Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Fennel vs REJECT (BO3) - VCL Japan Main Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x04960245c7a1e7669ad5da60781c89830534e1b28c9a641a12d9da7aa5dfa5be
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- REJECTof Fennel, REJECT
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,103
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,318
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,103 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8248…c0b2backed Fennel | 66c | 455.88$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.18 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked REJECT | 40c | 368.24$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.42 | 297 | 33.3%99 W · 198 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e83…00aabacked Fennel | 59c | 310.41$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.1 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked REJECT | 33c | 299.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed REJECT | 37c | 229.93$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.32 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x741a…ea3ebacked Fennel | 68c | 190.02$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Fennel | 61c | 179.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.36 | 344 | 43.3%149 W · 195 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x319c…5be7backed Fennel | 67c | 148.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.88 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 66cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked REJECT | 35c | 140.22$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.79 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked REJECT | 32c | 99.98$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.98 | 199 | 43.7%87 W · 112 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a5…534cbacked REJECT | 40c | 60.64$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.64 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe01f…ab4abacked Fennel | 26c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 254 | 44.9%114 W · 140 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe84…54ddbacked Fennel | 58c | 57.43$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.31 | 186 | 51.1%95 W · 91 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ffd…08fabacked Fennel | 62c | 54.84$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked REJECT | 33c | 50.01$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 601 | 54.2%326 W · 275 L | +24.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked REJECT | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5539…19f8backed REJECT | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef2b…70efbacked Fennel | 66c | 45.37$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0550…39e0backed REJECT | 37c | 45$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.25 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37db…dff4backed REJECT | 40c | 43.58$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.15 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed REJECT | 32c | 38.84$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.41 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked Fennel | 67c | 34.12$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 306 | 52.3%160 W · 146 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Fennel | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 310 | 46.5%144 W · 166 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.