TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Germany win on 2026-06-06?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$455,512
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$561,620

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $455,512 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 591 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2d7b…e2cebacked No44c93,437$40,718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,718.258440.5%34 W · 50 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Yes55c35,424$19,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,023.7319644.9%88 W · 108 L+9.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No42c25,396$10,687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,687.453,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes49c15,127$7,461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,666.3538734.4%133 W · 254 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-29.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed No34c14,384$4,875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,874.717513.7%24 W · 151 L-19.8wins-0.11per pick25cpaid-69.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No39c13,757$5,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,420.0942541.6%177 W · 248 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed No41c10,000$4,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,1405242.3%22 W · 30 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked No41c8,000$3,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,31023949.4%118 W · 121 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6340…e272backed Yes58c8,000$4,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,359.999161.5%56 W · 35 L+9.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+18.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb5a5…e3cabacked Yes62c6,598$4,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,482.674663%29 W · 17 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No52c6,333$3,281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,281.414,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed No41c6,097$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,499.9517748%85 W · 92 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+24.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d74…a37fbacked No18c5,842$1,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,043.920839.4%82 W · 126 L+0.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid+33%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc851…5e05backed Yes59c5,506$3,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,257.382100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick69cpaid+48.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd97d…6bf4backed Yes59c5,100$3,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0911850%9 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d4e…6478backed No53c4,801$2,566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,566.38728.7%25 W · 62 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick33cpaid+19.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ac8…5518backed Yes60c4,143$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,643.044450%22 W · 22 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c73…68e7backed Yes75c4,096$3,077 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,018.792487.5%21 W · 3 L+3.6wins+0.15per pick72cpaid+27.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb184…b6c6backed Yes48c4,005$1,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,080.66728.4%19 W · 48 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-24.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No41c3,950$1,607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,607.4956541.1%232 W · 333 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked No29c3,490$1,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,020.6937650.8%191 W · 185 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fa9…7633backed Yes59c3,390$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,389.8316825.6%43 W · 125 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No50c2,961$1,492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,491.784,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Yes63c2,961$1,875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,086.123363.5%148 W · 85 L+19.8wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+18.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes59c2,935$1,717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,217.572,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked No51c2,899$1,478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,478.3214715.6%23 W · 124 L-0.3wins0.00per pick16cpaid+19.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf924…a0ccbacked Yes59c2,878$1,698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,180.06728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick56cpaid-54.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3cec…d241backed Yes59c2,877$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,176.768056.3%45 W · 35 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b3b…c4d7backed No42c2,561$1,076 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,075.64812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick27cpaid-78.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc181…6e97backed Yes59c2,522$1,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,034.093745.9%17 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No40c2,499$1,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,010.111,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe89b…1f5abacked Yes51c2,295$1,168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,126.55560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No31c2,281$716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$715.8993542.2%395 W · 540 L-27.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes44c2,273$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,272.739254.3%50 W · 42 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Yes59c2,268$1,328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$940.495563.6%35 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c1a…5cb0backed No39c2,190$854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$854.125537.6%96 W · 159 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x62cd…02babacked Yes60c2,184$1,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$873.63638.9%14 W · 22 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-29.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22d2…82d7backed No29c2,045$602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601.982416.7%4 W · 20 L-3.5wins-0.14per pick31cpaid-74.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf021…e900backed No51c2,024$1,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,042.336437.1%135 W · 229 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x21d5…442bbacked Yes44c2,002$881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,121.2710949.5%54 W · 55 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbd4…3041backed Yes44c2,000$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1201100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed No42c2,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84040239.8%160 W · 242 L-13.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes78c1,989$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.9415763.7%100 W · 57 L+16.2wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+16%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb0d6…7475backed No30c1,946$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.7837644.9%169 W · 207 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No51c1,941$986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$985.754,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6ad…1b86backed No25c1,933$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.9714551%74 W · 71 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd24f…d0a8backed Yes59c1,928$1,137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$790.382166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+19%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x74a3…3b73backed Yes77c1,917$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.035040%20 W · 30 L-5.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-26.