TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: TDK vs OG (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #1 Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
TDKof TDK, OG
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$152,157
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$163,419

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $152,157 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 238 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x30c7…ac3bbacked OG43c30,000$12,893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,892.7775452.7%397 W · 357 L+27.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe40e…9770backed TDK57c20,000$11,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,60017951.4%92 W · 87 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa7df…5eeebacked OG43c13,263$5,703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,702.9616245.1%73 W · 89 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19bd…ae36backed OG0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103847.4%18 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed TDK57c9,999$5,677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,321.7567041.8%280 W · 390 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6185…2965backed OG42c7,530$3,162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,162.4314051.4%72 W · 68 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked TDK60c5,750$3,473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,27736453.8%196 W · 168 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked TDK57c4,450$2,536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,913.575,02855%2,763 W · 2,265 L+112.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0075…5f10backed OG46c3,939$1,821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,821.1450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked OG20c3,178$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624.857,89250.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L+182.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked TDK57c2,548$1,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1041,62144.8%726 W · 895 L+3.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e34…4480backed OG42c2,500$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,049.9749935.1%175 W · 324 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa927…8d9fbacked TDK56c2,451$1,382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,068.3634559.1%204 W · 141 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea1c…921bbacked TDK64c2,315$1,485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$830.3412143.8%53 W · 68 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked TDK77c1,714$1,316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.21,76859.2%1,047 W · 721 L+105.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xab71…2adabacked TDK57c1,703$971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$732.375952.5%31 W · 28 L+5.8wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+23.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x48b8…4b69backed OG44c1,526$671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$671.2820249%99 W · 103 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0115…2552backed OG38c1,316$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.631457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed TDK57c1,286$733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552.9828355.5%157 W · 126 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed TDK58c1,068$623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.672,49141.1%1,023 W · 1,468 L-114.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xef00…de7fbacked OG34c1,061$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.277737.7%29 W · 48 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-12.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x687f…da05backed OG17c1,021$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.131770.6%12 W · 5 L+4.2wins+0.25per pick46cpaid+49.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3da8…80c3backed OG44c999.95$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.9833359.8%199 W · 134 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe361…ae44backed OG43c996.34$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.4325145.8%115 W · 136 L+0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16db…8d0fbacked OG40c979.84$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.946639.4%26 W · 40 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdfa…7491backed OG51c975.42$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003740.5%15 W · 22 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed TDK69c963.24$669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.82,60830.9%807 W · 1,801 L-103.7wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8051…2ab5backed OG46c954.79$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.941560%9 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+32.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeaa1…bf72backed TDK57c939.03$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.78580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+31.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed TDK74c932.8$691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.196,46642.9%2,777 W · 3,689 L-78.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked OG13c917.92$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.9814947.7%71 W · 78 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb12…6a81backed OG44c900$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3968548.2%41 W · 44 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x568d…87d0backed TDK57c899.99$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.9928943.6%126 W · 163 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+14.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9227…7cedbacked OG11c875$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10039847.7%190 W · 208 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5113…b692backed OG46c843.82$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.93652.8%19 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed OG39c800$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.982,42944.6%1,083 W · 1,346 L-63.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x136d…62ffbacked TDK57c784.21$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.211428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-41.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9438…e019backed OG44c750$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3309642.7%41 W · 55 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed TDK57c733.48$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.416346.6%76 W · 87 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x17e2…d472backed OG28c717.86$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20026624.4%65 W · 201 L-26.9wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-33.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb525…bdc7backed TDK73c641.67$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.8325446.1%117 W · 137 L-17.4wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-17.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf679…2d3dbacked TDK58c640.42$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.6636440.1%146 W · 218 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-21.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked TDK65c639.62$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.421,59146.6%741 W · 850 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x304f…af95backed TDK57c606.58$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.8323456.8%133 W · 101 L-8.6wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-5.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x56d6…4404backed TDK57c599.99$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.0864058.1%372 W · 268 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecb0…2329backed OG28c588.33$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.47333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-25.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed OG13c581$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.251,56729.8%467 W · 1,100 L-86.0wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-39%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed TDK56c535.7$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.711,99853.7%1,073 W · 925 L+5.