TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs INOX Division (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Finals Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Nemesisof Team Nemesis, INOX Division
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$77,402
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$85,483

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,402 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 195 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x30c7…ac3bbacked Team Nemesis52c12,796$6,619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,177.2875652.6%398 W · 358 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b59…3aa6backed INOX Division49c7,105$3,481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,481.3284958.3%495 W · 354 L+60.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked INOX Division48c6,516$3,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,124.395,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed INOX Division46c6,149$2,845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,844.5266851.8%346 W · 322 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed INOX Division48c5,552$2,657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,657.462,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked INOX Division47c4,959$2,331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,330.721,01152.3%529 W · 482 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked INOX Division49c3,289$1,623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,622.6127552%143 W · 132 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa960…9407backed Team Nemesis53c3,009$1,595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,414.219554.7%52 W · 43 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79bd…5c31backed Team Nemesis55c2,727$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,227.271952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe59c…4da7backed Team Nemesis78c2,292$1,784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.4115264.5%98 W · 54 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbe8…bb28backed Team Nemesis53c1,662$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782.5122044.5%98 W · 122 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b50…1db2backed Team Nemesis52c1,545$808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$737.315950.8%30 W · 29 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe337…1f6fbacked INOX Division39c1,520$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.8926341.1%108 W · 155 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48b8…4b69backed Team Nemesis53c1,500$795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70520249%99 W · 103 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed INOX Division36c1,288$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.015,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x623d…3aeebacked Team Nemesis54c1,054$569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.1910137.6%38 W · 63 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-19.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f17…7035backed Team Nemesis52c940.94$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.6545465.9%299 W · 155 L+20.8wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Team Nemesis69c932.83$641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.284,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c70…9a6cbacked INOX Division22c909.09$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005137.3%19 W · 32 L-4.7wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-20.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xae10…09e3backed Team Nemesis53c839.59$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.066251.6%32 W · 30 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x906f…2877backed INOX Division49c817.47$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.9864854.3%352 W · 296 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Team Nemesis63c789.48$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.0360848%292 W · 316 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa97c…ca21backed Team Nemesis51c784.31$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.31862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick41cpaid+33%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0dad…4855backed INOX Division50c750$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37510352.4%54 W · 49 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf33e…0ab8backed INOX Division48c750$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3605639.3%22 W · 34 L+0.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid+6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9438…e019backed Team Nemesis53c700$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3299642.7%41 W · 55 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b9c…a518backed Team Nemesis53c642.53$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.9916544.8%74 W · 91 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdec9…b8abbacked INOX Division48c620$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.1620643.7%90 W · 116 L-9.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ae4…fc82backed Team Nemesis51c619$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.564438.6%17 W · 27 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed INOX Division11c603.83$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.812,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6200…7d23backed Team Nemesis51c586.27$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.2716036.3%58 W · 102 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Team Nemesis54c575.98$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.846,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb835…2e51backed Team Nemesis50c551.48$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.748544.7%38 W · 47 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked Team Nemesis50c540.69$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.3563541.9%266 W · 369 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe00f…0ae8backed Team Nemesis51c529$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.322334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Team Nemesis46c528.79$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.921,57929.7%469 W · 1,110 L-86.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-39.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0083…80fdbacked Team Nemesis51c521$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.297038.6%27 W · 43 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-24.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd02a…4771backed Team Nemesis53c509.43$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.4319245.8%88 W · 104 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed INOX Division49c508.23$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.812,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Team Nemesis53c505$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.3515740.8%64 W · 93 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09c1…0ddfbacked INOX Division48c500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2402584%21 W · 4 L+7.2wins+0.29per pick55cpaid+65.5%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x242c…286dbacked INOX Division48c500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2401560%9 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x764a…83d3backed INOX Division48c500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2405944.1%26 W · 33 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcab0…0d18backed INOX Division48c500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240825%2 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-50.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8248…c0b2backed INOX Division49c500$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.120750.7%105 W · 102 L-9.9wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6dd9…bfe8backed INOX Division47c499.97$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.9910653.8%57 W · 49 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed INOX Division47c477.39$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.021,62052.7%853 W · 767 L+57.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d87…df1dbacked INOX Division30c449.99$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.517545.7%80 W · 95 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d7f…2ae7backed Team Nemesis53c444$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.6810151.5%52 W · 49 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Team Nemesis51c433.74$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.5361154.7%334 W · 277 L+11.