UFC · resolved market
UFC 329: Cody Garbrandt vs. Adrian Yanez (Bantamweight, Prelims)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbaebaad766744d63c922c61474dcc6755cbaea57c4d4bc1b13227cf586281210
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Adrian Yanezof Cody Garbrandt, Adrian Yanez
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $764,375
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $974,400
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $764,375 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 251 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Adrian Yanez | 78c | 407,686$317,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90,485.47 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Cody Garbrandt | 22c | 200,495$44,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,358.9 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Cody Garbrandt | 22c | 78,458$17,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,260.86 | 154 | 44.2%68 W · 86 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30c1…9f91backed Cody Garbrandt | 25c | 37,857$9,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,400 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed Cody Garbrandt | 23c | 37,000$8,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,500.04 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Cody Garbrandt | 23c | 20,000$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,600 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Cody Garbrandt | 22c | 17,911$3,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,940.47 | 145 | 58.6%85 W · 60 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6db5…e279backed Adrian Yanez | 72c | 17,183$12,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,808.73 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf40…87debacked Cody Garbrandt | 24c | 16,455$3,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,920.14 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Cody Garbrandt | 22c | 10,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Adrian Yanez | 77c | 10,000$7,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,299.98 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…7980backed Cody Garbrandt | 22c | 9,030$1,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,986.6 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Cody Garbrandt | 34c | 7,790$2,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,626.08 | 155 | 37.4%58 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Adrian Yanez | 78c | 6,000$4,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Adrian Yanez | 77c | 5,516$4,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,268.65 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87b6…4ababacked Adrian Yanez | 78c | 5,250$4,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Cody Garbrandt | 22c | 5,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.97 | 300 | 39.3%118 W · 182 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Cody Garbrandt | 23c | 4,436$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.45 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc472…b96cbacked Adrian Yanez | 79c | 4,221$3,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Cody Garbrandt | 26c | 4,215$1,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,077.33 | 331 | 32%106 W · 225 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…d2e5backed Adrian Yanez | 77c | 4,000$3,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.98 | 226 | 61.9%140 W · 86 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb49…4bd8backed Cody Garbrandt | 1c | 3,797$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Cody Garbrandt | 23c | 3,136$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.83 | 358 | 26%93 W · 265 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0f…4633backed Adrian Yanez | 65c | 3,073$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,073.27 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbddd…3d9abacked Cody Garbrandt | 23c | 3,000$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Adrian Yanez | 77c | 3,000$2,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.99 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…ea3bbacked Cody Garbrandt | 22c | 2,999$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.83 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Adrian Yanez | 71c | 2,757$1,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.86 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Cody Garbrandt | 23c | 2,185$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Cody Garbrandt | 36c | 2,117$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.21 | 224 | 38.4%86 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Cody Garbrandt | 29c | 1,691$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.95 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | +10.2wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43e0…8618backed Adrian Yanez | 63c | 1,650$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.62 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Cody Garbrandt | 23c | 1,578$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.96 | 138 | 36.2%50 W · 88 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…5ee4backed Adrian Yanez | 76c | 1,551$1,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.23 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Cody Garbrandt | 22c | 1,540$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.86 | 291 | 33.7%98 W · 193 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d9…5896backed Cody Garbrandt | 23c | 1,522$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 142 | 37.3%53 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed31…d9c8backed Cody Garbrandt | 28c | 1,467$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.99 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0c4bbacked Cody Garbrandt | 23c | 1,400$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Adrian Yanez | 76c | 1,050$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.99 | 339 | 48.1%163 W · 176 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Adrian Yanez | 78c | 1,000$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.28 | 356 | 64.6%230 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x270b…2bafbacked Adrian Yanez | 78c | 999.98$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8c…9390backed Adrian Yanez | 78c | 999.92$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.98 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Cody Garbrandt | 23c | 995.65$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229 | 261 | 40.6%106 W · 155 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfe…2d74backed Adrian Yanez | 78c | 984.77$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.65 | 61 | 72.1%44 W · 17 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52f4…2b15backed Adrian Yanez | 66c | 978.78$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.78 | 161 | 56.5%91 W · 70 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc1…692ebacked Cody Garbrandt | 22c | 909.09$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | +119.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Adrian Yanez | 60c | 889.76$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.2 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…df08backed Adrian Yanez | 71c | 845.07$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.07 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x222d…90d1backed Cody Garbrandt | 24c | 833.