Tennis · resolved market
Iasi Open, Qualification: Carmen Andreea Herea vs Ekaterina Kazionova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9996b1c26239af7597e26ace0d72ada5240c94eb7d0b0dc66b3708828a6831a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Carmen Andreea Hereaof Carmen Andreea Herea, Ekaterina Kazionova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,552
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,465
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,552 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Carmen Andreea Herea | 64c | 6,915$4,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,501.81 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4064…5f1ebacked Ekaterina Kazionova | 36c | 5,512$1,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,984.25 | 280 | 39.3%110 W · 170 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Ekaterina Kazionova | 46c | 1,385$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.7 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe14…1394backed Ekaterina Kazionova | 20c | 459.25$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.85 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2de6…fb10backed Carmen Andreea Herea | 59c | 394.92$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.92 | 462 | 55.8%258 W · 204 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabb3…f5b0backed Ekaterina Kazionova | 11c | 345$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.95 | 476 | 57.4%273 W · 203 L | +31.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…11efbacked Carmen Andreea Herea | 72c | 290$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.7 | 643 | 65.9%424 W · 219 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda31…f8acbacked Ekaterina Kazionova | 38c | 263.74$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 117 | 45.3%53 W · 64 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Ekaterina Kazionova | 34c | 226.66$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.74 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c04…a593backed Ekaterina Kazionova | 43c | 209.3$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 429 | 30.5%131 W · 298 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Carmen Andreea Herea | 59c | 148$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.68 | 1,222 | 55%672 W · 550 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Ekaterina Kazionova | 31c | 138.76$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 2,099 | 44.5%935 W · 1,164 L | -51.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Carmen Andreea Herea | 64c | 124.23$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.96 | 4,760 | 49.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L | +176.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74fc…492cbacked Carmen Andreea Herea | 80c | 124.22$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.84 | 179 | 72.6%130 W · 49 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 76cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Ekaterina Kazionova | 9c | 119.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Ekaterina Kazionova | 17c | 118.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 5,498 | 48.5%2,667 W · 2,831 L | +10.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6b…218bbacked Ekaterina Kazionova | 47c | 115.29$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.19 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Carmen Andreea Herea | 53c | 110.64$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 3,798 | 54.9%2,087 W · 1,711 L | +111.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Carmen Andreea Herea | 54c | 108.31$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.82 | 1,132 | 50.3%569 W · 563 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Ekaterina Kazionova | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 694 | 29.8%207 W · 487 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Ekaterina Kazionova | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 889 | 35.2%313 W · 576 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecb0…2329backed Ekaterina Kazionova | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Carmen Andreea Herea | 69c | 99.03$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.31 | 1,639 | 55.1%903 W · 736 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Ekaterina Kazionova | 37c | 83.26$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.05 | 3,155 | 57.2%1,806 W · 1,349 L | +176.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f82…b06cbacked Ekaterina Kazionova | 34c | 76.06$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.86 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Carmen Andreea Herea | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 2,087 | 54.1%1,130 W · 957 L | +64.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a20…d606backed Carmen Andreea Herea | 79c | 52$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 926 | 74.6%691 W · 235 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 74cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca2b…3489backed Ekaterina Kazionova | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 247 | 40.1%99 W · 148 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Carmen Andreea Herea | 62c | 49.79$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 5,422 | 56.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L | +231.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Carmen Andreea Herea | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x205d…2ad2backed Ekaterina Kazionova | 49c | 34.26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.79 | 223 | 66.8%149 W · 74 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…7a09backed Carmen Andreea Herea | 51c | 34.26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.79 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Carmen Andreea Herea | 50c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x476e…cfb9backed Carmen Andreea Herea | 67c | 33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 350 | 60.9%213 W · 137 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Carmen Andreea Herea | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1,036 | 54.2%562 W · 474 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Carmen Andreea Herea | 54c | 27.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 1,745 | 48.1%840 W · 905 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dbe…b8febacked Carmen Andreea Herea | 70c | 27.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.38 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.23per pick | 66cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc6…d4ffbacked Carmen Andreea Herea | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe4…f12fbacked Carmen Andreea Herea | 50c | 22.66$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 595 | 65.4%389 W · 206 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf06d…510cbacked Carmen Andreea Herea | 79c | 19.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.09 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.