CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Ding Cuts vs DXA Esports (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa6eb27501756ce3d562de58a3e0c6259f110781664083bc20eb8492143d15461
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- DXA Esportsof Ding Cuts, DXA Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,185
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,922
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,185 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7288…9ec5backed Ding Cuts | 2c | 3,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 9cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d1…6194backed Ding Cuts | 3c | 750$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ec…aa22backed Ding Cuts | 6c | 575.29$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.52 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Ding Cuts | 8c | 500$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e8…7953backed Ding Cuts | 75c | 266.39$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 404 | 49.8%201 W · 203 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0153…bad3backed Ding Cuts | 52c | 239.58$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.44 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Ding Cuts | 10c | 225.26$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.25 | 414 | 36.7%152 W · 262 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c41…6275backed Ding Cuts | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 184 | 32.6%60 W · 124 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x300d…780dbacked Ding Cuts | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 87 | 35.6%31 W · 56 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90bb…531fbacked Ding Cuts | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 100 | 29%29 W · 71 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a19…86c8backed Ding Cuts | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 63 | 30.2%19 W · 44 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0580…f78bbacked Ding Cuts | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 79 | 20.3%16 W · 63 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Ding Cuts | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 452 | 40.3%182 W · 270 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Ding Cuts | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 579 | 35.1%203 W · 376 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e42…f22abacked Ding Cuts | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 217 | 41%89 W · 128 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Ding Cuts | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 59 | 27.1%16 W · 43 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca2…088ebacked Ding Cuts | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 94 | 30.9%29 W · 65 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked DXA Esports | 58c | 171.47$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.47 | 581 | 49.2%286 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb084…be70backed Ding Cuts | 14c | 169.85$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.49 | 58 | 24.1%14 W · 44 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3db7…375cbacked Ding Cuts | 9c | 154.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 112 | 21.4%24 W · 88 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Ding Cuts | 51c | 143.24$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.05 | 160 | 23.8%38 W · 122 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56e2…4a79backed Ding Cuts | 60c | 138.75$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.25 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +26%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed DXA Esports | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed DXA Esports | 63c | 119.55$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.3 | 799 | 51.7%413 W · 386 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9051…32d2backed Ding Cuts | 47c | 100.41$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.26 | 308 | 59.1%182 W · 126 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e88…2605backed Ding Cuts | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed Ding Cuts | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 293 | 47.8%140 W · 153 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Ding Cuts | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 373 | 39.7%148 W · 225 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed Ding Cuts | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 332 | 41.6%138 W · 194 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ae…3e6cbacked Ding Cuts | 11c | 99.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked Ding Cuts | 73c | 94.34$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.53 | 359 | 47.9%172 W · 187 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe728…9d87backed Ding Cuts | 38c | 92.1$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.89 | 231 | 50.6%117 W · 114 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Ding Cuts | 18c | 82.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed DXA Esports | 67c | 82.31$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.15 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…c6efbacked Ding Cuts | 13c | 77$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 189 | 39.2%74 W · 115 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked DXA Esports | 64c | 75.26$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.23 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Ding Cuts | 34c | 74$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.31 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad2c…4eecbacked DXA Esports | 27c | 72.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.84 | 512 | 52.1%267 W · 245 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Ding Cuts | 36c | 62.96$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.36 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Ding Cuts | 53c | 59$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.27 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked DXA Esports | 68c | 55.62$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.65 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked Ding Cuts | 30c | 54.82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 627 | 38.8%243 W · 384 L | -31.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed DXA Esports | 77c | 54.55$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.32 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…7c12backed DXA Esports | 68c | 51.25$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.59 | 523 | 69.4%363 W · 160 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfe…9483backed Ding Cuts | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Ding Cuts | 58c | 45.3$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.28 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed DXA Esports | 26c | 45.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.45 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e46…8c1cbacked DXA Esports | 27c | 44.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.7 | 236 | 54.7%129 W · 107 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked DXA Esports | 65c | 44.11$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.24 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…5dc5backed Ding Cuts | 60c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 73cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8563…5e98backed Ding Cuts | 59c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33ad…a123backed Ding Cuts | 44c | 34.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 129 | 46.5%60 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef2b…70efbacked Ding Cuts | 60c | 33.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 125 | 64.8%81 W · 44 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed DXA Esports | 74c | 31.38$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 965 | 43.5%420 W · 545 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x571a…1b2cbacked Ding Cuts | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…bc7bbacked Ding Cuts | 52c | 22.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 318 | 45.3%144 W · 174 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…6850backed Ding Cuts | 71c | 22.23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5012…9a5cbacked Ding Cuts | 74c | 19.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 116 | 61.2%71 W · 45 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed DXA Esports | 74c | 13.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.52 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Ding Cuts vs DXA Esports (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 Group Bthis page
- Counter-Strike: Ding Cuts vs DXA Esports - Map 1 WinnerDXA Esports won
- Counter-Strike: Ding Cuts vs DXA Esports - Map 2 WinnerDing Cuts won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.