TailMyPicks
Market

NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 111.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$9,214
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$9,184

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,214 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Over49c6,002$2,941 inWon+$3,060.820155.7%112 W · 89 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under51c1,431$730 inLost-$729.672,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under51c1,106$564 inLost-$564.191,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a88…3dadbacked Under51c990$505 inLost-$504.92454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x733d…cc26backed Over48c827.42$400 inWon+$427.42977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.26per pick51cpaid+52.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x64e9…9324backed Under51c749.75$382 inLost-$382.37933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0b90…672ebacked Under51c643.18$328 inLost-$328.0213759.9%82 W · 55 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Over40c627.41$251 inWon+$376.4556646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under52c583.02$302 inLost-$302.24,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3652…2c8bbacked Under51c490.2$250 inLost-$2501154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Over65c333.77$218 inWon+$115.9921848.2%105 W · 113 L+11.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+0.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5902…59fabacked Over47c285.96$134 inWon+$151.5614845.9%68 W · 80 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15ec…267dbacked Under57c200$114 inLost-$1141060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+38%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6dd9…bfe8backed Over40c200$80 inWon+$12065762.3%409 W · 248 L+27.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x675c…4341backed Under55c181.14$100 inLost-$1004348.8%21 W · 22 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6808…899bbacked Under51c176.47$90 inLost-$905451.9%28 W · 26 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xffef…dabfbacked Under51c160$82 inLost-$81.61643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc8fd…3e24backed Under53c147.45$78 inLost-$78.151952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7a9…87e2backed Under51c124.41$63 inLost-$63.455133.3%17 W · 34 L-8.6wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under53c122.7$64 inLost-$64.483,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed Over46c100$46 inWon+$5411852.5%62 W · 56 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Under51c98.04$50 inLost-$5066046.8%309 W · 351 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9abb…3f96backed Under52c96.15$50 inLost-$504052.5%21 W · 19 L-4.3wins-0.11per pick63cpaid-20.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over45c77.67$35 inWon+$42.5176653.5%410 W · 356 L+65.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6fb1…0073backed Under51c58.82$30 inLost-$3014953%79 W · 70 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f8f…b302backed Under51c56.84$29 inLost-$28.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x62a1…0827backed Under51c40$20 inLost-$20.43259.4%19 W · 13 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+23.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa415…6fb9backed Under51c39$20 inLost-$19.8926147.1%123 W · 138 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under53c38.51$20 inLost-$20.411,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under52c34.72$18 inLost-$17.891,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x786f…1dcdbacked Over48c32$16 inWon+$16.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+106.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ac8…9e67backed Under57c25$14 inLost-$14.2518543.2%80 W · 105 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over44c25$11 inWon+$149853.1%52 W · 46 L+9.3wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+8.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x276b…add4backed Under54c19.63$11 inLost-$10.612451.6%64 W · 60 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 98. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.