CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e93e3720a14d1fb15246094e3a0ce51b7c6aea0ad9dff9d68c428aa5f79ace8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Virtus.proof illwill, Virtus.pro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $106,546
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $120,874
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,546 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa927…8d9fbacked Virtus.pro | 59c | 12,243$7,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,966.07 | 345 | 59.1%204 W · 141 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed illwill | 33c | 4,485$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480.16 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked illwill | 50c | 3,883$1,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,939.02 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Virtus.pro | 41c | 2,551$1,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,509.11 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Virtus.pro | 39c | 1,998$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,228.53 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked illwill | 65c | 1,637$1,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,057.44 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked illwill | 43c | 1,288$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.15 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked illwill | 62c | 1,235$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.92 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Virtus.pro | 44c | 1,080$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed illwill | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 574 | 0%0 W · 574 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Virtus.pro | 57c | 897.62$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.76 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee4…ed67backed illwill | 48c | 794.22$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.88 | 193 | 40.4%78 W · 115 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Virtus.pro | 38c | 699.96$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.59 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked illwill | 61c | 678.16$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.03 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed illwill | 50c | 525.44$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.15 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed illwill | 56c | 500$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.65 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked illwill | 66c | 478.9$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.56 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed illwill | 54c | 476.57$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.28 | 406 | 39.4%160 W · 246 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4063…ea8dbacked Virtus.pro | 39c | 461.48$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.85 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Virtus.pro | 28c | 434.41$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.4 | 600 | 32.3%194 W · 406 L | -49.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0b…2debbacked illwill | 59c | 379.66$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 357 | 45.4%162 W · 195 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed illwill | 44c | 367.97$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked illwill | 51c | 358.97$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.06 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked illwill | 46c | 358.73$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.62 | 627 | 38.8%243 W · 384 L | -31.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcef…fd7fbacked Virtus.pro | 56c | 349.6$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.81 | 128 | 46.1%59 W · 69 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ed…a4cbbacked illwill | 65c | 305.98$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 260 | 48.8%127 W · 133 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Virtus.pro | 57c | 299.99$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked illwill | 58c | 292.58$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.24 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed illwill | 68c | 267.86$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.56 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc910…8bbcbacked Virtus.pro | 71c | 250.58$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.36 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Virtus.pro | 38c | 230.03$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.2 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…2748backed illwill | 66c | 229.83$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.69 | 161 | 55.9%90 W · 71 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed illwill | 67c | 221.93$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.18 | 408 | 57.1%233 W · 175 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Virtus.pro | 42c | 186.37$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.92 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed illwill | 48c | 184.78$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 379 | 49.3%187 W · 192 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43f3…293cbacked illwill | 37c | 181.61$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.91 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed illwill | 43c | 172.63$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.11 | 500 | 51.4%257 W · 243 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x270e…53cabacked Virtus.pro | 58c | 171.38$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.38 | 84 | 54.8%46 W · 38 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed illwill | 45c | 168$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.16 | 452 | 40.3%182 W · 270 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked illwill | 45c | 166$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.85 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e88…2605backed Virtus.pro | 59c | 160.3$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.15 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a6d…3c85backed illwill | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed illwill | 57c | 154$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.77 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked illwill | 47c | 151.75$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.98 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked illwill | 59c | 146.99$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.06 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed illwill | 44c | 137.63$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.44 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6efa…a0a7backed Virtus.pro | 55c | 130$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.1 | 302 | 47%142 W · 160 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed illwill | 43c | 128.44$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.14 | 965 | 43.5%420 W · 545 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4270…6168backed illwill | 31c | 128.01$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.18 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7055…49bbbacked illwill | 65c | 121.98$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.73 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfe…5c6cbacked Virtus.pro | 42c | 120$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.02 | 229 | 54.6%125 W · 104 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79ac…9c87backed illwill | 67c | 117.15$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.49 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Virtus.pro | 37c | 117$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.29 | 414 | 36.7%152 W · 262 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca2…088ebacked illwill | 50c | 113$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.49 | 94 | 30.9%29 W · 65 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…9eaebacked Virtus.pro | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed illwill | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.33 | 373 | 39.7%148 W · 225 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed illwill | 62c | 99.78$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.86 | 622 | 48.2%300 W · 322 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6053…923dbacked Virtus.pro | 58c | 99.15$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.15 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Virtus.pro | 32c | 96.44$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.78 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62f9…ae42backed illwill | 62c | 91.94$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Virtus.pro | 34c | 84.37$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.88 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed illwill | 38c | 77.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.58 | 424 | 27.1%115 W · 309 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e46…8c1cbacked illwill | 45c | 76.7$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.16 | 236 | 54.7%129 W · 107 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked illwill | 67c | 76$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.58 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…d703backed Virtus.pro | 60c | 75.17$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.17 | 385 | 52.7%203 W · 182 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed illwill | 28c | 73.58$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 160 | 23.8%38 W · 122 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed illwill | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87fe…3cbebacked Virtus.pro | 57c | 69.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.01 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56ff…81a0backed Virtus.pro | 31c | 67.85$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.82 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed illwill | 30c | 67.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 664 | 36.6%243 W · 421 L | -35.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Virtus.pro | 55c | 66.74$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.03 | 193 | 51.3%99 W · 94 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b22…377ebacked illwill | 65c | 64.15$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.99 | 361 | 74.8%270 W · 91 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90bb…531fbacked illwill | 42c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.23 | 100 | 29%29 W · 71 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa306…a39dbacked Virtus.pro | 35c | 60$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.3 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed illwill | 47c | 53.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.34 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Virtus.pro | 32c | 52$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.6 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2a…7682backed Virtus.pro | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42c8…a25cbacked Virtus.pro | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed illwill | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 579 | 35.1%203 W · 376 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Virtus.pro | 53c | 47.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.59 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed illwill | 42c | 47.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked illwill | 51c | 44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9227…7cedbacked illwill | 34c | 41.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Virtus.pro | 40c | 38.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.42 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x634a…dddfbacked Virtus.pro | 54c | 36.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.75 | 89 | 47.2%42 W · 47 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked illwill | 55c | 36.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 526 | 45.1%237 W · 289 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked Virtus.pro | 56c | 36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 341 | 47.5%162 W · 179 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa658…f93ebacked illwill | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 98 | 64.3%63 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked illwill | 65c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04ed…172abacked Virtus.pro | 34c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09c1…0ddfbacked Virtus.pro | 57c | 28.6$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 25 | 84%21 W · 4 L | +7.2wins | +0.29per pick | 55cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked illwill | 65c | 27.94$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 746 | 53.5%399 W · 347 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6964…a82fbacked illwill | 61c | 23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5920…2f2abacked illwill | 58c | 17.59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Virtus.pro | 70c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 397 | 72.5%288 W · 109 L | +38.5wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stageillwill won
- Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 Winnerillwill won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: VP (-1.5) vs illwill (+1.5)illwill won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.