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xcf12…76debacked Yes75c1,888$1,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.278949.4%44 W · 45 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes77c1,840$1,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.42,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9b5…9db1backed No31c1,820$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568.0419939.7%79 W · 120 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked No56c1,813$1,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,015.539357%53 W · 40 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bf5…0144backed Yes78c1,792$1,393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.143342.4%14 W · 19 L-5.5wins-0.17per pick59cpaid-32.2%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x0eb3…97cfbacked No3c1,719$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.2234122.3%76 W · 265 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+27.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cb7…3644backed Yes59c1,695$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.9213847.1%65 W · 73 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8310…c875backed Yes60c1,667$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.6710956.9%62 W · 47 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed Yes73c1,662$1,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.8438819.1%74 W · 314 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+20.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No37c1,537$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568.6836250.8%184 W · 178 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40b9…a596backed Yes64c1,533$982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550.8620150.7%102 W · 99 L+11.3wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2adb…da11backed Yes47c1,496$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$795.971729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes44c1,371$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$771.2335036.3%127 W · 223 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dfe…a5d6backed Yes59c1,356$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.933540%14 W · 21 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75f0…2b66backed No30c1,341$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.9629030.7%89 W · 201 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x961f…a3e6backed Yes78c1,336$1,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.97450%2 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-35.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x12a2…0e71backed Yes75c1,333$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.3319158.1%111 W · 80 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfded…312cbacked Yes59c1,293$763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No40c1,279$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.262,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes59c1,272$751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.962,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No28c1,264$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.1921759%128 W · 89 L+13.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed No41c1,200$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49210236.3%37 W · 65 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x015a…5077backed Yes58c1,200$696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.99666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+29.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2dba…1d6cbacked Yes74c1,173$868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.8811561.7%71 W · 44 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc781…59d7backed Yes66c1,071$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.922166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No35c1,051$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.182,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2374…a426backed Yes51c1,022$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.7410448.1%50 W · 54 L+8.3wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5822…8774backed Yes74c1,006$748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.0417568.6%120 W · 55 L-10.2wins-0.06per pick74cpaid-7.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x29f8…cfb1backed Yes58c999.99$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41515654.5%85 W · 71 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x325b…4466backed Yes43c994.67$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.96520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-53.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked No42c952.38$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4003935.9%14 W · 25 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No41c904.92$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.5284844.3%376 W · 472 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed No56c892.86$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50026438.6%102 W · 162 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2aa1…1ea8backed Yes74c852.55$632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.0511648.3%56 W · 60 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b4e…12aebacked Yes75c849$634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.6611238.4%43 W · 69 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-22%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xed65…b1b2backed Yes59c847.46$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.466659.1%39 W · 27 L+5.6wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+8.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4247…91c4backed Yes59c847.1$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.3151228.9%148 W · 364 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes45c833.33$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.3336349.3%179 W · 184 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x81a8…9c69backed Yes58c832.82$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.8725454.7%139 W · 115 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x74a9…0dc7backed Yes59c830.51$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.517853.8%42 W · 36 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No41c829.99$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.8122041.4%91 W · 129 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-6.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes70c826.07$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.8241968.3%286 W · 133 L+65.4wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+43.6%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Yes77c807$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.6365835%230 W · 428 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13e4…8b89backed Yes72c773.02$557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.8620253.5%108 W · 94 L+12.5wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+20.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No39c728.15$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.6576048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4bc…b19dbacked Yes59c707.39$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.033053.3%16 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe62c…97e1backed Yes58c706.88$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.8810138.6%39 W · 62 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-20.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9e5…13ffbacked Yes58c700$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29412847.7%61 W · 67 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed No31c686.01$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.7834330%103 W · 240 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed No42c680$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.633350.5%168 W · 165 L+24.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+11.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8239…d9a3backed Yes74c659.15$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.384843.8%21 W · 27 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked No29c648.58$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.2257541.7%240 W · 335 L-20.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.