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f17…7035backed TDK55c519.91$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.9645065.6%295 W · 155 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed OG44c500$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22060748.1%292 W · 315 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed OG44c500$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2205,81037.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L+78.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6eb…88a8backed OG45c499.99$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8248…c0b2backed TDK56c499.99$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.9920750.7%105 W · 102 L-9.9wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xace6…5556backed TDK58c489$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.3867651.8%350 W · 326 L+2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed TDK57c484.62$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.421,60552.6%845 W · 760 L+57.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed OG18c437.71$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.941,01753.4%543 W · 474 L+65.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+6.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked TDK55c425.2$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.341,00752.4%528 W · 479 L+27.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed TDK57c423.11$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.9438037.4%142 W · 238 L-14.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x18f3…0c20backed TDK56c400$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17626155.2%144 W · 117 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5a8…bf60backed TDK57c397.31$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.3198856.1%554 W · 434 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2333…0e1cbacked OG45c385.42$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.44333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-29%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed TDK56c377.42$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.062,61051.7%1,349 W · 1,261 L+16.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked TDK65c372.75$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.074,89737.4%1,832 W · 3,065 L-245.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d62…5409backed TDK57c350.88$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.8848562.7%304 W · 181 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6373…a0b7backed OG29c345.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004526.7%12 W · 33 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2903…9203backed OG40c345$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13820253%107 W · 95 L+0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x277e…259ebacked TDK58c344.83$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.838463.1%53 W · 31 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0437…30f4backed OG44c329.75$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.313132.3%10 W · 21 L-5.0wins-0.16per pick48cpaid-41.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd385…34fbbacked OG43c324.03$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.3313652.9%72 W · 64 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked OG18c318.97$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.214,66143.5%2,027 W · 2,634 L-85.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe564…221abacked OG33c311.36$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1041,07832%345 W · 733 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed OG28c301.49$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.921,27721.9%280 W · 997 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked TDK54c298.9$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.022,60352.6%1,370 W · 1,233 L+97.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x38a7…cb12backed OG29c293.84$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6766…0db2backed OG34c292.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004959.2%29 W · 20 L+5.9wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+29.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe592…74adbacked TDK58c280$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.67445.9%34 W · 40 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0862…dc29backed TDK55c273$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.1448635.4%172 W · 314 L-18.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d78…b8b9backed TDK55c270$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.516450.6%83 W · 81 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8bcd…2051backed OG46c266.84$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.746749.3%33 W · 34 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa60…556cbacked TDK57c263.16$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.1632352%168 W · 155 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed TDK69c259.24$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.5645058.9%265 W · 185 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1064…f153backed TDK60c255$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.0516149.1%79 W · 82 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b0c…d43abacked OG42c250.6$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.2546247.8%221 W · 241 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed OG43c240$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.280740.3%325 W · 482 L-3.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c41…6275backed TDK51c234.2$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.118432.6%60 W · 124 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ea9…5b98backed TDK57c231.78$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.1411952.9%63 W · 56 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked OG44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10058149.2%286 W · 295 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e9e…102abacked TDK56c216.96$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.469757.7%56 W · 41 L+8.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+17.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed OG36c212.81$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.374,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6061…5090backed TDK54c210.25$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.712330.4%7 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-29.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked TDK58c208$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.3649849.6%247 W · 251 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae10…09e3backed TDK54c204.74$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.186251.6%32 W · 30 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed TDK51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9864439.8%256 W · 388 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ddd…1ad3backed TDK56c200$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8715453.9%83 W · 71 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f05…a9b9backed TDK57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8627259.2%161 W · 111 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7004…a778backed TDK57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8630155.8%168 W · 133 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a03…a455backed TDK56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$884100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+90.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa896…4819backed OG19c199.99$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386625.8%17 W · 49 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-19.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed OG24c199$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.535,26231.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L-381.6wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x591d…f4dfbacked TDK57c180$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.418846.8%88 W · 100 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.