TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 25.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$17,568
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$19,952

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,568 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa710…23c4backed Yes55c5,000$2,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,249.9932653.1%173 W · 153 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed No45c4,906$2,208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,207.851,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed No44c2,308$1,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,016.981,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes55c1,818$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.11,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40b4…1483backed Yes58c1,724$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.1414045.7%64 W · 76 L-8.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x15a6…bf5dbacked No43c1,597$687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$686.599348.4%45 W · 48 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6be…fcfebacked No42c1,111$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.6110244.1%45 W · 57 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70dc…1dfdbacked Yes57c1,109$632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.851957.9%11 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4031…92c8backed Yes56c796.36$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.912851.6%66 W · 62 L+5.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed No43c627.32$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.7579650.9%405 W · 391 L+63.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Yes54c543.6$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.0620155.7%112 W · 89 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9caf…e8bdbacked No42c531.03$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.0333049.1%162 W · 168 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed No43c464.97$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9478445.8%359 W · 425 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3652…2c8bbacked No45c364.86$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1631154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98bd…8a55backed Yes58c344.83$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.834560%27 W · 18 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+25.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa0fd…a91ebacked Yes57c262.18$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.749353.8%50 W · 43 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb581…0308backed No46c250$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11556050.4%282 W · 278 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97ff…d970backed No44c227.98$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.3110843.5%47 W · 61 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-17.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfff3…e2c5backed No44c227$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.88933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-30.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb94…a015backed No43c209.95$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.884360.5%26 W · 17 L+7.0wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+41.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x39a5…5abfbacked Yes57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.442462.5%15 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85ee…79a9backed Yes57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.443351.5%17 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71bc…7fe4backed Yes57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.44560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc84a…4c05backed Yes57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.441471.4%10 W · 4 L+3.8wins+0.27per pick44cpaid+87.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x755a…9748backed Yes58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.415259.6%31 W · 21 L+6.3wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+35.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2206…49d6backed Yes57c140.35$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.351346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked No8c136.78$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.538783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d60…6df2backed No45c133.33$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604261.9%26 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick62cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x668c…c966backed Yes57c131.58$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.58666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+36.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x28b3…08e3backed No44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503652.8%19 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x778f…e824backed No44c112.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.52475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick42cpaid+85.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb87e…acd3backed No45c111$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.951643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5233…37c1backed Yes57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed No43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4311852.5%62 W · 56 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x055c…6a54backed Yes54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+91.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x29db…19c3backed Yes57c95.53$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.081540%6 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick46cpaid+0.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfab6…8d16backed Yes50c93.74$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.871266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+55.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed No44c90.91$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4052552%273 W · 252 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4aae…d563backed Yes58c85.12$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.753557.1%20 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5902…59fabacked Yes56c84.95$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.3814845.9%68 W · 80 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b72…acd7backed Yes56c81.16$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.71560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+43.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13c9…5e53backed No42c75.26$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.6130544.6%136 W · 169 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb602…1ab1backed Yes57c73.68$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.681136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-36.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x88a2…68a0backed Yes57c68.02$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.2515351%78 W · 75 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fb1…0073backed No45c66.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3014953%79 W · 70 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed No43c65.15$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.0171547.7%341 W · 374 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No42c61.91$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2690863.9%580 W · 328 L+80.6wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+20.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked No43c60$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.860049.8%299 W · 301 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf89…0fb1backed Yes57c52.63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.633554.3%19 W · 16 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x66c0…5fc2backed Yes58c51.86$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.8614349.7%71 W · 72 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…a806backed No44c50.86$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.38250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1646…2f81backed Yes58c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2110954.1%59 W · 50 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes57c48.54$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8784443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed No41c44.71$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3319352.8%102 W · 91 L+11.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd032…5136backed Yes56c44.64$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.6411450.9%58 W · 56 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e00…0b23backed Yes56c44.56$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.561471.4%10 W · 4 L+3.8wins+0.27per pick45cpaid+205.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xfd08…344cbacked Yes57c43.86$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.862100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+90.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1187…20c4backed Yes57c41.99$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.991060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bd2…aafebacked Yes54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.042147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x267e…584bbacked Yes55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.36650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+24.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc5b…90afbacked Yes57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.095561.8%34 W · 21 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x416c…a782backed Yes59c33.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.9366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x127a…ca3cbacked Yes58c33.36$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.015352.8%28 W · 25 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f6a…a9f8backed No50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick54cpaid-48.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…ba2cbacked No44c28.1$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3626957.2%154 W · 115 L+11.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x51a2…051bbacked Yes54c27.78$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.785642.9%24 W · 32 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5eb6…9e4dbacked Yes56c26.79$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.796259.7%37 W · 25 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d14…1eb4backed Yes58c25.86$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.8637352%194 W · 179 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60a5…f52ebacked Yes58c25.86$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.8622453.1%119 W · 105 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed No44c25.86$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4833556.7%190 W · 145 L+26.4wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed No42c25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.629449.7%146 W · 148 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No44c23.38$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1933356.2%187 W · 146 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9bdd…6da4backed Yes57c21.23$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.23862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70b2…5805backed Yes58c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.44647.8%22 W · 24 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 98. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.