NBA · resolved market
Spread: Spurs (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa9d769816023f29122453c4a12e9cebba0f0b97f8f397e0c9e0baea500f2a033
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Knicksof Spurs, Knicks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $80,998
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $97,871
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,998 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Knicks | 67c | 16,736$11,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,537.07 | 428 | 42.5%182 W · 246 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Spurs | 28c | 9,243$2,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,577.67 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0832…4130backed Spurs | 24c | 7,303$1,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,752.68 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f13…6c78backed Knicks | 76c | 5,447$4,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,307.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Spurs | 32c | 5,142$1,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,660.96 | 192 | 46.4%89 W · 103 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Spurs | 36c | 3,169$1,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,127.24 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9c…addfbacked Knicks | 76c | 1,994$1,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.66 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Knicks | 76c | 1,787$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.1 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e6…4a4dbacked Knicks | 76c | 1,576$1,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.13 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Spurs | 44c | 1,467$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.48 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Knicks | 74c | 1,296$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.81 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Spurs | 16c | 1,224$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.84 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Spurs | 25c | 1,073$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.17 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…85a2backed Spurs | 24c | 999.99$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 323 | 47.1%152 W · 171 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Spurs | 23c | 871.63$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.47 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc04…1c43backed Spurs | 25c | 800$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Knicks | 74c | 739.23$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.44 | 521 | 50.9%265 W · 256 L | +18.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Knicks | 74c | 639.07$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.47 | 538 | 42%226 W · 312 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef9f…8924backed Spurs | 23c | 500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 66 | 19.7%13 W · 53 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23f9…3c2dbacked Spurs | 25c | 492$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 186 | 43.5%81 W · 105 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Spurs | 26c | 398.42$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.59 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Spurs | 24c | 394.13$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.59 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8521…df10backed Spurs | 26c | 371$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.8 | 185 | 34.1%63 W · 122 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6303…9556backed Spurs | 45c | 264.59$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 188 | 53.2%100 W · 88 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…bbb2backed Spurs | 26c | 230.77$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Spurs | 24c | 212.9$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.27 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a70…76b5backed Knicks | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 59 | 71.2%42 W · 17 L | +10.3wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Spurs | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 113 | 29.2%33 W · 80 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Spurs | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 253 | 40.3%102 W · 151 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Spurs | 30c | 179.5$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.48 | 259 | 44%114 W · 145 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Spurs | 30c | 175$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 262 | 33.6%88 W · 174 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed Spurs | 23c | 173$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.79 | 164 | 29.9%49 W · 115 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…6adebacked Spurs | 26c | 155.79$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Knicks | 75c | 149.99$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 107 | 57%61 W · 46 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf609…e68bbacked Knicks | 63c | 143$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.91 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x738e…dc37backed Spurs | 28c | 133.06$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.01 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Knicks | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 112 | 39.3%44 W · 68 L | -11.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -31%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7f36…905fbacked Knicks | 70c | 130$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…e31fbacked Knicks | 76c | 127.63$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.63 | 473 | 54.8%259 W · 214 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Spurs | 23c | 118.22$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.19 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Spurs | 25c | 115.02$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.81 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Spurs | 21c | 110.41$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.19 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0c…b626backed Spurs | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 159 | 27%43 W · 116 L | -15.4wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Knicks | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Knicks | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 256 | 57%146 W · 110 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Spurs | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 455 | 44.8%204 W · 251 L | +21.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba34…c745backed Knicks | 75c | 98.67$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.67 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -5.1wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb27b…5d6ebacked Knicks | 57c | 88.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.44 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked Spurs | 28c | 73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.44 | 172 | 37.2%64 W · 108 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Spurs | 36c | 65$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Spurs | 28c | 61.94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 602 | 50.5%304 W · 298 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x348c…c8efbacked Spurs | 27c | 60.48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.33 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Spurs | 35c | 58.82$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Knicks | 61c | 56.84$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.06 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | +9.3wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x49d5…2b39backed Knicks | 77c | 55$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +3.6wins | +0.26per pick | 60cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Spurs | 40c | 53.76$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Knicks | 76c | 52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.38 | 253 | 52.6%133 W · 120 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6b…e0f3backed Knicks | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +3.6wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Spurs | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 330 | 30.9%102 W · 228 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Knicks | 75c | 47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 430 | 52.3%225 W · 205 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Spurs | 26c | 45.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 121 | 50.4%61 W · 60 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dfb…f1b7backed Spurs | 27c | 39.27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Spurs | 26c | 39.16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 160 | 33.1%53 W · 107 L | -17.2wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -43%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8c78…e701backed Spurs | 38c | 32.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06de…cf4cbacked Spurs | 45c | 28.12$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Knicks | 75c | 26.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 255 | 54.5%139 W · 116 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Knicks | 74c | 20.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 333 | 56.2%187 W · 146 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Knicks | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 259 | 54.4%141 W · 118 L | +34.1wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x750c…d430backed Knicks | 75c | 19.1$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.77 | 112 | 58.9%66 W · 46 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Knicks | 61c | 19.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 98. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Spurs (-8.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-0.5)Knicks won
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-1.5)Knicks won
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-4.5)Knicks won
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-7.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Knicks won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-7.5)Knicks won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 15.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 25.5Yes won
- Josh Hart: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 11.5No won
- OG Anunoby: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Knicks (-1.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-10.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-11.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-12.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-13.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-14.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-15.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-16.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-17.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-18.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-19.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-2.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-20.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-21.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-22.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-3.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-4.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-5.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-6.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-7.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-8.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-9.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-10.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-11.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-12.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-13.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-14.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-15.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-16.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-17.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-18.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-19.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-4.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-6.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-7.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-9.5)Knicks won
- Spurs vs. KnicksSpurs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.