NBA · resolved market
Spread: Knicks (-10.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa4b4039afa7b2c450d9efb582a173ca0e60b0fe4f53fc6e25ae68c90c49a54fb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Knicks, Spurs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,609
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,503
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,609 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Spurs | 75c | 21,618$16,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,385.66 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe16e…c3c7backed Knicks | 25c | 10,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500.05 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Knicks | 26c | 9,505$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 97 | 25.8%25 W · 72 L | -9.5wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Spurs | 74c | 7,122$5,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,873.03 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Knicks | 25c | 6,720$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680.12 | 280 | 56.8%159 W · 121 L | +22.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Knicks | 25c | 4,599$1,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,163.02 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Knicks | 16c | 2,494$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.18 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Spurs | 77c | 1,224$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.52 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Knicks | 23c | 1,142$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.58 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…bd51backed Spurs | 72c | 600$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.07 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | +7.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Spurs | 74c | 500$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.81 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd37…e117backed Knicks | 34c | 469.67$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.69 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Knicks | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…0e67backed Spurs | 70c | 383$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Knicks | 9c | 285.08$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.84 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Knicks | 5c | 223$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 428 | 42.5%182 W · 246 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Knicks | 13c | 205$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Knicks | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Knicks | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 186 | 53.2%99 W · 87 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Knicks | 13c | 197.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 538 | 42%226 W · 312 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e51…42cebacked Spurs | 73c | 187.03$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.71 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…59abbacked Knicks | 24c | 144.43$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.66 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | +15.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8af5…4bbabacked Spurs | 77c | 130$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…f270backed Spurs | 80c | 120.39$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.28 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Knicks | 26c | 116.7$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.89 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6303…9556backed Knicks | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 188 | 53.2%100 W · 88 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Spurs | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Knicks | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 121 | 50.4%61 W · 60 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Knicks | 26c | 95.62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.86 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Spurs | 78c | 88$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.36 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x630f…5501backed Knicks | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +7.9wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x59d6…0704backed Spurs | 75c | 78$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 187 | 55.6%104 W · 83 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e9d…e7b4backed Knicks | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Spurs | 77c | 59.97$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.79 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60a5…f52ebacked Knicks | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65af…df77backed Knicks | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa876…4215backed Spurs | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f18…d8f5backed Spurs | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 92 | 71.7%66 W · 26 L | +11.0wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Knicks | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6444…672ebacked Knicks | 26c | 41.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed Spurs | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 519 | 46.8%243 W · 276 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79ee…dae9backed Spurs | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…ec9abacked Spurs | 76c | 35.49$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +5.4wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Spurs | 75c | 28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 253 | 52.6%133 W · 120 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc12d…9759backed Spurs | 77c | 24.73$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 98. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Knicks (-10.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-0.5)Knicks won
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-1.5)Knicks won
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-4.5)Knicks won
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-7.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Knicks won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-7.5)Knicks won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 15.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 25.5Yes won
- Josh Hart: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 11.5No won
- OG Anunoby: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Knicks (-1.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-11.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-12.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-13.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-14.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-15.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-16.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-17.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-18.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-19.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-2.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-20.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-21.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-22.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-3.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-4.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-5.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-6.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-7.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-8.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-9.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-10.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-11.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-12.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-13.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-14.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-15.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-16.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-17.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-18.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-19.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-4.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-6.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-7.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-8.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-9.5)Knicks won
- Spurs vs. KnicksSpurs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.