TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Virtus.proof illwill, Virtus.pro
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$106,546
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$120,874

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,546 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa927…8d9fbacked Virtus.pro59c12,243$7,277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,966.0734559.1%204 W · 141 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed illwill33c4,485$1,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,480.162,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked illwill50c3,883$1,939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,939.021,77959.1%1,052 W · 727 L+104.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Virtus.pro41c2,551$1,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,509.112,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Virtus.pro39c1,998$769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,228.532,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked illwill65c1,637$1,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,057.447,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked illwill43c1,288$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.155,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked illwill62c1,235$767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$766.925,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Virtus.pro44c1,080$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6031,08854.2%590 W · 498 L+39.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x048f…9992backed illwill1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105740%0 W · 574 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked Virtus.pro57c897.62$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.761,49651.5%771 W · 725 L-7.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3ee4…ed67backed illwill48c794.22$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.8819340.4%78 W · 115 L-10.1wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Virtus.pro38c699.96$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.5978043.7%341 W · 439 L-21.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked illwill61c678.16$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.031,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed illwill50c525.44$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.154,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed illwill56c500$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.651,67651.1%857 W · 819 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked illwill66c478.9$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.562,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1bac…d241backed illwill54c476.57$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.2840639.4%160 W · 246 L-1.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4063…ea8dbacked Virtus.pro39c461.48$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.858344.6%37 W · 46 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Virtus.pro28c434.41$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.460032.3%194 W · 406 L-49.7wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-38.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xaa0b…2debbacked illwill59c379.66$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22435745.4%162 W · 195 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed illwill44c367.97$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1622,00953.9%1,082 W · 927 L+7.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked illwill51c358.97$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.064,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x969f…cbdcbacked illwill46c358.73$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.6262738.8%243 W · 384 L-31.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-30%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfcef…fd7fbacked Virtus.pro56c349.6$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.8112846.1%59 W · 69 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93ed…a4cbbacked illwill65c305.98$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19926048.8%127 W · 133 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Virtus.pro57c299.99$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12991945.8%421 W · 498 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked illwill58c292.58$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.242,60452.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L+98.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed illwill68c267.86$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.566,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc910…8bbcbacked Virtus.pro71c250.58$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.366744.8%30 W · 37 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Virtus.pro38c230.03$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.22,50841%1,029 W · 1,479 L-115.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x40cf…2748backed illwill66c229.83$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.6916155.9%90 W · 71 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2bf3…4f00backed illwill67c221.93$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.1840857.1%233 W · 175 L+15.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Virtus.pro42c186.37$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.924,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed illwill48c184.78$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8837949.3%187 W · 192 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x43f3…293cbacked illwill37c181.61$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.916136.1%22 W · 39 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-5.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed illwill43c172.63$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.1150051.4%257 W · 243 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x270e…53cabacked Virtus.pro58c171.38$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.388454.8%46 W · 38 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x00d4…4c46backed illwill45c168$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.1645240.3%182 W · 270 L+15.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x316f…795abacked illwill45c166$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.856634.8%23 W · 43 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e88…2605backed Virtus.pro59c160.3$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.152445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a6d…3c85backed illwill63c158.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-16%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed illwill57c154$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.772,36246.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L-53.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked illwill47c151.75$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.981,59146.6%741 W · 850 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked illwill59c146.99$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.063,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed illwill44c137.63$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.442,46824.6%607 W · 1,861 L-317.8wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-51.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x6efa…a0a7backed Virtus.pro55c130$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.130247%142 W · 160 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed illwill43c128.44$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.1496543.5%420 W · 545 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4270…6168backed illwill31c128.01$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.185444.4%24 W · 30 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-21.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7055…49bbbacked illwill65c121.98$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.7314549.7%72 W · 73 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0bfe…5c6cbacked Virtus.pro42c120$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.0222954.6%125 W · 104 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x79ac…9c87backed illwill67c117.15$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.4916349.1%80 W · 83 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+3.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a72…0a38backed Virtus.pro37c117$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.2941436.7%152 W · 262 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ca2…088ebacked illwill50c113$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.499430.9%29 W · 65 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c52…9eaebacked Virtus.pro49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518332.5%27 W · 56 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-40.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed illwill42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.3337339.7%148 W · 225 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed illwill62c99.78$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.8662248.2%300 W · 322 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6053…923dbacked Virtus.pro58c99.15$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.152236.4%8 W · 14 L-3.5wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-36.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb91c…ed66backed Virtus.pro32c96.44$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.7870042.3%296 W · 404 L-16.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x62f9…ae42backed illwill62c91.94$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5714751%75 W · 72 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Virtus.pro34c84.37$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.882,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b4c…1715backed illwill38c77.83$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.5842427.1%115 W · 309 L+13.8wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e46…8c1cbacked illwill45c76.7$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.1623654.7%129 W · 107 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked illwill67c76$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.582,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb31b…d703backed Virtus.pro60c75.17$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.1738552.7%203 W · 182 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed illwill28c73.58$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.616023.8%38 W · 122 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed illwill71c70.42$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,04645%471 W · 575 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87fe…3cbebacked Virtus.pro57c69.79$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.013256.3%18 W · 14 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x56ff…81a0backed Virtus.pro31c67.85$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.82966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+59.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed illwill30c67.6$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4666436.6%243 W · 421 L-35.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Virtus.pro55c66.74$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.0319351.3%99 W · 94 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b22…377ebacked illwill65c64.15$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.9936174.8%270 W · 91 L+13.2wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x90bb…531fbacked illwill42c60$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2310029%29 W · 71 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-31.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa306…a39dbacked Virtus.pro35c60$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.313155%72 W · 59 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed illwill47c53.44$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.342,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Virtus.pro32c52$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.65,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1d2a…7682backed Virtus.pro59c50.85$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8510451.9%54 W · 50 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x42c8…a25cbacked Virtus.pro35c50$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.56048.3%29 W · 31 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed illwill55c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.557935.1%203 W · 376 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Virtus.pro53c47.64$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.591,40738.9%547 W · 860 L-41.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed illwill42c47.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,84847.6%879 W · 969 L-55.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked illwill51c44$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.222,47334.6%855 W · 1,618 L-188.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x9227…7cedbacked illwill34c41.18$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1439847.7%190 W · 208 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Virtus.pro40c38.79$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4291743.7%401 W · 516 L-35.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x634a…dddfbacked Virtus.pro54c36.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.758947.2%42 W · 47 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77de…e67abacked illwill55c36.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0152645.1%237 W · 289 L-20.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaee7…1e5bbacked Virtus.pro56c36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.8434147.5%162 W · 179 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa658…f93ebacked illwill58c34.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209864.3%63 W · 35 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked illwill65c30$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.473,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x04ed…172abacked Virtus.pro34c30$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.8560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+32.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09c1…0ddfbacked Virtus.pro57c28.6$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.32584%21 W · 4 L+7.2wins+0.29per pick55cpaid+65.5%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked illwill65c27.94$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.174653.5%399 W · 347 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6964…a82fbacked illwill61c23$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.031428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-43.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5920…2f2abacked illwill58c17.59$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8811…627cbacked Virtus.pro70c15$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.539772.5%288 W · 109 L+38.5wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+10.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.