Fifa International · resolved market
Will United States vs. Germany end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1090015114bca1d188c16d8c54be815cbbeeedeec24dd961bd8ad6284dc8a89c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,493
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,070
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,493 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 29c | 7,275$2,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,108.48 | 387 | 34.4%133 W · 254 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 22c | 4,765$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.59 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb184…b6c6backed Yes | 23c | 3,789$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885 | 67 | 28.4%19 W · 48 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed No | 78c | 3,441$2,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.98 | 177 | 48%85 W · 92 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked Yes | 33c | 3,394$1,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,107.81 | 122 | 48.4%59 W · 63 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1017…c669backed No | 76c | 3,279$2,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.6 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad52…990fbacked Yes | 22c | 3,182$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 69c | 3,081$2,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.25 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf6…0e3bbacked No | 77c | 2,562$1,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.5 | 265 | 34%90 W · 175 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 78c | 2,442$1,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.9 | 565 | 41.1%232 W · 333 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62cd…02babacked Yes | 17c | 2,184$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.28 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 73c | 2,183$1,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.39 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed No | 78c | 2,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 79c | 1,833$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.26 | 199 | 39.7%79 W · 120 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 79c | 1,823$1,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.81 | 376 | 44.9%169 W · 207 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 61c | 1,500$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 425 | 41.6%177 W · 248 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed No | 77c | 1,392$1,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.3 | 175 | 13.7%24 W · 151 L | -19.8wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 79c | 1,307$1,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.28 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 28c | 1,304$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.01 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 74c | 1,205$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.39 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 78c | 1,048$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.56 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 78c | 1,024$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.27 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed No | 79c | 931.54$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.68 | 514 | 29.4%151 W · 363 L | -46.1wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8640…cdf1backed Yes | 22c | 894.4$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 78c | 881.65$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.62 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed No | 78c | 829.6$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.52 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 78c | 721.74$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.78 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 68c | 715.43$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.64 | 157 | 47.8%75 W · 82 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 78c | 688$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.36 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 78c | 667.72$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.76 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…7976backed Yes | 23c | 620.61$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.5 | 235 | 28.1%66 W · 169 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed No | 75c | 529.59$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.07 | 271 | 45.8%124 W · 147 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7463…1cb1backed Yes | 22c | 522.73$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +178.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 549 | 17.9%98 W · 451 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6996…cf9abacked Yes | 19c | 499.96$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.49 | 127 | 29.9%38 W · 89 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed No | 74c | 495.6$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.1 | 390 | 39%152 W · 238 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf387…61c0backed No | 74c | 494.06$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.46 | 349 | 64.5%225 W · 124 L | +73.5wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +123.1%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc3…0670backed Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 122 | 41%50 W · 72 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed No | 51c | 453.52$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.22 | 83 | 21.7%18 W · 65 L | +7.8wins | +0.09per pick | 12cpaid | +81.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 22c | 439$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.58 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9de9…ee25backed Yes | 17c | 419.59$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.33 | 41 | 14.6%6 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 22c | 419.13$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.21 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 78c | 419$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.18 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5572…f01ebacked No | 78c | 399.99$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.5 | 169 | 37.3%63 W · 106 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 78c | 377.6$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.7 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 75c | 350.64$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.61 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f28…ff9abacked No | 79c | 350.26$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.26 | 108 | 63%68 W · 40 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 22c | 318.18$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 514 | 29.4%151 W · 363 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Yes | 22c | 295$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.45 | 630 | 35.7%225 W · 405 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8103…4d0abacked Yes | 15c | 263.17$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 283 | 26.1%74 W · 209 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e74…ec81backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 286 | 26.9%77 W · 209 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 7c | 249.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 223 | 37.2%83 W · 140 L | +20.1wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f0…7bdbbacked Yes | 20c | 247.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked Yes | 23c | 223.78$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.48 | 162 | 34.6%56 W · 106 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a8…4d27backed Yes | 9c | 211.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 127 | 12.6%16 W · 111 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked No | 69c | 209.76$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.36 | 575 | 41.7%240 W · 335 L | -20.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…a351backed Yes | 16c | 198.83$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.81 | 151 | 27.8%42 W · 109 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1c…8408backed No | 68c | 180.88$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.88 | 151 | 56.3%85 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 78c | 174.71$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.26 | 848 | 44.3%376 W · 472 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7f…0492backed Yes | 17c | 163.93$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.3 | 84 | 27.4%23 W · 61 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50ac…33c4backed Yes | 13c | 158.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -78.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb907…539abacked Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 107 | 18.7%20 W · 87 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc41f…2a81backed Yes | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 17c | 146$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.34 | 343 | 30%103 W · 240 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 78c | 143.71$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.62 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…b1eebacked Yes | 22c | 136.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 161 | 31.7%51 W · 110 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 78c | 135.62$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.84 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Yes | 31c | 132.49$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.07 | 345 | 54.2%187 W · 158 L | +17.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x002f…92f3backed No | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 74cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…2f6abacked Yes | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc63a…26a0backed No | 79c | 113.94$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.93 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18d7…2968backed Yes | 22c | 113.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 99 | 23.2%23 W · 76 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6c…998fbacked Yes | 22c | 113.62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 250 | 31.6%79 W · 171 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0193…6db1backed Yes | 33c | 106.06$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed No | 78c | 102.49$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 719 | 39.1%281 W · 438 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba6c…08ebbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…f72abacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 180 | 38.3%69 W · 111 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a16…5f47backed No | 78c | 99.99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 125 | 46.4%58 W · 67 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 78c | 96.43$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.53 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xfd41…8761backed Yes | 17c | 94.95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 300 | 40.3%121 W · 179 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x209f…2337backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Yes | 21c | 90$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 413 | 44.1%182 W · 231 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6afc…5d32backed No | 78c | 89.74$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.74 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c40…f17abacked Yes | 32c | 89.68$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1d…8986backed Yes | 22c | 89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 984 | 39.2%386 W · 598 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 78c | 86.31$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.99 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd3…0591backed Yes | 33c | 85.29$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked No | 69c | 81.22$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.14 | 464 | 45.5%211 W · 253 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x509f…876bbacked Yes | 21c | 79.44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x305e…b28bbacked Yes | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 261 | 33.3%87 W · 174 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 72c | 75.18$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.95 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked No | 79c | 72.12$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.14 | 94 | 56.4%53 W · 41 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 79c | 68.37$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.49 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +18.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…24d1backed Yes | 18c | 66.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 14cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc298…8c51backed Yes | 33c | 61.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb86c…b76fbacked No | 79c | 61$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.81 | 106 | 72.6%77 W · 29 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe999…199bbacked Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc357…363ebacked Yes | 22c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7faf…33d9backed Yes | 36c | 55.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 70c | 55.22$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.78 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will United States vs. Germany end in a draw?this page
- Will Germany win on 2026-06-06?Yes won
- Will United States win on 2026-06-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.