TailMyPicks

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Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Division One vs Azure Dragon Gaming (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Azure Dragon Gamingof Division One, Azure Dragon Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$94,048
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$96,202

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,048 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x65c1…2988backed Division One37c40,619$15,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,024.4825554.9%140 W · 115 L+13.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+17.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Azure Dragon Gaming63c30,005$18,889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,115.7252155.5%289 W · 232 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Azure Dragon Gaming63c11,497$7,228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,268.9419046.3%88 W · 102 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+26.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Division One37c8,000$2,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9604647.8%22 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee8e…0a7bbacked Azure Dragon Gaming75c6,678$4,991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,687.278162%484 W · 297 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8660…93edbacked Azure Dragon Gaming63c5,778$3,624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,153.8517948.6%87 W · 92 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c93…2079backed Azure Dragon Gaming63c4,000$2,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4802347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Division One25c3,740$947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$946.6974642.8%319 W · 427 L-27.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e15…7531backed Division One38c2,000$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76033348.3%161 W · 172 L+13.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1966…25c0backed Division One39c1,650$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.512540.8%51 W · 74 L-0.4wins0.00per pick41cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeaa1…bf72backed Division One37c1,520$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.2220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x568d…87d0backed Division One29c1,296$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.6410842.6%46 W · 62 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6185…2965backed Azure Dragon Gaming62c1,224$759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.192020%4 W · 16 L-6.2wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-60.5%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x1c98…186dbacked Azure Dragon Gaming62c1,200$744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4566946.4%32 W · 37 L-5.0wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-12.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Division One34c1,199$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.935939%23 W · 36 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2418…66c8backed Azure Dragon Gaming63c1,170$737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.0718457.1%105 W · 79 L+11.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Division One22c1,161$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.8146326.6%123 W · 340 L-26.0wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-38.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe52c…01f4backed Division One21c1,152$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.154438.6%17 W · 27 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c48…eba9backed Division One38c1,050$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3997045.7%32 W · 38 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a05…cd14backed Division One1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10185.6%1 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick2cpaid-44.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Division One1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10701.4%1 W · 69 L0.0wins0.00per pick1cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Azure Dragon Gaming76c871.23$664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.4845250%226 W · 226 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0862…dc29backed Division One32c773$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.1219337.8%73 W · 120 L-11.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-23.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Division One25c657.28$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.5242140.4%170 W · 251 L-26.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-23.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3c91…b4d2backed Division One40c653.76$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.5933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-40.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x86c8…c867backed Division One29c650$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.51361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Azure Dragon Gaming78c613.86$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.641,60845.2%727 W · 881 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Division One3c599.17$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8293049.4%459 W · 471 L-0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Azure Dragon Gaming63c556.9$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.4614533.8%49 W · 96 L-10.1wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-40.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Division One21c551.59$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.621,30943.8%573 W · 736 L-44.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5c8…84a6backed Division One35c502.9$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17523151.9%120 W · 111 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x87fe…3cbebacked Division One37c500$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1851323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.20per pick43cpaid-55.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Division One37c480.67$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.956750.7%34 W · 33 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Division One37c469.21$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.6125453.5%136 W · 118 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8798…fb8dbacked Azure Dragon Gaming63c402.63$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.97633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Division One33c400$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.9235142.5%149 W · 202 L-14.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed Division One38c394.74$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15023463.7%149 W · 85 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Division One3c386$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.581,60137.5%600 W · 1,001 L-75.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfdf1…c324backed Division One38c370.68$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.86425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-55.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76af…25c3backed Azure Dragon Gaming63c316$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.921952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b54…1528backed Azure Dragon Gaming63c301.59$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x31cb…a34bbacked Azure Dragon Gaming65c298.48$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.47560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bec…7800backed Azure Dragon Gaming63c269.79$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.827540%30 W · 45 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xefa3…7585backed Division One35c249.55$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.0115646.2%72 W · 84 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Division One30c236.32$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.811,41751.3%727 W · 690 L+49.