TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa721…6100

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
41
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Tennis, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 55 out of 100; worst Lol at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Playoffsbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs Young Ninjas (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-Inbacked Young Ninjas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs FOKUS (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Playoffsbacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$31
Counter-Strike: TDK vs OG (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #1 Playoffsbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs UNO MILLE (BO5) - Odyssey Cup Brazil Playoffsbacked Yawara Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$24.98
Counter-Strike: Tricked vs AM Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked Tricked · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$22.91
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Playoffsbacked Nemiga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+59.7%+$18.5
Counter-Strike: Tricked vs Just Players (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Playoffsbacked Tricked · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.84
Counter-Strike: Young Ninjas vs Lilmix - Map 2 Winnerbacked Lilmix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+203%+$30.45
Counter-Strike: SemperFi Esports vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia-Pacific Finals Playoffsbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs INOX Division (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Finals Playoffsbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$23.94
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group Dbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$32
Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs Atreides (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Closed Qualifier Group Dbacked UNiTY esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Counter-Strike: BET-M 33 vs Aurora Young Blood (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group Bbacked BET-M 33 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Lilmix (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group Abacked Lilmix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+300%+$39
Counter-Strike: ALGO Esports vs Just Players (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Group Stagebacked ALGO Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
All 16 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Game 1 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$10.07
LoL: RED Canids vs LOS (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffsbacked RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$63
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$26
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 4 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
LoL: GAM Esports vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffsbacked GAM Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.38
LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$9.3
Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$9.27
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 4 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+46.3%+$15.26
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 3 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$29.37
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick61cpaid+35.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-05-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$34
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.