TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xecb0…2329

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
106
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Tennis, grading 50 out of 100 (0.00 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 50 out of 100; worst UFC at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT6735.8%24 W · 43 L+0.3wins0.00per pick35cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 67 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Quebec City: Zizou Bergs vs Stefanos Sakellaridisbacked Stefanos Sakellaridis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$29.47
National Bank Open: Karen Khachanov vs Terence Atmanebacked Karen Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
National Bank Open: Raphael Collignon vs Alexei Popyrinbacked Raphael Collignon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.83
National Bank Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Alejandro Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.5
National Bank Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Taylor Fritzbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.97
National Bank Open: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Arthur Rinderknechbacked Arthur Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$39.7
ITF Leipzig: Ida Wobker vs Xinxin Yaobacked Xinxin Yao · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.95
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Michele Ribecai vs Tomasz Berkietabacked Tomasz Berkieta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.9
Canadian Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Botic van de Zandschulpbacked Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.58
Canadian Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Liam Draxlbacked Liam Draxl · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.34
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Mathys Erhard vs Olaf Pieczkowskibacked Mathys Erhard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$36.17
Zug: Zsombor Piros vs Max Hans Rehbergbacked Zsombor Piros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.23
Generali Open: Sebastian Baez vs Miomir Kecmanovicbacked Sebastian Baez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$43.14
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$161.47
Contrexeville: Mayar Sherif vs Jeline Vandrommebacked Mayar Sherif · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+246%+$133.81
Swedish Open, Qualification: Roberto Carballes Baena vs Carlos Sanchez Joverbacked Roberto Carballes Baena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$397Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$397.42
Braunschweig: Jan Choinski vs Hugo Gastonbacked Jan Choinski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+157.2%+$250.65
Swiss Open, Qualification: Dylan Dietrich vs Thiago Monteirobacked Thiago Monteiro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$213.07
Trieste: Matej Dodig vs Hugo Dellienbacked Matej Dodig · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.05
Swiss Open, Qualification: Clement Tabur vs Marc-Andrea Hueslerbacked Marc-Andrea Huesler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.53
Iasi Open, Qualification: Carmen Andreea Herea vs Ekaterina Kazionovabacked Ekaterina Kazionova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Swedish Open, Qualification: Gonzalo Bueno vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondesbacked Gonzalo Bueno · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.91
Iasi Open, Qualification: Georgina Garcia Perez vs Andreea Prisacariubacked Andreea Prisacariu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.08
Athens Open, Qualification: Ekaterina Yashina vs Lina Glushkobacked Ekaterina Yashina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+309.8%+$148.72
Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Linda Noskovabacked Karolina Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.39
Showing 25 of 67 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT2931%9 W · 20 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-28.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Daniel Rodriguez win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.38
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+100%+$15
UFC Fight Night: Jan Blachowicz vs. Navajo Stirling (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Jan Blachowicz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
UFC Fight Night: Duško Todorovic vs. Robert Valentin (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Duško Todorovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
UFC Fight Night: Milos Janicic vs. Noah Gugnon (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Noah Gugnon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$22.55
UFC Fight Night: Ludovit Klein vs. Tofiq Musayev (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Tofiq Musayev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+218%+$23.98
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+74.9%+$12.74
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Conor McGregor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.44
Will Conor McGregor win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.63
Will Lone'er Kavanagh win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
UFC 329: Cody Garbrandt vs. Adrian Yanez (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Cody Garbrandt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Will Luke Riley win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+228.4%+$79.96
UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Deiveson Figueiredo (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Deiveson Figueiredo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.65
Will Zhang Mingyang win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$191.91
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
UFC Fight Night: Sergei Pavlovich vs. Tallison Teixeira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Tallison Teixeira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Kai Asakura win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+108.5%+$120.41
UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alexander Volkov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$11.32
UFC 328: Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Joel Álvarez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
UFC 328: Grant Dawson vs. Mateusz Rebecki (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Mateusz Rebecki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
UFC 328: Pat Sabatini vs. William Gomis (Featherweight, Early Prelims)backed William Gomis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
UFC Fight Night: Beneil Dariush vs. Quillan Salkilld (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Beneil Dariush · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.85
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-45.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-25.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$221
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.