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0862…dc29backed INOX Division36c423.41$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15448635.4%172 W · 314 L-18.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xab87…117ebacked Team Nemesis50c414.41$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.9117449.4%86 W · 88 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Team Nemesis52c400$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1925,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb441…f757backed INOX Division48c400$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19118754%101 W · 86 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x44c8…a9ffbacked Team Nemesis51c394.18$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1942835.7%10 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-32.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed INOX Division47c377.3$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.932,00953.9%1,082 W · 927 L+7.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Team Nemesis55c368.19$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.582,34942.5%998 W · 1,351 L-72.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked INOX Division33c367.55$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.983,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed INOX Division48c360$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.5299148.3%479 W · 512 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed INOX Division48c353.51$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.0816346.6%76 W · 87 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6dea…e294backed Team Nemesis44c349$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.9335848.3%173 W · 185 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Team Nemesis51c345.1$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.154543.5%237 W · 308 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Team Nemesis60c340.79$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.564,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ae5…72d2backed Team Nemesis46c332.92$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.7120154.7%110 W · 91 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e0b…4e72backed Team Nemesis78c319.77$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.7720059%118 W · 82 L-0.3wins0.00per pick59cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c1b…4b83backed Team Nemesis51c314.96$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc52…dfcebacked INOX Division49c310$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.97736.4%28 W · 49 L-9.3wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-27.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Team Nemesis51c307.09$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.221,61846.8%758 W · 860 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2313…e9c3backed Team Nemesis51c294.27$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.27450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+41.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed Team Nemesis48c282.73$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.351,03839.9%414 W · 624 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked INOX Division45c272.66$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.8745238.3%173 W · 279 L-29.4wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-29.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed INOX Division23c252.13$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5959343.2%256 W · 337 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe66e…96e8backed Team Nemesis40c250.71$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.027842.3%33 W · 45 L+0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7da…43d9backed Team Nemesis52c250$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.8827156.1%152 W · 119 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe54d…fdecbacked Team Nemesis77c250$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.511758.1%68 W · 49 L-11.0wins-0.09per pick68cpaid-17.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Team Nemesis61c243.56$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.6764046.3%296 W · 344 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b26…57e9backed Team Nemesis42c239.99$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.41,48558%862 W · 623 L+66.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x69e4…9bacbacked Team Nemesis59c233.3$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.8119845.5%90 W · 108 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc559…498abacked Team Nemesis50c227.69$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.533751.4%19 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Team Nemesis59c227.37$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.1991743.7%401 W · 516 L-35.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Team Nemesis51c222$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.280740.3%325 W · 482 L-3.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8847…fc98backed Team Nemesis51c221$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.5624840.7%101 W · 147 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba23…cd7ebacked INOX Division47c211.17$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.2915455.2%85 W · 69 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78f9…6000backed Team Nemesis51c210.29$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.29450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8da6…107abacked INOX Division48c209.06$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012948.8%63 W · 66 L-7.1wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e83…00aabacked Team Nemesis52c209$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.3217142.1%72 W · 99 L-9.6wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ed8…eb23backed Team Nemesis69c200.59$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.182556%14 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick58cpaid+8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56d6…4404backed Team Nemesis53c200$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.8264058.1%372 W · 268 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d08…5d9fbacked Team Nemesis50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10020248%97 W · 105 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Team Nemesis50c197$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.944,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed INOX Division49c196$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.0466436.6%243 W · 421 L-35.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd652…6354backed INOX Division43c195.26$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.5113757.7%79 W · 58 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid0%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…5c4cbacked INOX Division52c193.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.4213350.4%67 W · 66 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x297a…198bbacked Team Nemesis44c191.65$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.836232.3%20 W · 42 L-6.5wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-19.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb2fb…1c4abacked Team Nemesis54c186.72$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.727350.7%37 W · 36 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93ed…a4cbbacked Team Nemesis45c180.46$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.4626048.8%127 W · 133 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Team Nemesis58c179.98$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.0791945.8%421 W · 498 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5a8…bf60backed INOX Division57c176.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10098856.1%554 W · 434 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked INOX Division22c160.87$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.1966446.4%308 W · 356 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bed…66aebacked Team Nemesis51c157.2$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.36475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+28%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.