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6195…388abacked Azure Dragon Gaming58c222$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.521060%6 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x482b…3266backed Azure Dragon Gaming65c209.99$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.52846.4%13 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb57f…0c96backed Azure Dragon Gaming62c209.49$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.7515843%68 W · 90 L-12.1wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-17%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf33e…0ab8backed Azure Dragon Gaming63c201.52$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.561752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+18.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Azure Dragon Gaming71c191.47$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.411,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a7f…7603backed Azure Dragon Gaming63c186.5$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.05666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+59.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Division One36c185.5$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.3527145%122 W · 149 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Division One32c172.28$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.841835.6%149 W · 269 L-19.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-32.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Division One26c172$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.5527947.7%133 W · 146 L+0.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec38…ca10backed Azure Dragon Gaming58c153$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.262669.2%18 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+15.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0cf6…0e3bbacked Azure Dragon Gaming63c150.16$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.56475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+54.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Azure Dragon Gaming66c144.88$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.655637.6%209 W · 347 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1513…831abacked Division One40c143.43$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.8614452.1%75 W · 69 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf20b…e27dbacked Azure Dragon Gaming61c143$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.7717653.4%94 W · 82 L+9.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Division One29c142.75$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.6421136.5%77 W · 134 L-15.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-38.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5eb1…96e1backed Division One39c134.99$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.651030%3 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-38.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x34cc…d703backed Azure Dragon Gaming75c133.7$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.7366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0d0…028abacked Division One39c127.03$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503663.9%23 W · 13 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked Division One38c121.05$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462268.2%15 W · 7 L+3.9wins+0.18per pick50cpaid+37.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1f84…98f1backed Division One30c116.67$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355358.5%31 W · 22 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Azure Dragon Gaming66c112.72$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.9614729.9%44 W · 103 L-19.2wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-43.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x54d1…13f4backed Azure Dragon Gaming64c109.87$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.551080%8 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+38.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8248…c0b2backed Division One36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363151.6%16 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe32a…cd33backed Division One40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4043059.8%257 W · 173 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab87…117ebacked Azure Dragon Gaming63c85.79$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.792152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Division One17c84.25$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1784838.2%324 W · 524 L-50.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-24.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x07d1…439ebacked Azure Dragon Gaming58c83$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.86580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+33.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd7b4…f4f5backed Division One20c80.66$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed Division One37c80$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.623055.7%128 W · 102 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x04b7…7491backed Division One37c80$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.613848.6%67 W · 71 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd91…b49abacked Division One38c79.6$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.871850%9 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+13.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Division One25c74.42$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8469722.8%159 W · 538 L-94.4wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-54.7%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Division One34c61.65$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.830835.4%109 W · 199 L-23.8wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-40.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Azure Dragon Gaming63c61.17$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.638043.8%35 W · 45 L-5.7wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-11.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c8b…7a07backed Azure Dragon Gaming71c56.5$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.510664.2%68 W · 38 L+10.6wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+16%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6e31…0e6ebacked Azure Dragon Gaming71c55.97$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.9710975.2%82 W · 27 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa721…6100backed Azure Dragon Gaming62c50$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd755…d794backed Division One38c47.47$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.041625%4 W · 12 L-4.5wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-56.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd156…8569backed Azure Dragon Gaming72c41.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.672466.7%16 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad2c…4eecbacked Division One38c40$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.120553.2%109 W · 96 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef2b…70efbacked Division One38c39.47$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-28.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xca53…195fbacked Division One38c39.03$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15714.3%1 W · 6 L-3.0wins-0.42per pick56cpaid-75.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Division One37c32.87$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0632261.5%198 W · 124 L+24.5wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+8.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x697f…b756backed Azure Dragon Gaming58c30.47$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.813345.9%61 W · 72 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Azure Dragon Gaming62c29.93$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.331,27632.1%409 W · 867 L-67.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3785…f577backed Azure Dragon Gaming64c27.05$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked Azure Dragon Gaming71c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.834571%245 W · 100 L-1.5wins0.00per pick71cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Azure Dragon Gaming63c19.52$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.2115833.5%53 W · 105 L-14.5wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-38%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9c19…ea4dbacked Azure Dragon Gaming75c19.24$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.85988.9%8 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick71cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.