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd599…c994backed Adrian Yanez | 66c | 810.97$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.19 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Adrian Yanez | 78c | 799.99$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2deb…2b13backed Cody Garbrandt | 39c | 777.12$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aca…61fdbacked Adrian Yanez | 78c | 759.69$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.25 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f3…3426backed Cody Garbrandt | 40c | 750$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 141 | 32.6%46 W · 95 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Cody Garbrandt | 23c | 680.46$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.8 | 225 | 48%108 W · 117 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e43…6583backed Adrian Yanez | 78c | 658.52$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.87 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 68cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Adrian Yanez | 78c | 650.77$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.17 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3652…2c8bbacked Adrian Yanez | 77c | 628.7$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…a656backed Adrian Yanez | 79c | 599.98$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 55 | 69.1%38 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf49…b4a5backed Cody Garbrandt | 23c | 587.07$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef4f…4598backed Cody Garbrandt | 22c | 584.27$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.7 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7455…93adbacked Cody Garbrandt | 24c | 571.62$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.19 | 195 | 31.8%62 W · 133 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d32…653ebacked Adrian Yanez | 78c | 522.4$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.4 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 67cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc11…4b4abacked Cody Garbrandt | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x270c…f66fbacked Cody Garbrandt | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed Adrian Yanez | 60c | 498$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.52 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Adrian Yanez | 60c | 489.56$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.93 | 377 | 54.6%206 W · 171 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92c6…545bbacked Cody Garbrandt | 23c | 468.57$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.77 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 21cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f86…4fa9backed Adrian Yanez | 65c | 461.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.92 | 145 | 60%87 W · 58 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb73…1e52backed Adrian Yanez | 65c | 461.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.54 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1507…e175backed Adrian Yanez | 65c | 451.72$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.23 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51e6…80d2backed Cody Garbrandt | 22c | 450$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 139 | 40.3%56 W · 83 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddf…2c83backed Cody Garbrandt | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f49…231dbacked Cody Garbrandt | 23c | 429.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.9 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e9…ee46backed Cody Garbrandt | 24c | 420$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x606e…ce83backed Cody Garbrandt | 23c | 420$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…3e7cbacked Cody Garbrandt | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 35cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed Adrian Yanez | 75c | 416.01$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.42 | 905 | 53.6%485 W · 420 L | +46.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Cody Garbrandt | 30c | 415.36$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.61 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | +16.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Adrian Yanez | 78c | 406.41$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.5 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Adrian Yanez | 77c | 399.97$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.99 | 309 | 64.7%200 W · 109 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Adrian Yanez | 78c | 384.14$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.51 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb76…2468backed Cody Garbrandt | 23c | 375.83$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Cody Garbrandt | 31c | 370.13$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.76 | 112 | 40.2%45 W · 67 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa430…c6f9backed Adrian Yanez | 79c | 351.9$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.9 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x676e…28c5backed Cody Garbrandt | 23c | 347.83$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd4…4c88backed Adrian Yanez | 75c | 335.5$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.5 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a4f…ad73backed Adrian Yanez | 78c | 312.82$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.82 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Cody Garbrandt | 44c | 307.99$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99b1…196abacked Adrian Yanez | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd79…f93ebacked Adrian Yanez | 78c | 299.99$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 522 | 52.9%276 W · 246 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac6b…a962backed Adrian Yanez | 77c | 258.91$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.91 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9df3…ddfcbacked Adrian Yanez | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a9…0eb1backed Cody Garbrandt | 23c | 252.39$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x914b…b84abacked Cody Garbrandt | 23c | 239.13$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 96 | 37.5%36 W · 60 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…6492backed Adrian Yanez | 64c | 234.38$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.38 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Cody Garbrandt | 22c | 233$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.26 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Cody Garbrandt | 36c | 225$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.25 | 383 | 53.3%204 W · 179 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6f…f8e8backed Adrian Yanez | 76c | 224.04$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.77 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8c…c014backed Cody Garbrandt | 22c | 218.9$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.81 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC 329: Cody Garbrandt vs. Adrian Yanez (Bantamweight, Prelims)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?No won
- O/U 1.5 RoundsUnder won
- O/U 2.5 RoundsUnder won
- Will Adrian Yanez win by KO or TKO?Yes won
- Will Cody Garbrandt win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.