TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Knicks (-22.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Spursof Knicks, Spurs
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$33,199
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$34,386

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,199 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cf…2f63backed Knicks5c11,357$576 inLost-$576.1564948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Knicks5c7,882$394 inLost-$394.125352.6%133 W · 120 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Knicks5c1,923$96 inLost-$95.6413161.8%81 W · 50 L+13.4wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+16.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x71bc…7fe4backed Knicks7c1,303$91 inLost-$91.21560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Knicks5c1,000$50 inLost-$5065649.2%323 W · 333 L+9.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7f4…88e6backed Knicks7c998.57$70 inLost-$69.912324.4%30 W · 93 L+0.4wins0.00per pick24cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f3d…95b1backed Knicks7c576.18$40 inLost-$401225%3 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick17cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Knicks6c555.19$35 inLost-$35.284443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5715…1616backed Knicks4c506.62$20 inLost-$206333.3%21 W · 42 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick39cpaid+50.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Knicks7c285.71$20 inLost-$2021637.5%81 W · 135 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x093c…758bbacked Knicks8c250$20 inLost-$20450%2 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+47.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Knicks5c210$10 inLost-$10.418653.2%99 W · 87 L+9.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd38f…8046backed Knicks5c200$10 inLost-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad56…a8d4backed Knicks7c171.57$12 inLost-$12.0130%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 98. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.