | +12.9wins | +0.25per pick | 63cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed illwill | 29c | 603$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.1 | 219 | 49.8%109 W · 110 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Virtus.pro | 36c | 574.45$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.95 | 664 | 46.4%308 W · 356 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbb…75a1backed Virtus.pro | 22c | 573.31$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.84 | 143 | 39.9%57 W · 86 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7add…7a7bbacked Virtus.pro | 60c | 572.47$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.36 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Virtus.pro | 53c | 560.32$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.36 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed illwill | 38c | 530.5$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.91 | 668 | 51.8%346 W · 322 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed illwill | 63c | 530.4$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.62 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed illwill | 39c | 519.56$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.53 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Virtus.pro | 66c | 515.14$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.77 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8efe…6704backed Virtus.pro | 60c | 510$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 205 | 62.4%128 W · 77 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked illwill | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | -11.0wins | -0.09per pick | 68cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6c…d38ebacked Virtus.pro | 61c | 493.99$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.27 | 79 | 40.5%32 W · 47 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69b9…a5d5backed illwill | 61c | 491.64$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.74 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Virtus.pro | 36c | 486.07$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.86 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…971abacked Virtus.pro | 61c | 459.02$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -6.2wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x240b…c32abacked Virtus.pro | 22c | 456.36$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 145 | 43.4%63 W · 82 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…dc29backed Virtus.pro | 30c | 434.08$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.99 | 486 | 35.4%172 W · 314 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd976…7636backed illwill | 78c | 431.59$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.82 | 111 | 55%61 W · 50 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4063…ea8dbacked Virtus.pro | 27c | 428.83$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.3 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Virtus.pro | 62c | 399.99$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.33 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…5e03backed Virtus.pro | 64c | 390.63$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -6.5wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8b…6a9fbacked Virtus.pro | 62c | 388.24$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.65 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…cbe5backed Virtus.pro | 37c | 383.69$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 442 | 44.1%195 W · 247 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked illwill | 70c | 370.06$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.02 | 275 | 49.5%136 W · 139 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Virtus.pro | 62c | 359.53$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.11 | 157 | 43.9%69 W · 88 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Virtus.pro | 60c | 340.69$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.51 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff5a…ab91backed illwill | 37c | 332.8$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.59 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52e5…60babacked Virtus.pro | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 69 | 65.2%45 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Virtus.pro | 9c | 326$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.49 | 579 | 35.1%203 W · 376 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed illwill | 58c | 319.16$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.93 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Virtus.pro | 37c | 318.06$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.86 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked Virtus.pro | 9c | 315$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…0539backed illwill | 63c | 313.96$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.16 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Virtus.pro | 27c | 313.88$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.19 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed Virtus.pro | 32c | 310$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.2 | 275 | 44%121 W · 154 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88aa…2f5ebacked illwill | 40c | 306.1$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.44 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Virtus.pro | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Virtus.pro | 59c | 294.14$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.87 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7004…a778backed Virtus.pro | 44c | 280.33$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.03 | 301 | 55.8%168 W · 133 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Virtus.pro | 43c | 275.51$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.17 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked illwill | 61c | 258.2$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.7 | 388 | 44.3%172 W · 216 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d4…9c83backed illwill | 12c | 250$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.08 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Virtus.pro | 54c | 247$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.49 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e83…00aabacked Virtus.pro | 58c | 241.1$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.84 | 171 | 42.1%72 W · 99 L | -9.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee4…ed67backed illwill | 63c | 238.99$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.84 | 193 | 40.4%78 W · 115 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Virtus.pro | 35c | 232.65$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.36 | 965 | 43.5%420 W · 545 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4704…515ebacked Virtus.pro | 43c | 227.44$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.8 | 371 | 40.7%151 W · 220 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…93fcbacked Virtus.pro | 65c | 226.1$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.96 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked illwill | 73c | 226.03$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.03 | 446 | 75.3%336 W · 110 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed illwill | 22c | 226.01$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.39 | 686 | 59.5%408 W · 278 L | +65.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0800…ceb0backed illwill | 37c | 223.99$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.08 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35f0…971ebacked Virtus.pro | 64c | 222$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.08 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7055…49bbbacked Virtus.pro | 30c | 220.32$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.59 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…1513backed Virtus.pro | 61c | 214.75$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 443 | 43.3%192 W · 251 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro - Map 1 WinnerVirtus.pro won
- Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 Winnerillwill won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: VP (-1.5) vs illwill (+1.5)illwill won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.