TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3652…2c8b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
71
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: MLB, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 58 out of 100; worst Tennis at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLBlast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT2166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.4wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+31.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
MLB — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Bubba Chandler: Strikeouts O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$51.1
Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$404Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$373.15
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$61.29
Kansas City Royals vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$489Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+109.6%+$536.12
Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$72
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$322Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$309.37
Chicago Cubs vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athleticsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$13.09
Los Angeles Angels vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$142.46
Detroit Tigers vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$144.12
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+97.3%+$243.17
Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)backed Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)backed Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$14.67
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$196.61
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$104.36
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 13.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)backed Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$49.5
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$309Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$483.31
All 21 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT2138.1%8 W · 13 L-3.0wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-33.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Open, Qualification WTA: Dominika Salkova vs Akasha Urhobobacked Akasha Urhobo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
National Bank Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Titouan Droguetbacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+37%+$55.48
Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Elena Micic vs Linda Fruhvirtovabacked Elena Micic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Hayu Kinoshita vs Viktoriya Tomovabacked Hayu Kinoshita · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$311Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$412.45
Mallorca Championships: Adam Walton vs Nick Kyrgiosbacked Nick Kyrgios · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$92
HSBC Championships: Corentin Moutet vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Alejandro Davidovich Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$262Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$205.86
Grass Court Championships: Donna Vekic vs Alexandra Ealabacked Alexandra Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$46.96
Nottingham Open: Katie Volynets vs Jessica Bouzas Maneirobacked Katie Volynets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$155
Nottingham Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Leylah Fernandezbacked Leylah Fernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Halle Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Sho Shimabukurobacked Tallon Griekspoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Halle Open: Nuno Borges vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$58.33
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Billy Harrisbacked Billy Harris · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.59
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanubacked Sorana Cirstea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilicbacked Marin Cilic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+100%+$231
Modena: Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Julia Grabherbacked Andrea Lazaro Garcia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Modena: Victoria Bosio vs Nuria Brancacciobacked Nuria Brancaccio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+43.2%+$23.77
Stuttgart Open: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Martin Landalucebacked Pierre-Hugues Herbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$92
Set Handicap: Linette (-1.5) vs Birrell (+1.5)backed Birrell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+52.4%+$107.38
Prostejov: Sebastian Baez vs Alex Molcanbacked Alex Molcan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Casper Ruud vs. Joao Fonseca: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Under 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
All 21 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 25.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$163
De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 15.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$184.62
Spurs vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 111.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 14.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 16.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+100.3%+$150.4
Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 5.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$76.36
De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$106.15
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 30.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$104.08
De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 13.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+58.9%+$82.48
All 11 picks, newest first.
WNBAlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick48cpaid+46.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
WNBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+37.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.