TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Knicks (-5.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spursof Knicks, Spurs
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$95,576
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$99,789

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,576 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x20d6…3856backed Spurs63c15,454$9,736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,717.8839842.5%169 W · 229 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Knicks37c13,514$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0009725.8%25 W · 72 L-9.5wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-34.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Spurs63c11,159$7,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,119.564948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf284…b9f9backed Knicks39c10,281$4,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,047.6718651.1%95 W · 91 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Knicks37c7,500$2,775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7752,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Knicks24c5,976$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,440.048,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef34…2065backed Spurs52c1,996$1,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$958.29785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.36per pick50cpaid+83.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x86e7…613ebacked Spurs61c1,735$1,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$676.5410049%49 W · 51 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb644…d7c1backed Knicks6c1,646$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-40%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf984…24cebacked Knicks37c1,500$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5552356.5%13 W · 10 L+3.4wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+101.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Spurs64c1,224$783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.641,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x45d1…83dabacked Spurs52c1,154$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.855160.8%31 W · 20 L+5.2wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+19.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Knicks36c1,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36066352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Spurs62c825.51$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.21,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73ff…0facbacked Knicks39c738.97$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.26357.1%36 W · 27 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Knicks30c706$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.4593148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x32c9…a2ebbacked Spurs51c680.92$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.651020%2 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-54.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Spurs67c575.66$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.41,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Spurs62c561.81$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.491,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed Knicks39c551.28$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21529040.3%117 W · 173 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Knicks48c550.48$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.520851.4%107 W · 101 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Knicks37c515.39$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.2512146.3%56 W · 65 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Knicks37c499.95$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.9895641.7%399 W · 557 L+1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Spurs62c483.86$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.875435.2%19 W · 35 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-31.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Spurs61c479.99$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.225954.4%141 W · 118 L+34.1wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+68.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Knicks37c469.02$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.546,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Spurs50c443.25$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.6355251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Knicks21c439.97$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.391,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x031a…9585backed Knicks39c427.12$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x42a6…cb72backed Knicks38c407.58$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.88520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-75%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Knicks36c400$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.51,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6dd9…bfe8backed Spurs74c400$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.7965762.3%409 W · 248 L+27.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6303…9556backed Spurs62c322.68$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.6818853.2%100 W · 88 L-9.9wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd312…4a63backed Spurs62c322.58$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.584252.4%22 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39f8…badabacked Spurs52c300$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1444652.2%24 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Knicks49c299.99$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1471,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Spurs71c277.79$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.5953842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x557e…d185backed Spurs52c260$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+22.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc392…595dbacked Knicks39c259.61$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10040548.4%196 W · 209 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Spurs64c245$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.21,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Knicks9c203$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2719548.2%94 W · 101 L+12.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6e78…3a8ebacked Spurs60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+18.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa43a…1475backed Spurs52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$961323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-56.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfdf5…d359backed Spurs52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+46%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a70…76b5backed Spurs52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$965971.2%42 W · 17 L+10.3wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+37.3%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed Spurs51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0838432.6%125 W · 259 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Spurs58c186$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.1230551.5%157 W · 148 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e2c…bd51backed Spurs52c180$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.46163.9%39 W · 22 L+7.5wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+68.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Spurs62c161.11$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.954,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6383…6e28backed Spurs64c154.59$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.656038.3%23 W · 37 L-9.6wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-28.5%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xe942…f7adbacked Knicks40c150.1$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.042250%11 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Spurs62c129$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.021,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35c9…bc74backed Knicks39c128.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5034661.6%213 W · 133 L+14.3wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Knicks36c120$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.6560049.8%299 W · 301 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38dd…e656backed Knicks39c113.41$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.233644.4%16 W · 20 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick35cpaid+26.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Spurs61c113$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.072,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x88b3…c085backed Spurs62c112.9$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.9333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-46.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8faa…1b5cbacked Spurs63c111.11$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.114238.1%16 W · 26 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Spurs53c103$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.4125340.3%102 W · 151 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8492…f17cbacked Knicks39c102.56$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401450%7 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07cd…fbebbacked Knicks39c102.56$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407360.3%44 W · 29 L+6.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Spurs61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3918445.7%84 W · 100 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e79…d4c0backed Spurs52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.15250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Spurs64c95.92$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.5336051.7%186 W · 174 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Knicks36c95.92$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.5352053.3%277 W · 243 L+29.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Spurs65c88$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.830842.9%132 W · 176 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Spurs71c87.13$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.2721848.2%105 W · 113 L+11.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+0.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xba34…c745backed Spurs59c78$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.981833.3%6 W · 12 L-5.1wins-0.28per pick62cpaid-47.1%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x60a5…f52ebacked Knicks39c76.92$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3022453.1%119 W · 105 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Knicks37c74.12$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.6225352.6%133 W · 120 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7677…37c0backed Knicks38c72.58$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5814148.2%68 W · 73 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97ff…d970backed Knicks41c68.78$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.210843.5%47 W · 61 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-17.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Knicks37c68.58$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.4813161.8%81 W · 50 L+13.4wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+16.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x89b5…77b3backed Knicks38c65.79$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Knicks37c64.72$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7822753.3%121 W · 106 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+2.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed Knicks39c64.1$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2511239.3%44 W · 68 L-11.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-31%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5e51…42cebacked Spurs59c60$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.68355.4%46 W · 37 L+6.7wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1201…a74dbacked Spurs63c58.73$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.731080%8 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+34.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1980…3340backed Spurs64c53.28$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.187152.1%37 W · 34 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d4e…1e3ebacked Knicks39c51.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205048%24 W · 26 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x738e…dc37backed Knicks21c51.03$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.75536.4%20 W · 35 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…40b0backed Spurs63c50.79$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.791080%8 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+19.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd7b7…3852backed Spurs63c50.14$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.552576%19 W · 6 L+3.4wins+0.14per pick62cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7ca2…03cfbacked Knicks30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152733.3%9 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6db…fcfcbacked Knicks40c49.9$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.961747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Spurs63c49.23$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.2252861.9%327 W · 201 L+32.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x265b…74dfbacked Knicks49c48.98$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245345.3%24 W · 29 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa72d…e6fabacked Knicks41c48.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203946.2%18 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked Knicks22c48$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6625944%114 W · 145 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Spurs63c45$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6525150.6%127 W · 124 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Spurs61c45$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.5571752%373 W · 344 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Spurs62c44.75$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.861,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Knicks40c41.2$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4825554.5%139 W · 116 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe88…67a8backed Spurs63c37.15$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.7518557.3%106 W · 79 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x06de…cf4cbacked Spurs64c34$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.242937.9%11 W · 18 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc036…30d4backed Spurs63c31.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7551946.8%243 W · 276 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bc8…2f68backed Knicks38c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.45543.6%24 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Knicks39c28.92$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.282,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Knicks49c25.5$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.536045%162 W · 198 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed Spurs61c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.7529449.7%146 W · 148 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 98. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.