Tennis · resolved market
ITF Tokyo: Alan Magadan vs Hyeon Chung
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x718b032eaf55b436e98c4dd14441a94eaf8c802e1c1269c3429bf6077a0ba1dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alan Magadanof Alan Magadan, Hyeon Chung
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,502
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,552
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,502 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0284…97f6backed Hyeon Chung | 74c | 1,234$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910.16 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Alan Magadan | 17c | 456.31$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.73 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Alan Magadan | 25c | 400.55$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.04 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50dc…b61abacked Alan Magadan | 11c | 375$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.25 | 275 | 30.2%83 W · 192 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Alan Magadan | 28c | 323.46$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.36 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Alan Magadan | 26c | 224.04$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.96 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Alan Magadan | 33c | 200$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef2b…70efbacked Hyeon Chung | 67c | 148.74$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.6wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Hyeon Chung | 67c | 148.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,056 | 55.4%585 W · 471 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Alan Magadan | 23c | 135.71$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.3 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce5c…a409backed Alan Magadan | 11c | 100$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 36 | 13.9%5 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Alan Magadan | 32c | 73.34$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.87 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a92…716abacked Hyeon Chung | 44c | 61.57$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…206cbacked Alan Magadan | 33c | 31.49$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 856 | 37.7%323 W · 533 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Alan Magadan | 68c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Hyeon Chung | 76c | 21.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.46 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a0…7d2ebacked Hyeon Chung | 75c | 14.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.